Caracal Insider Daily | January 16, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

Bitcoin, Trade Clash, Huawei, Starbucks, Lego, Social Media News

Caracal Insider Daily
January 16, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Bitcoin plunges 20%

✔️ Lawmakers urge AT&T to cut ties with Huawei

✔️ US and China prepare for trade clash

✔️ A new Starbucks opens in China every 15 hours

✔️ Half of Americans want to regulate social media news
 

GEOECONOMICS

Bitcoin plunges 20%: The price of bitcoin plunged by as much as 20% amid concerns about tighter regulation falling below $12,000 for the first time since early December.

France wants tougher rules on bitcoin to avoid criminal use: AP reports, France’s finance minister says he wants new regulation targeted at virtual currencies, to stop them from being used for tax evasion, financing terrorism, and other crime.

WSJ: Oil briefly reaches $70 as buoyant global economy bolsters demand

Battle stations: US and China prepare for trade clash of the titans: A trade war between the U.S. and China would be more bruising and protracted than the battles that raged in the 1980s over Japanese exports and would risk taking down the entire global trading architecture.
WSJ - Andrew Browne

"The last time Washington mobilized for a trade war, Ronald Reagan was president and Japan the adversary."

China disrupts internet access for global groups: FT reports, companies fear being forced on to expensive platform surveilled by Beijing. 

Lawmakers urge AT&T to cut ties with Huawei: Reuters reports, US lawmakers are urging AT&T, to cut all commercial ties to Chinese phone maker Huawei Technologies and oppose plans by telecom operator China Mobile to enter the American market because of national security concerns. The lawmakers are also advising US companies that if they have ties to Huawei or China Mobile - like partnering on 5G or selling handsets - it could hamper their ability to do business with the US government.

China fake data mask economic rebound: FT reports, GDP numbers unlikely to show the scale of recovery because of previous moves to hide slowdown.

Bloomberg: Xi Jinping’s debt clampdown has left a trail of dead projects

"As consumption sustains growth, once-prized programs lie idle"

China admits to having agents in Canada as former judge harassed in Toronto: Globe and Mail reports, for more than 15 years, the Chinese government has provoked anger in Canada, Australia, the United States and elsewhere for sneaking security agents abroad

Days after Hawaii alert gaffe, Japan issues a false alarm about a missile launch: Reuters reports, Japanese public broadcaster NHK issued a false alarm about a North Korean missile launch on Tuesday, just days after a similar gaffe caused panic in Hawaii, but it managed to correct the error within minutes.

WP: North Korea calls Trump a ‘lunatic’ and a ‘loser’ in response to nuclear button tweet

NK nukes - no: Foreign ministers from around 20 nations will gather for a meeting in Vancouver today, co-hosted by the U.S. and Canada, to discuss how to curb North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. But China, seen as a key player in any long-term solution, will be absent. 

Donald Tusk calls for a second Brexit referendum: The Time reports, Donald Tusk has called on Britain to reverse the decision to leave the European Union with a second referendum or a House of Commons vote on the final Brexit deal. The president of the European Council made his appeal as pressure grows on MPs to press for a second referendum or to reject a withdrawal agreement.

The Times: Le Pen plans to rename and rebrand National Front

Italy falls for nostalgia: Don't blame only the politicians. Italian voters are also fed up with "reform."
Bloomberg - Ferdinando Giugliano

"Nostalgia, welcome back to Rome."

America last? EU says Trump is losing on trade: Reuters reports, the European Union’s trade tsar has no idea what Donald Trump will tell his audience at the World Economic Forum in Davos next week, but she is clear what the EU’s message to the U.S. president will be. America is shooting itself in the foot by withdrawing from global leadership on trade, Cecilia Malmstrom, the 49-year-old Swede who has served as Europe’s trade commissioner for the past three years, told Reuters.

AMERICAN POLITICS

WP: Chances of shutdown grow as GOP turns to short-term spending deal for government

Bloomberg: GOP leaders struggle to avert shutdown after immigration blow-up

The US government runs out of money at midnight on Friday.

Today: Trump meets with President Nursultan Nazarbayev of Kazakhstan.

Slate: The cannabis industry is well-armed to fight Jeff Sessions https://goo.gl/RJnpYP

The Pentagon is planning to develop two new sea-based nuclear weapons to respond to Russia and China’s growing military capabilities.

Flu bug USA: The entire continental US is experiencing widespread flu right now, the first time in the 13 years of the current tracking system that this has happened.

ENTERPRISE

Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne said Monday he has no plans to sell its Jeep business or split up the company.

CNBC: Ford plans $11 billion investment, 40 electrified vehicles by 2022

Autonomous technology and automobiles: US Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao told a Detroit auto show forum that the Trump administration is planning to unveil revised self-driving car guidelines this summer.

AFP: Qantas changes website to recognize Chinese territories

Adidas wants to increase its US market share to around 15%-20%.

Alibaba's AI outguns humans in a reading test: Bloomberg reports, Alibaba put its deep neural network model through its paces last week, asking the AI to provide exact answers to more than 100,000 questions comprising a quiz that’s considered one of the world’s most authoritative machine-reading gauges. The model developed by Alibaba’s Institute of Data Science of Technologies scored 82.44, edging past the 82.304 that rival humans achieved.

Lego is partnering with Tencent to jointly develop online games and potentially a social network aimed at children in China. 

Xiaomi has picked Citic Securities, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley as joint sponsors for its proposed IPO, which will most likely be in Hong Kong.

A new Starbucks opens in China every 15 hours.

Chinese carmaker may use Fiat Chrysler for a foothold in the United States: NYT reports, GAC Motor said it planned to bring an SUV to the United States in 2019. It may use Fiat Chrysler dealerships hungry for new models.

TRENDS

Half of Americans want to regulate social media news: Report shows the public is concerned about fake stories and political polarisation.
FT

CULTURE

WSJ: Is that a Frank Lloyd Wright? Prove it: A home designed by a famous architect can command a premium, but in today’s competitive housing market, more buyers are turning to scholars to make sure claims are legitimate. https://goo.gl/F1YWuV

SPORT

Olympic gymnast Biles Alleges sexual abuse by team doctor: WSJ reports, gymnast Simone Biles, the star of the 2016 Olympic Games and the face of her sport in the United States, said she was among the elite gymnasts sexually abused by the longtime US team physician Larry Nassar.

AFP: Cool Runnings' revisited as Jamaican women qualify in bobsled

NFL Las Vegas odds:

Jacksonville v New England -9
Minnesota -3.5 v Philadelphia

Caracal Insider Daily | January 12, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

Shithole, Trade Surplus, Shaquille O'Neal, Facebook, NBA, GM

Caracal Insider Daily
January 12, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Shithole countries

✔️ Trump calls off planned trip to London

✔️ China reports biggest-ever annual trade surplus with US

✔️ Facebook overhauls news feed

✔️ NBA shoots for global growth with London showcase

ROSS RANT

Trump to Davos - with a stop in London? https://goo.gl/9AQjJr

"With POTUS off to Davos, I am confident the White House is pressing Number 10 to allow Trump to pop into London Town to open the new US Embassy and have a proper meeting with Prime Minister Theresa May.

He needs this visit and this meeting, like a lot."

This Ross Rant did not age well at all.

GEOECONOMICS

WSJ: Trump calls off planned trip to London

Donald Trump cancels London visit amid protest fears: Guardian reports, Trump t will not open new US embassy next month, with the secretary of state Rex Tillerson likely to take his place.

Bloomberg: Trump scraps UK trip, citing Obama embassy deal begun by Bush

Hilarious.

The Crown always wins.


Farage's call for second Brexit vote greeted with glee by remainers: Guardian reports, the former UKIP leader shocked his colleagues on Thursday by suggesting another Brexit vote should be held, arguing it would lead to a more decisive victory for the leave campaign and silence remain supporters for a generation.

Army rips out Chinese-made security cameras at US base: WSJ reports, the U.S. Army said it removed Chinese-made surveillance cameras from a domestic military base. A congressional panel will hold a hearing into whether businesses face cybersecurity risks from using the equipment.

China reports biggest-ever annual trade surplus with the US: WSJ reports, China reported its largest-ever annual trade surplus with the U.S. last year while its overall imbalance with the world shrank, potentially strengthening the Trump administration’s case for tougher penalties and other trade actions against Beijing.

The metric good for lazy politicians but useless otherwise: A trade deficit or a trade surplus is a useless metric to gauge the state of a nation's economy, but it is a wonderful tool for pandering campaign rhetoric.

You need to remember, China at its core is an assembly economy. Thus China's economy is a prime example of the obvious statement that the whole is great than the sum of its parts. Most Chinese companies import components and materials from around the world and then assemble them into useful products for sale globally.

No R&D. No branding. No marketing. No finance. No software. No logistics.

All actives not measured by current trade deficit or a trade surplus formulations.


BBC: China shuts Marriott's website over Tibet and Taiwan error

Bloomberg: China steps up policing of multinationals over sovereignty


"China, emboldened by its growing economic and geopolitical influence, is showing less tolerance of what it sees as violations of its political bottom line by foreign companies. The warnings signal that the country may deploy more sticks against foreign companies that can’t risk losing business in the world’s second-biggest economy."

Chinese bitcoin miners eye sites in energy-rich Canada: Reuters reports, China has grown into one of the world’s biggest sources of cryptocurrency mining but there are signs Beijing is increasing scrutiny of the sector’s players and may ask local authorities to regulate their power use. Bitmain Technologies, operator of some of the largest mining farms in the country, is among several companies looking to expand overseas.

India Supreme Court judges: Democracy is in danger: BBC reports, four of India's most senior Supreme Court judges have publicly challenged the authority of the head of the judiciary - in an unprecedented move. In a letter and a press conference, the judges said Chief Justice Dipak Misra was assigning cases to benches of his preference, breaching court rules. 

India's space program: India launched its 100th satellite on Fridayas Prime Minister Narendra Modi seeks to project the country as a global low-cost provider of services in space. India's space programme has a budget of around $4 billion and Modi's government hopes the latest launches will improve its prospects of winning a larger share of the more than $300 billion global space industry.

7 Reasons India is primed for growth https://goo.gl/8gAoWp

Merkel takes a big step toward forming a coalition government: WSJ reports, Angela Merkel made a breakthrough toward forming a government and securing her fourth term as Germany’s chancellor, according to a draft policy agreement reached by her conservative party and its center-left rivals.

100,000 = The number of barrels of oil smuggled out of Venezuela every day. At today's trading price that is $6,320,000 per day.

CBC: Canada's economy to 'wane,' says internal memo to finance minister

Reuters: Canada talks tough on trade as endgame on NAFTA talks nears


AMERICAN POLITICS

Politico: White House doesn't deny Trump's 'shithole' immigration remark

Trump tirade throws US immigration talks into turmoil: FT reports, storm of criticism greets remarks querying entry of people from ‘sh*t-hole countries’

NYT: Trump alarms lawmakers with disparaging words for Haiti and Africa

LAT: Trump's 'shithole' remark is the latest in long string of racial provocations


Immigration talks muddled amid President’s vulgar comments: WSJ reports, at a meeting with senators pitching a bipartisan deal on immigration, President Donald Trump asked why the U.S. would admit immigrants from what he described as “shithole” countries. In a Friday tweet, he appeared to deny using that language.

“We should have people from places like Norway.”

Time: Inside the GOP’s Rocky Relationship with Donald Trump https://goo.gl/9g7snm

WP: NAFTA supporters use stock market to try to dissuade Trump from withdrawing from trade deal

Negotiators have officially set a March deadline to rewrite NAFTA.

Economists think the US economy is at or near full employment: WSJ reports, nine in 10 forecasters surveyed by WSJ said the US has achieved or is approaching full employment

Steven Mnuchin’s ever-expanding orbit: Politico reports, the Treasury Secretary is using his location next to the White House to build his base of power — at the risk of irritating colleagues.

Axios: Mnuchin defends Davos trip: not a "hangout for globalists"

US delegation to Davos: The White House released the delegation that will be joining Trump in Davos. You can read the list here: https://goo.gl/Z6fwSp

Bannon will give closed-door testimony next week in House panel's Russia investigation.

ENTERPRISE

Uber’s secret tool for keeping the cops in the dark: Bloomberg reports, at least two dozen times, the San Francisco headquarters locked down equipment in foreign offices to shield files from police raids.

"Most tech companies don’t expect police to regularly raid their offices, but Uber isn’t most companies. The ride-hailing startup’s reputation for flouting local labor laws and taxi rules has made it a favorite target for law enforcement agencies around the world."

Facebook announced sweeping changes to the social media platform's News Feed in an effort to prioritize content from friends and family over more "passive content" from publishers and brands.

NYT: Facebook overhauls news feed to focus on what friends and family share

Mark Zuckerberg prioritizes "meaningful social interactions" on the platform's News Feed versus "relevant content." 

Awesome more baby photos!

Facebook can’t be fixed: Facebook’s fundamental problem is not foreign interference, spam bots, trolls, or fame mongers. It’s the company’s core business model, and abandoning it is not an option.
NewCo

General Motors filed a petition with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration requesting the agency allow GM to deploy driverless cars that do not have steering wheels or brake pedals by 2019. 

Fiat Chrysler announced $2,000 bonuses for about 60,000 workers and plans to move some truck production to Michigan from Mexico.

Inside Amazon’s quest for global domination: WSJ reports, Amazon has invested aggressively to expand overseas but the results have been a mixed bag. https://goo.gl/7dKmg3

Overheard at CES: "It's spring for AR -- and winter for VR."

AR > VR

Dropbox has filed confidentially to go public, in what stands to be one of the largest tech IPOs in the past few years.

Shaquille O'Neal will be the first "chief fun officer" for Carnival Crusie Line.

TRENDS

The 8 greatest ideas of CES 2018 https://goo.gl/fioLsF

Automakers, in a blast from the past, retool iconic trucks: WSJ reports, car makers plan revivals of some of their best-known truck and SUV nameplates, bringing a wave of roomy, updated off-road vehicles to the U.S. market—a sign that consumers’ passion for oversize vehicles hasn’t faded.

CULTURE

Directors Guild of America nominations for the feature film award this year:

Greta Gerwig (“Lady Bird”)
Jordan Peele (“Get Out”)
Guillermo del Toro (“The Shape of Water")
Christopher Nolan (“Dunkirk”)
Martin McDonagh (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”) 


SPORT

NBA shoots for global growth with London showcase: FT reports, basketball franchises cast net wider in search of international audiences.

Guardian: London franchise moves closer as NFL confirms first game at Spurs stadium

Oakland-Seattle to be held at new stadium with two games at Wembley

NFL’s Mark Waller hints permanent franchise could happen in 2021

Caracal Insider Daily | January 11, 2018

Aibo.jpg

Peaked, Slashed, Certain, Plan, New

Caracal Insider Daily
January 11, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider Daily = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Global economic growth has peaked, says World Bank

✔️ Argentina to slash government red tape

✔️ Canada sure Trump to pull plug on NAFTA

✔️ What is your SOTU plan?

✔️ Diet Coke gets new look
 

GEOECONOMICS

Global economic growth has peaked, says World Bank: FT reports, aging populations, low investment and tightening monetary policy limit expansion.

Coming soon to Davos: A Trump stink bomb: Politico reports, the president will take his populist show to the annual Swiss gathering of global financial, political and media elites.

Davos in, Bannon out: Steve Bannon loses his head, while Trump goes to Switzerland.
WSJ - Editorial

"Now Bannonism is a cause without a President or even a website"

"A US President hasn’t attended Davos since Bill Clinton in 2000...What could possibly go wrong?"


BTW - Ronald Reagan spoke via video conference.

Argentina details measures to slash government red tape: Reuters reports, Argentina's government announced a series of measures on Wednesday to reduce bureaucratic tasks that business-friendly President Mauricio Macri thinks are holding back much-needed investment.

Canada takes US to WTO over anti-dumping system: FT reports, the trade protest comes days ahead of talks over Trump efforts to renegotiate NAFTA.

Canada sure Trump to pull plug on NAFTA: Reuters reports, Canada is increasingly sure that President Trump will soon announce that the United States intends to pull out of the North American Free Trade Agreement, two government sources said.

AFP: Canada braces for possible US exit from NAFTA trade pact

Forecasters are predicting oil could hit $80 a barrel this year.

Brussels eyes new taxes to cover post-Brexit shortfall: FT reports, levies on travel, plastics and emissions lined up to offset loss of UK revenues.

Russian bid to influence Brexit vote detailed in new US Senate report: Guardian reports, UK political system vulnerable to anti-democratic meddling via social media and ‘possibly illicit’ campaign funding, report says.

Bloomberg: ‘Bad Brexit’ would hurt the UK economy for more than a decade

China's factories sputter amid self-inflicted gas shortage: Nikkei reports, industry feels side effects as the country tries to shake its coal addiction.

@WSJ: China accounted for nearly 80% of computer power devoted to global bitcoin mining over the past 30 days

Axios: With the US less welcoming, China attracts more foreign students

#SoftPower

Australia lashes out at China’s ‘useless’ Pacific projects: FT reports, Canberra accuses Beijing of building roads to nowhere in developing nations.

Turkey summons US charge d'affaires over Syria: Turkish sources: Reuters reports, Turkey on Wednesday summoned a top U.S. diplomat in Ankara to protest Washington's support of a Kurdish militia in Syria, sources in the Turkish Foreign Ministry said, the latest in a long-standing disagreement between the NATO allies.

AMERICAN POLITICS

NBC: Democrats to invite sex misconduct victims to Trump’s State of the Union

#SmartPolitics

What is your SOTU plan? Never miss a chance to advocate.


To date, a million copies of Michael Wolff’s book “Fire and Fury: Inside the Trump White House” have been sold.

Corporate America warns Trump over immigration: FT reports, the US Chamber says threatening to deport 1m workers endangers economic growth.

Bloomberg: Facebook, Apple, GM leaders urge Congress to protect Dreamers

Immigration agents target 7-Eleven stores in a move to crack down on undocumented workers: WP reports, the pre-dawn sweeps comprised about 100 stores across the United States. Nearly two dozen people were arrested on suspicion of being in the country illegally, though officials said the audits are intended to target managerial hiring practices.

LAT: Issa becomes second California Republican to retire this week as Democrats look to reclaim US House

Atlantic: The world according to H.R. McMasterhttps://goo.gl/G4vYvg

ENTERPRISE

Sony's new pet dog "Aibo" goes on sale in Japan.

Hulu has more than 17 million subscribers in the United States.

Facebook is reportedly planning to release a $499 home video chat device called Portal, which is aimed at connecting families and friends. 

The Verge: Huawei’s CEO going off-script to rage at US carriers was the best speech of CES

Watch the speech here: https://goo.gl/mcDSLw

Globalization and competition are good for American consumers: Foreign automakers poised to build more cars and trucks in America than the Detroit's Big 3.

Diet Coke gets a new look, new flavors amid sinking sales: LAT reports, Coca-Cola Co. it's adding a slimmer 12-ounce Diet Coke can, updating the logo and offering the 35-year-old drink in four new flavors, including mango and ginger lime. The taste of the plain Diet Coke will stay the same, the Atlanta-based company said.

TRENDS

Watch out, airlines. High-speed rail now rivals flying on key routes: Bloomberg reports, in Asia and Europe, super-fast locomotives are comparable to air travel in price and door-to-door speed.

“I can say almost with certainty that cryptocurrencies will come to a bad end.” -- Warren Buffett

Buzzworthy word of the day = techlash

CULTURE

NYT's 52 places to go in 2018 https://goo.gl/jyYstX

SPORT

NYT: How Tua Tagovailoa stepped up, dropped back, and saved Alabama https://goo.gl/bf9ck1

“Tua can hit the keyhole.”

106-year-old French cyclist finally decides to hang up his helmet: AFP reports, Robert Marchand, a centenarian French cyclist whose exploits garnered fans worldwide is retiring, ready for more leisurely rides after racing into the record book. Last January, Marchand pedaled for 22.547 kilometers (14.01 miles) in an hour at the national velodrome in Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines west of Paris. It was a new record for his age group -- though the category had to be created especially for him, and he had no competition.

Bloomberg: Big Ten schools extend esports league, scholarships through 2019