Caracal Insider Daily | January 17, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

Cryptocurrencies, Spy Network, Bannon, Olympics, Sammy Hagar, KFC Canada

Caracal Insider Daily
January 17, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
: https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Cryptocurrencies are crashing

✔️ Ex-CIA officer suspected of helping China is arrested

✔️ How China infiltrated US classrooms

✔️ Bannon is subpoenaed

✔️ How the Olympics turned China on to skiing
 

GEOECONOMICS

Bloomberg: Cryptocurrencies are crashing

North Korea behind the
cyberattack on cryptocurrency investors: WSJ reports, the hacking offensive’s malware is similar to that used in Pyongyang’s attack on Sony Pictures and its WannaCry ransomware assault, according to researchers.

Bloomberg: China escalates crackdown on cryptocurrency trading

Ex-CIA officer suspected of helping China is arrested: NYT reports, the former officer is suspected of compromising the spy agency’s informants in China, many of whom were killed in a systematic dismantling of the agency’s network there, officials said.

"The collapse of the spy network was one of the American government’s worst intelligence failures in recent years."

"Officials said the number of informants lost in China rivaled losses in the Soviet Union and Russia during the betrayals of both Aldrich Ames and Robert Hanssen"

SCMP: Chinese state enterprises post record level of profits in 2017

China is working on a new index to put a different spin on trade gap with US: SCMP reports, researchers from Beijing university developing ‘global value chain index’ claim skilled laborers in the US could actually benefit from Chinese exports.

Vanity metrics are just that.

Trump tells Xi US trade deficit with China 'not sustainable': AFP reports, in telephone talks, Trump "expressed disappointment that the United States' trade deficit with China has continued to grow," the White House said in a statement.

Big business is scrambling to conform with China’s worldview: Bloomberg reports, multinational businesses keen for a slice of the world’s fastest-growing consumer market are finding they have to increasingly conform to China’s worldview if they want to stay in Beijing’s good graces. Companies from Marriott International Inc. to Qantas Airways Ltd. are scrambling to fall in line with China’s stance on the treatment of territorial disputes, or risk missing the biggest market opportunity some of them have ever known. 

"Intolerance for slights shows China’s geopolitical clout"

Politico: How China infiltrated US classrooms: Even as they face criticism, Chinese government-run educational institutes have continued their forward march on college campuses across the United States. https://goo.gl/VFWkzg

TOI: At less than 1% of GDP, India's spend on R&D continues to be less than other emerging economies

India's oil imports rose by about 1.8 percent in 2017 to a record 4.37 million barrels per day

Australia takes Canada to WTO over 'wine discrimination': ST reports, Australia Trade Minister Steve Ciobo said the measures included extra taxes, fees and mark-ups on imported wine, separate distribution channels reserved for local wine and restricting the sale of imported wine in grocery stores to a "store within a store".

WSJ: Airbus boss takes aim at Trump’s trade stance

Italy election campaign descends into race row: AFP reports, Italy was gripped by a racism row Tuesday as parties from across the political spectrum weighed in on calls to defend the "white race", sparking anger but also drawing support. Politician Fortilio Fontana from the anti-immigrant Northern League said Italy had a stark choice to make over immigration, propelling the contentious topic to the front and center of the general election campaign.

The Wrong way to pressure China: Too many mergers are being upheld without a clear rationale.
Bloomberg - Michael Schuman

"But there's a right way and a wrong way to pressure China. And from the looks of it, Washington is choosing the wrong way."

AMERICAN POLITICS

Bannon is subpoenaed in Mueller’s Russia investigation: NYT reports, the move marked the first time Mr. Mueller is known to have used a grand jury subpoena to seek information from a member of Trump’s inner circle. 

Hicks to the Hill: White House Communications Director Hope Hicks is expected to meet with the House Intelligence Committee as soon as this week as part of the panel's Russia investigation.

WSJ: White House doctor calls Trump’s health ‘excellent’

AFP: Trump's doctor says president 'healthy,' has no cognitive issues


WP: How close will California get to an all-Democratic House delegation in 2018? https://goo.gl/hRXVJW

Dave Chappelle on bringing Chinese jobs back to Americahttps://goo.gl/EFhVdt

Chelsea Manning will run for the US Senate in Maryland. 

LAT: Cost of California bullet train jumps by $2.8 billion just in the Central Valley

The Hill: Wisconsin-Foxconn deal could cost public $4.5 billion


ENTERPRISE

GE may break itself up, chief executive says: WSJ reports, General Electric's chief executive said the company was considering breaking apart after disclosing more problems buried in one of its major units. John Flannery, who took over as CEO last summer, said the company was exploring separating its major division into individually traded units, a shift from decades of deals that once made GE the most valuable company in the U.S

Reuters: Uber to introduce mandatory rest breaks for UK drivers

Scott Galloway on Facebook’s allegiance https://goo.gl/pfssNk

Reuters: Health-conscious Nestle sells US candy to Ferrero for $2.8 billion

KFC Canada now accepts Bitcoin for buckets of chickenhttps://goo.gl/YCKAQS

TRENDS

Found on Instagram, sold on Alibaba: Even the smallest brands are now the victims of counterfeiting: LAT reports, Team Dream is a small business by most any measure. The quirky cycling apparel brand has just five employees. It produces only about 100 pieces of each garment and operates out of a converted gas station in San Marino, where a closet-sized nook doubles as both a fulfillment center and R&D lab.

Detroit’s startup scene is exploding and here are the numbers to prove it https://goo.gl/iBb7TT

"Detroit has 50% more venture-backed startups than it did three years ago."

Top 18 tech trends at CES 2018 https://goo.gl/cr7mkz

CULTURE

LAT: Hip-hop’s television takeover https://goo.gl/L6YcCU

Sammy Hagar: Content marketing /bundling / brands / pricing power: Tren Griffin writes, why am I writing about Sammy Hagar? The answer is simple: because he has been a very successful business founder in addition to being a rock and roll star. To become an effective learning machine you will benefit from acquiring knowledge from as many sources as possible, including unconventional sources. https://goo.gl/9v59Fk

Inside one of America’s last pencil factorieshttps://goo.gl/4J1oBr

SPORT

How the Olympics turned China on to skiing: Outside reports, behold the astonishing explosion of alpine sports in the People’s Republic as directed, promoted, and financed by the Communist Party in the run-up to the 2022 Beijing Olympics.

Face-down, head-first, 90 miles an hour on the ice: NPR reports, Olympic skeleton racers' chins rest an inch or two above the ice. "Obviously, you don't want your face scraping across the ice 'cause it does slow you down," says one. "But it also doesn't feel good."

Army challenges Vegas Golden Knights hockey team over its name: Army Times reports, the US Army is officially challenging the Vegas Golden Knights more than a year after the hockey team revealed its name. 

Caracal Insider Daily | January 16, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

Bitcoin, Trade Clash, Huawei, Starbucks, Lego, Social Media News

Caracal Insider Daily
January 16, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
: https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Bitcoin plunges 20%

✔️ Lawmakers urge AT&T to cut ties with Huawei

✔️ US and China prepare for trade clash

✔️ A new Starbucks opens in China every 15 hours

✔️ Half of Americans want to regulate social media news
 

GEOECONOMICS

Bitcoin plunges 20%: The price of bitcoin plunged by as much as 20% amid concerns about tighter regulation falling below $12,000 for the first time since early December.

France wants tougher rules on bitcoin to avoid criminal use: AP reports, France’s finance minister says he wants new regulation targeted at virtual currencies, to stop them from being used for tax evasion, financing terrorism, and other crime.

WSJ: Oil briefly reaches $70 as buoyant global economy bolsters demand

Battle stations: US and China prepare for trade clash of the titans: A trade war between the U.S. and China would be more bruising and protracted than the battles that raged in the 1980s over Japanese exports and would risk taking down the entire global trading architecture.
WSJ - Andrew Browne

"The last time Washington mobilized for a trade war, Ronald Reagan was president and Japan the adversary."

China disrupts internet access for global groups: FT reports, companies fear being forced on to expensive platform surveilled by Beijing. 

Lawmakers urge AT&T to cut ties with Huawei: Reuters reports, US lawmakers are urging AT&T, to cut all commercial ties to Chinese phone maker Huawei Technologies and oppose plans by telecom operator China Mobile to enter the American market because of national security concerns. The lawmakers are also advising US companies that if they have ties to Huawei or China Mobile - like partnering on 5G or selling handsets - it could hamper their ability to do business with the US government.

China fake data mask economic rebound: FT reports, GDP numbers unlikely to show the scale of recovery because of previous moves to hide slowdown.

Bloomberg: Xi Jinping’s debt clampdown has left a trail of dead projects

"As consumption sustains growth, once-prized programs lie idle"

China admits to having agents in Canada as former judge harassed in Toronto: Globe and Mail reports, for more than 15 years, the Chinese government has provoked anger in Canada, Australia, the United States and elsewhere for sneaking security agents abroad

Days after Hawaii alert gaffe, Japan issues a false alarm about a missile launch: Reuters reports, Japanese public broadcaster NHK issued a false alarm about a North Korean missile launch on Tuesday, just days after a similar gaffe caused panic in Hawaii, but it managed to correct the error within minutes.

WP: North Korea calls Trump a ‘lunatic’ and a ‘loser’ in response to nuclear button tweet

NK nukes - no: Foreign ministers from around 20 nations will gather for a meeting in Vancouver today, co-hosted by the U.S. and Canada, to discuss how to curb North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. But China, seen as a key player in any long-term solution, will be absent. 

Donald Tusk calls for a second Brexit referendum: The Time reports, Donald Tusk has called on Britain to reverse the decision to leave the European Union with a second referendum or a House of Commons vote on the final Brexit deal. The president of the European Council made his appeal as pressure grows on MPs to press for a second referendum or to reject a withdrawal agreement.

The Times: Le Pen plans to rename and rebrand National Front

Italy falls for nostalgia: Don't blame only the politicians. Italian voters are also fed up with "reform."
Bloomberg - Ferdinando Giugliano

"Nostalgia, welcome back to Rome."

America last? EU says Trump is losing on trade: Reuters reports, the European Union’s trade tsar has no idea what Donald Trump will tell his audience at the World Economic Forum in Davos next week, but she is clear what the EU’s message to the U.S. president will be. America is shooting itself in the foot by withdrawing from global leadership on trade, Cecilia Malmstrom, the 49-year-old Swede who has served as Europe’s trade commissioner for the past three years, told Reuters.

AMERICAN POLITICS

WP: Chances of shutdown grow as GOP turns to short-term spending deal for government

Bloomberg: GOP leaders struggle to avert shutdown after immigration blow-up

The US government runs out of money at midnight on Friday.

Today: Trump meets with President Nursultan Nazarbayev of Kazakhstan.

Slate: The cannabis industry is well-armed to fight Jeff Sessions https://goo.gl/RJnpYP

The Pentagon is planning to develop two new sea-based nuclear weapons to respond to Russia and China’s growing military capabilities.

Flu bug USA: The entire continental US is experiencing widespread flu right now, the first time in the 13 years of the current tracking system that this has happened.

ENTERPRISE

Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne said Monday he has no plans to sell its Jeep business or split up the company.

CNBC: Ford plans $11 billion investment, 40 electrified vehicles by 2022

Autonomous technology and automobiles: US Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao told a Detroit auto show forum that the Trump administration is planning to unveil revised self-driving car guidelines this summer.

AFP: Qantas changes website to recognize Chinese territories

Adidas wants to increase its US market share to around 15%-20%.

Alibaba's AI outguns humans in a reading test: Bloomberg reports, Alibaba put its deep neural network model through its paces last week, asking the AI to provide exact answers to more than 100,000 questions comprising a quiz that’s considered one of the world’s most authoritative machine-reading gauges. The model developed by Alibaba’s Institute of Data Science of Technologies scored 82.44, edging past the 82.304 that rival humans achieved.

Lego is partnering with Tencent to jointly develop online games and potentially a social network aimed at children in China. 

Xiaomi has picked Citic Securities, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley as joint sponsors for its proposed IPO, which will most likely be in Hong Kong.

A new Starbucks opens in China every 15 hours.

Chinese carmaker may use Fiat Chrysler for a foothold in the United States: NYT reports, GAC Motor said it planned to bring an SUV to the United States in 2019. It may use Fiat Chrysler dealerships hungry for new models.

TRENDS

Half of Americans want to regulate social media news: Report shows the public is concerned about fake stories and political polarisation.
FT

CULTURE

WSJ: Is that a Frank Lloyd Wright? Prove it: A home designed by a famous architect can command a premium, but in today’s competitive housing market, more buyers are turning to scholars to make sure claims are legitimate. https://goo.gl/F1YWuV

SPORT

Olympic gymnast Biles Alleges sexual abuse by team doctor: WSJ reports, gymnast Simone Biles, the star of the 2016 Olympic Games and the face of her sport in the United States, said she was among the elite gymnasts sexually abused by the longtime US team physician Larry Nassar.

AFP: Cool Runnings' revisited as Jamaican women qualify in bobsled

NFL Las Vegas odds:

Jacksonville v New England -9
Minnesota -3.5 v Philadelphia

This headline is useless to understanding a nation's economy

Assemble.png

The WSJ ran this headline and story today:

China reports biggest-ever annual trade surplus with the US: WSJ reports, China reported its largest-ever yearly trade surplus with the U.S. last year while its overall imbalance with the world shrank, potentially strengthening the Trump administration’s case for tougher penalties and other trade actions against Beijing.

The metric is useful for lazy politicians but is useless otherwise.

A trade surplus is a useless metric to gauge the state of a nation's economy, but it is a beautiful tool for pandering campaign rhetoric.

You need to remember, at its core China is an assembly economy. 

Thus China's economy is a prime example of the obvious statement that the whole is great than the sum of its parts. 

Most Chinese companies import components and materials from around the world and then assemble them into useful products for sale globally.

No R&D. No branding. No marketing. No finance. No software. No logistics.

All actives not measured by current trade surplus formulations.

About the author: Marc A. Ross is the founder of Caracal Global which specializes in global thought-leader communications and management at the intersection of politics, policy, and profits. Ross holds an MBA from UNC Kenan-Flagler Business School.