ITK Daily | October 16

Netanyahu, Cryptocurrency, Nuclear, Walt Disney, Breakers, plus 1,000 more actionable insights.

ITK Daily is geopolitical business intelligence for communications pros.
 

Happy Monday.

Here’s today’s ITK Daily.

To be ITK, know this: 

Israeli soldiers ready to defeat Hamas 'monsters,' Netanyahu says:
NHK reports Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has strongly indicated his readiness to mount a massive ground offensive in the Gaza Strip to destroy the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, which controls the territory.

Reuters: Israel vows to demolish Hamas as troops prepare to move on shattered Gaza

WSJ: Israel prepares Gaza invasion as clashes intensify in north

+ @netanyahu: Make no mistake, Israel will win. 🇮🇱

+ Key Hamas leader killed; Israel and Islamic militants trade fire along Lebanon border

+ Israel has some of the world’s most advanced urban warfare training, with a 5,000-acre fake city, Baladia, in the Negev desert to prepare for an attack: 600 buildings, narrow streets and mosques

+ Death toll of Americans in Hamas attack rises to 30

+ Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) said that the Senate would swiftly push through a military aid package to help Israel in its fight against Hamas.


+ US senators will receive a classified briefing from senior Biden administration officials regarding the conflict between Israel and Hamas on Wednesday

+ US Secretary of State Antony Blinken will head back to Israel after meeting with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on Sunday.

+ The Pentagon has ordered the USS Eisenhower, a second aircraft carrier strike group, to the eastern Mediterranean near Israel to deter Iran or Hezbollah from joining the Israel-Hamas conflict.


At top speed, a carrier will do about 33 knots or 39 mph. 

A straight crossing between Norfolk, VA, and the entrance to the Mediterranean is around 3,800 miles. 

So, at top speed 98 hours or 4 days to reach Gibraltar, but more likely 7-10 days to reach the Eastern Mediterranean.

Something is happening...

Is a Biden Oval Office address forthcoming?

+ @kaitlancollins: Prime Minister Netanyahu invited President Biden to visit Israel soon, and the two sides are discussing the possibility


WP: Gaza crisis deepens as Israel plans attacks

AFP: One million Gazans displaced as Israel readies for ground attack

+ The Israel Defense Force says over 600,000 Gazans have fled south

+ Israel has “no desire” to occupy or reoccupy Gaza, Michael Herzog, its ambassador to the US


+ Gaza is the size of the Isle of Wight but has a higher population density than London.

On Gaza...When the battle of Najaf, in Iraq, ended after days of brutal urban warfare, David Petraeus radioed his commander and told him: “I’ve got good news and bad news. The good news is we control Najaf. ‘Yes. What’s the bad news?’ . . . The bad news is we control Najaf.”

+ @spectatorindex: BREAKING: Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas says the policies and actions of Hamas do not represent the Palestinian people

+ EU  leaders will hold an emergency video call on Tuesday amid fears that Israel’s looming invasion of Gaza will unleash new “migratory waves to Europe” and fuel Islamic extremism.

WP: Israeli ground offensive could be a ‘bloodbath,’ analysts say

AFP: Lebanon border fire stokes fears of regional spillover from Israel-Hamas war

NHK: Thousands of pro-Palestinian protesters march in London

AFP: Tens of thousands march in Morocco for Palestinians

FT: Israel-Hamas war tests China’s Middle East ambitions

FT: US warns Iran against escalating Israel-Hamas war into regional conflict

FT: Fears of wider Middle East conflict cast shadow over global economy

How cryptocurrency fueled Hamas' terror attack on Israel:
A crackdown on cryptocurrency accounts linked to Hamas has reignited scrutiny of the digital assets. DW

No end in sight: Israel’s search for a Gaza strategy:
Military force cannot succeed without a plan for what comes next, writes historian Lawrence Freedman. FT

Materially, China’s grip is far tighter than we think:
The next time a politician says we can do without Beijing, think again. Ed Conway

US races to expand Michigan locks and secure the supply chain:
The Soo Locks, which once served the fur trade, now move 90% of iron ore for automakers and manufacturers. WSJ

Australia referendum results: Voters say no to Aboriginal voice:
Voters in a national referendum have overwhelmingly rejected the Labor government’s proposal to create a permanent body for indigenous people to advise parliament. The Times

Reuters: 'Reconciliation is dead': Indigenous Australians vow silence after referendum fails

New Zealand moves sharply to the right in national elections
WP

Reuters: New Zealand Prime Minister-elect Luxon to get cracking on building coalition relationships

Today:
Thai Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin will lead a delegation to the third Belt and Road Forum in Beijing as part of a four-day visit to China.

Tuesday:
China hosts the third Belt and Road Forum.

Wednesday:
China released its Q3 GDP figures.

Will the next general election be the most expensive fight in British history?
Labour and the Tories are filling their coffers with cash from donors as they prepare for next year’s poll. It’s also set to be the dirtiest battle yet. Oliver Shah

The nuclear dispute driving a wedge between France and Germany:
The two nations have opposing ideas about atomic energy, threatening the EU’s transition away from fossil fuels. FT

Polish PiS ahead but opposition eyes majority in election, exit poll shows:
Reuters reports Poland's incumbent Law and Justice (PiS) party was narrowly ahead in Sunday's general election, exit polls showed, but the liberal opposition appeared to secure a majority, raising the possibility of an end to eight years of nationalist rule.

Poland election: Both main challengers claim 'victory':
DW reports polls have closed in Poland, and both the largest parties claimed victory in the minutes after the polls closed.

Friday:
President Joe Biden hosts the European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen and European Council president Charles Michel in Washington.

The Disneyfication of the national brand:
From IKEA’s Sweden to Swiss watchmakers, today’s companies are remaking the images of entire populations. Simon Kuper

Reuters: Biden 2024 campaign, allies raise $71 million in latest quarterly haul

Bloomberg: ‘Informal’ House Speaker talks underway with GOP, Jeffries says

+ The US House of Representatives will vote to choose a new speaker on Tuesday at approximately 12:00 pm ET.

Tuesday:
Donald Trump returns to New York state court to hear his one-time lawyer and fixer, Michael Cohen, testify against him in a civil fraud case.

The US economy’s secret weapon: Seniors with money to spend:
Americans 65 and older account for record share of spending and are less susceptible to interest rates. WSJ

WTF happened in 1971?
Website

Pro-tip: I was born in 1971.

Where Glossier went wrong:
The billion-dollar darling of the beauty industry missed its moment. FT

FT: Merck to open £1bn London research centre with plea for government support of industry

Reuters: Ferrari to accept crypto as payment for its cars in the US

Automakers have big hopes for EVs; Buyers aren’t cooperating:
Sales growth has slowed in the US as car companies are finding a limited pool of consumers willing to pay more for these models. WSJ

Can the city of Pontiac steer itself to revival like nearby Detroit?
The once-flourishing Michigan community built America’s muscle cars like the Trans Am. Some say it’s on the verge of a comeback, but the road is long. WP

Austin’s office market is exploding. But no one is moving in.
WP

Bloomberg: DC confronts its biggest obstacle to downtown revival: Federal buildings

Pro-tip: DC mayor's message to Team Biden: "Get those mofo bureaucrats back in downtown DC offices"

‘Simulating the Cosmos’ and ‘The Universe in a Box’ review:
Big picture: Even powerful simulators cannot model in detail a single galaxy, which may contain hundreds of billions of stars. WSJ

How AI could help — or hurt — internet freedom
WP - Editorial

Upcoming US rules on AI chip exports aim to stop workarounds
Reuters 

Wednesday:
Foxconn Technology Day.

Email is de̶a̶d̶:
A playful and immersive display in partnership with Intuit Mailchimp to explore email’s transformational powers. With the acceleration of new technologies like artificial intelligence and new methods of connecting online, the display will ask: How will email shape our future? The Design Museum

FT Executive MBA Ranking 2023:
Employer funding of managers has fallen fast, but demand for a global degree is strong. FT

+ Illinois is one of the University of Alabama's biggest feeder states and is the top supplier outside the South.

Today:
Walt Disney, the world’s largest entertainment company, commemorates its 100th anniversary.

On a new ‘Frasier,’ James Burrows has a joke for you:
Over nearly five decades, Burrows has directed a thousand sitcom episodes. Next up: the new Paramount+ series, which follows Frasier Crane’s return to Boston. NYT

RIP: Suzanne Somers.

WP: Love Taylor Swift or not, her concert film is astonishing

Taylor Swift’s ‘The Eras Tour’ movie nears $126 Million in US debut:
WSJ reports the movie grossed an estimated $95 million to $97 million domestically in its opening weekend, putting it on par with some of the year’s biggest theatrical debuts.

How Daniel Roseberry became the internet’s favorite fashion designer
WP

Fashion week hits Kenya's biggest urban slum
AFP

Friday:
The 50th anniversary of the Sydney Opera House.

Why is anxiety rising?
Fears of extinction, COVID, socializing, and a second Trump term are all at play. Andy Kessler

How sleep became the new marginal gain in football:
Fears over performance, mental health, and medication misuse mean rest has never been more important. The Times

Wearable lower limb tracking system awarded FIFA certification for use in official matches for first time
The Athletic

AFP: Spain, Scotland, and Turkey lock up Euro 2024 spots

AFP: Man Utd fans seek clarity as Ratcliffe eyes minority stake

Breakers grapple with hip-hop’s big Olympic moment:
Largely left out of hip-hop’s 50th anniversary, breaking will get its stage at the Paris Olympics. Its pioneers wonder if their art will translate into sport. NYT

Rugby World Cup - Final Four:
South Africa, England, New Zealand, and Argentina

+ Semi-final match-ups:

Friday, October 20 - Argentina v New Zealand @ 3:00 pm ET

Saturday, October 21 - England v South Africa @ 3:00 pm ET


Saturday:
In Chile, the Pan American Games opening ceremony in Santiago.


Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly.

-Marc 

Marc A. Ross | Chief Communications Strategist @ Caracal

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