Silvio Berlusconi

Caracal Insider Daily | January 30, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

SOTU, Brexit, Silvio Berlusconi, Wang Qishan, iPhone X, Grammy Awards, Chief Wahoo

Caracal Insider Daily
January 30, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

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TOP FIVE

✔️ EU expects Britain to ask for secret longer transition

✔️ Silvio Berlusconi’s astonishing (and unsurprising) return

✔️ China’s Xi looks to ally to fix US relations

✔️ Trump's State of the Union aims for unity

✔️ Cleveland Indians to drop Chief Wahoo logo
 

GEOECONOMICS

EU expects Britain to ask for secret longer transition: The Times reports, European Union negotiators expect Britain to seek an extended exit transition period and suggest that the request will remain secret to avoid a rebellion by Eurosceptic cabinet ministers and backbench MPs. Britain will leave the EU at midnight on March 29 next year but is preparing to agree by this March the terms of a transition to help to limit the disruption for business.

British Lords get ready to disrupt Brexit: Bloomberg reports, the road out of the European Union gets bumpier as key legislation heads to the upper house of parliament.

Brexit disarray finally brings UK business out fighting: FT reports, looming deadlines have now caused companies to increase their pressure on the government.

This leaked government Brexit analysis says the UK will be worse off in every scenario: BuzzFeed News has seen a new Brexit impact assessment, which says leaving the EU will adversely hit almost every sector and every UK region. https://goo.gl/aLVzFj

Carles Puigdemont seeks return for investiture: The Times reports, Carles Puigdemont was yesterday preparing to ask for permission to return to Spain despite facing arrest on charges of rebellion, sedition and embezzling public funds. The fugitive Catalan separatist leader was planning to ask Spain’s supreme court to be allowed to attend a debate and vote in the Catalan parliament tomorrow where he could win back his job as regional president.

Silvio Berlusconi’s astonishing (and unsurprising) return: NYT reports, a master of reinvention, the three-time former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi is poised to win in Italy’s election despite, well, everything.

China’s Xi looks to ally to fix US relations: WSJ reports, Xi considers enlisting Wang Qishan, known as the ‘fireman’ for crisis postings, as tensions rise.

US companies complain of unfair treatment in China, want pressure but not war: WP reports, American companies to feel less welcome than before in China and want the U.S. government to put more pressure on Beijing to level the playing field, the American Chamber of Commerce in China said Tuesday. William Zarit, chairman of AmCham China, warned that Chinese officials had told him they would “definitely” retaliate if the U.S. administration introduced tariffs or other restrictions on Chinese imports as a result of ongoing investigations into steel and aluminum imports and intellectual property violations.

US firms say China’s business climate is warming, survey finds: WSJ reports, the upbeat tone comes despite a rise in China-US trade tensions and worries over-regulation.

"59% of companies rank China among the top three priorities of global investment plans, up from 56% last year."

Fudged numbers revealed as officials' performance redefined: Caixin reports, new focus on quality over speed in economic growth forces local governments to come clean.

Caixin: Beijing has tools to prevent systemic collapse, regulator says

Cool.

China's rise is over: Standford University Press reports, while international relations experts marvel at China’s growth, the PRC’s own elites take a more sober view. https://goo.gl/KcLSU3

You'll be hearing more of this = China has risen and India is rising in the coming years.

79: The number of attempts it took to clone Zhong Zhong and Hua Hua, two genetically identical monkeys created in a Chinese laboratory. 

AP: Drought-hit Cape Town to set up disaster operations HQ amid water crisis

Bloomberg: Venezuelan pirates rule the most lawless market on Earth


AMERICAN POLITICS

'He has to be normal': Trump's State of the Union aims for unity after a polarizing year: Politico reports, facing a grim midterm election outlook for his party, the president plans to focus on selling agenda items with a bipartisan touch.

Bloomberg: Trump won’t announce NAFTA withdrawal in State of Union, sources say

Trump’s State of the Union speech will reiterate promises to ‘rebuild the military’: Military Times reports, Trump’s State of the Union address on Tuesday will repeat his promises to “rebuild our military” and defeat terrorism around the globe, with specific reprimands directed at North Korea for aggressive military moves in recent months. 

Immigrants to be in the spotlight at State of Union: WSJ reports, Trump plans Tuesday to outline in his State of the Union address a broad agenda for the coming year, but he is also expected to wade into a more immediate political showdown: an immigration deal. 

SOTU is set for 9:00 pm ET.

47%: The percentage of foreign investment in the state of Kentucky that comes from Japan. 

Hung out to dry twice, Tennessee city stumped by Trump's washer tariffs: Reuters reports, when Trump imposed steep tariffs on imported washing machines last week it was a “Not Again” moment for officials in this north Tennessee city that has lost jobs to an international trade dispute before. The move threatens to stunt the launch of a new LG Electronics washing machine factory under construction in Clarksville, just four years after the U.S.-China trade fight over solar panels scuttled a nearly $1.2 billion Hemlock Semiconductor polysilicon plant. “It’s like déjà vu for Clarksville, to say ‘how can this be happening twice to us,'” the city’s mayor, Kim McMillan, told Reuters.

"Capital expenditures are the lifeblood of a growing economy, and without these expenditures, the economy will just muddle along." -- Chuck Butler - creator and editor of A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.

Rising stars collide in shadow 2020 primary: Politico reports, a glut of Democratic contenders could fracture the party in some of the bluest states in the nation.

"Two rising stars in California are about to collide: Sen. Kamala Harris of San Francisco and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti. As potential Democratic presidential candidates in 2020, the pair might soon be asking the activists and donors who have known them their entire political careers to finally choose sides."

Chelsea Manning's campaign website is based in Iceland. Why?: Defense One reports, for one thing, it's harder for US law enforcement to search. That may matter to the Wikileaks contributor-turned-US Senate candidate. 

ENTERPRISE

Facebook plans to put all of users' privacy settings in one place ahead of new European Union regulations set to take effect in May.

Facebook acquired identity authentication startup Confirm.io

27%: Xiaomi has toppled Samsung as the manufacturer with the largest market share (27% vs Samsung's 25%) in India’s smartphone market, according to Canalys.

NYT: Side benefit to Amazon’s headquarters contest: Local expertise

"Detroit was not chosen as a finalist for Amazon’s second headquarters, but its bid gave the company a peek at the kind of tax breaks the city was willing to offer."

WSJ: Apple to cut output of the new iPhone X amid weak demand

Waymo revealed an agreement to acquire thousands of minivans from Fiat Chrysler.

TRENDS

29.4: A quality pair of comfortable, stylish premium jeans requires 29.4 minutes of manufacturing time.

Digiday: Bloomberg’s Twitter network TicToc is getting 750,000 daily viewers

Green buildings: Researchers at Harvard University calculated that between 2000 and 2016, green-certified buildings in America prevented up to 405 premature deaths, 21,000 sick days at work and 16,000 lost school days by reducing local air pollution.

CULTURE

The 2018 Grammy Awards was a tone-deaf, out-of-touch mess https://goo.gl/xmxeH

The CBS telecast of the Grammy Awards is down a steep 21 percent from 2017 in early numbers, potentially spelling an all-time low.

SPORT

Cleveland Indians to drop Chief Wahoo logo from uniforms in 2019.

The New England Patriots have participated in 37 playoff games since 2001, losing only nine of them. 

Caracal Business Insider | November 6, 2017

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Saudi Arabia | Silvio Berlusconi | Donna Brazile | Rand Paul  | Shalane Flanagan

Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider: Politics + Policy + Profits

"You've got to win the politics to set the policy to ensure the profits." - Marc A. Ross, founder of Caracal Global.

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia


GEOECONOMICS

Broad crackdown reins in Saudi elite: WSJ reports, a sweeping weekend roundup of more than five dozen princes, ministers and prominent businessmen in Saudi Arabia marks a dramatic escalation in the crown prince’s effort to consolidate power and accelerate far-reaching change in the kingdom.

Saudi crown prince upends traditions in purge of rivals: NYT reports, the move appeared to be the most sweeping shift in governance the kingdom has experienced for more than eight decades.

“It is the coup de grâce of the old system,” a former US ambassador said. “Gone. All power has now been concentrated in the hands of Mohammed bin Salman.”

Trump urges Japan to buy more US military equipment: WSJ reports, Trump pushed for Japan to buy “massive” amounts of military equipment from the U.S., saying that it would help the country shoot down missiles like those nearby North Korea fired overhead in recent months.

Nikkei: Abe, Trump agree to exert 'maximum pressure' on North Korea

Bloomberg: Trump pushes Japan to buy military equipment, hits out on trade


@FoxBusiness: @POTUS to Japan: "I am committed to achieving a fair, free and reciprocal trading relationship."

Wooing Trump, Xi seeks great power status for China: NYT reports, Xi Jinping, the most powerful Chinese leader in decades, wants the United States to share global leadership with China as equals.

Trump’s two-day visit to China starts Wednesday.

Trump is about to learn that China couldn't care less about America First
LAT - David Rothkopf

A more hawkish Trump approach to China is coming soon
WP - Josh Rogin

Deposed Catalan leader released by Brussels judge: FT reports, Puigdemont told to stay in Belgium during process to decide on Spain’s extradition request.

How the Catalonia vote threatens the EU
Reuters - John Lloyd

Outside of Catalonia, independence movements exist in the UK (Scotland), France (Brittany and Corsica), Bavaria (Germany), Belgium (Flanders) and Italy (Lombardy and Veneto). 

Silvio Berlusconi’s coalition set for victory in Sicily poll: The Times reports, Silvio Berlusconi’s center-right coalition appeared to have snatched a narrow lead over the anti-establishment Five Star Movement in Sicilian regional elections, according to exit polls released last night. Matteo Renzi’s hopes of a second stint as Italian prime minister appeared to have been dealt a severe blow as his center-left party were put in a distant third. The results of the regional poll, which involves 4.6 million voters, are being closely watched for signs as to who may prevail in national elections next spring.

He's back.

No one knows what Britain is anymore
NYT - Steven Erlanger

Rather than a vote for a global Britain and economic liberalism, Mr. Tilford said, Brexit was a vote for protectionism, and its political system now “is deeply provincial and introverted at a time when Britain is supposed to be heading out into the world.”

#MustRead


FT: Globalisation marches on without Trump

A new wave of trade talks threatens to leave US isolated. 

AMERICAN POLITICS

Donna Brazile: I considered replacing Clinton with Biden as 2016 Democratic nominee
WP

VA-GOV: Virginia’s gubernatorial election is tomorrow and polls suggest the race is neck and neck and could go either way.

FT: Democrats battle to unify in Virginia election

Gillespie shuns Trump in biggest race of 2017: Politico reports, the GOP Virginia nominee never invited the president to campaign, fearing a backlash in the DC suburbs. And some conservatives aren't happy about it.

Wednesday at the DNC could be a disastrous meltdown = Donna Brazile book + Losing VA governor's race

House departures: 27 Republicans have left or are leaving the House of Representatives - not a good sign if you are looking to keep a majority.

Injuries Sen. Rand Paul sustained in attack far more severe than initially thought: WP reports, the two-term senator is recovering from five broken ribs and bruises to his lungs after being allegedly attacked by a neighbor on Friday. It is unclear when Paul (R-KY) will return to Washington, aides said Sunday.

Is Tom Cotton the future of Trumpism? 
New Yorker - Jeffrey Toobin

NBC News: Mueller has enough evidence to bring charges in Flynn investigation

The fact Flynn hasn't been arrested yet has to suggest cooperation with the Mueller investigation.

WSJ: Russian Twitter support for Trump began shortly after he started campaign—in June 2015

Bloomberg: Trump Jr. hinted at review of anti-Russia law, Moscow lawyer says


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Marc A. Ross works with clients to develop executive education lectures, speeches, presentations, workshops, and conferences to help demystify Globalization, Disruption, and American politics. Learn more here.

ENTERPRISE

WSJ: Broadcom proposes to buy Qualcomm for $103 billion

The unsolicited bid would be the largest pure tech merger ever.

Bloomberg: Coca-Cola's next big bet may be spiffing up your cocktail mixers

“Mixers are seeing a resurgence in many parts of the world as part of this trend.”

Goldman Sachs Group and China Investment Corp. are partnering on a multibillion-dollar fund to help the giant Chinese fund invest in US manufacturing and other sectors.

Caixin: UnionPay reaches complete penetration at US ATMs

Bloomberg: Qatar Airways buys Cathay Pacific stake for $662 Million


CNBC: Ford and Europe's auto giants to build a long-distance electric charging network

- 20 fast-charging stations to be in operation by the end of 2017

- 400 stations aimed to be built across Europe by 2020

- Technology would have twice charging capacity of Tesla's offering


TRENDS

Early-bird special: Some families can’t wait for Thanksgiving: WSJ reports, more Americans are celebrating Turkey Day earlier than the fourth week of November, citing cheaper travel and lower stress.

Today's cheapest iPhone vs the PalmPilot: 20 years of handheld computing: As we welcome the innovative iPhone X, it's worth noting that you can buy a new iPhone for less than the original PalmPilot. Even Apple's lowest-end device is hundreds of thousands of times more powerful than handhelds from 20 years ago.
ZDNet - David Gewirtz

SPORT

NY Daily News: Shalane Flanagan becomes first US woman to win NYC Marathon since 1977

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