Caracal Insider Daily | January 22, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

Public Trust, Shutdown, Modi, Davos, Brooklynite, Amazon, Expert-generalist

Caracal Insider Daily
January 22, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ The public’s trust in all institutions has taken a nosedive in the US

✔️ World Economic Forum kicks off today

✔️ Modi to Davos - No Indian PM has attended the WEF since 1997

✔️ Workweek begins as shutdown rolls into the third day

✔️ Amazon's cashierless 'Go' convenience store set to open
 

GEOECONOMICS

Edelman TRUST BAROMETER: The public’s trust in all institutions—government, business, media and non-government organizations—has taken a nosedive in the US in the last year, according to the annual Edelman Trust survey, released this morning in advance of the World Economic Forum in Davos. The decline in trust in government was greatest, falling 14 percentage points, while trust in business fell 10 points, NGOs 9 points, and media 5 points. Worth noting is the survey was done before the government shutdown, which likely will deepen the public’s mistrust. The root cause of the fall, says Edelman: lack of objective facts and rational discourse in the U.S. You can read the full report here: https://goo.gl/bQGwSA

The annual World Economic Forum globalization party in Davos, Switzerland kicks off today.

No Indian PM has attended the WEF since 1997. What does Modi hope to achieve there? https://goo.gl/DHqrYZ

India's PM Narendra Modi to hardsell country at World Economic Forum: ST reports, "In recent years, India's engagement with the outside world has become truly and effectively multi-dimensional covering the political, economic, people to people, security and other spheres," Modi said in a statement on Sundayahead of his visit.

WSJ: Canada and Mexico seek to head off US exit from NAFTA at Montreal talks

Ahead of new NAFTA talks, US is angry and frustrated with Canada for being obstructionist: NP reports, the Trump administration is making known its displeasure about Canada's contributions to date and demanding progress over the marathon 10-day session.

The sixth round of NAFTA negotiations kicked off yesterday in Montreal.

Globe and Mail: Trudeau to play down NAFTA worries, push for Canadian investment on Davos trip

En route to Davos, Macron makes Versailles the place to be: Reuters reports, French President Emmanuel Macron will host dozens of the world’s most powerful business executives at the gilded Palace of Versailles to pitch France Inc before the global elite’s annual gathering at Davos.

“Monday, in the global business world, France will be the place to be.”

China’s Pacific push: Bloomberg reports, with the Trump administration warning of a possible war with North Korea, U.S. allies in Asia are sounding the alarm on another risk: a clash with China in the western Pacific. China’s increased air and naval patrols in disputed areas are prompting Taiwan and Japan to strengthen their defenses, boosting the odds of a confrontation.

Security fears spark crackdown on Chinese tech: The Hill reports, the federal government is taking steps to reduce the presence of some Chinese technology firms in American markets. Earlier this month, AT&T scrapped a deal with Chinese phone maker Huawei, reportedly as a result of pressure from anonymous US lawmakers who cited national security concerns.

Bloomberg: Trump-China trade clash fears flare anew one year later https://goo.gl/fMDkF1

China is already gene-editing lots of humans: A new report says that at least 86 people have had their genes edited in China. The Wall Street Journal reports CRISPR gene-editing has been used in Chinese hospitals to treat human diseases like cancer since 2015.

India will showcase 'Act East' policy on Republic Day: Defence Minister: NDTV reports, Defence Minister Nirmala Sitharaman today said, "The prime minister's intention that the 'Look East' policy should now be the 'Act East' policy is really taking shape."

Germany: Social Democrats voted to enter formal coalition talks with Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives, ending four months of political uncertainty.

It’s impossible for the UK to win Brexit negotiations: BI reports, this is what Theresa May should do, according to Yanis Varoufakis. 
https://goo.gl/jGvoix

Rex in London Town: US Secretary of State Tillerson has made a discreet visit to the new US embassy in London after Trump ditched plans to open it himself.

6 minutes: Aggregate amount of sunshine Moscow recorded in the entire month of December, the lowest ever.

A Bitcoin is ditry: The computation to “produce” a new Bitcoin uses as much energy as an American household consumes in two years.

Why Canada is poised to become a prime destination for Bitcoin mining https://goo.gl/EkVqPM

AMERICAN POLITICS

WSJ: Agencies implement shutdown plans

NYT: Shutdown goes into Monday as Senate inches toward deal

WP: Workweek begins as shutdown rolls into the third day


Stephen Miller, a hard-liner on immigration, is at the center of the fight over ‘dreamers’: WP reports, an adviser to Trump, Miller holds an influential yet delicate role — a true believer in restrictionist immigration policies attempting to broker a deal on behalf of a president with hawkish, but flexible, positions.

Lawmakers face a new vote as US shutdown drags on: FT reports, Trump marks year in office with federal agencies closed over spending battle. 

A national security group, the Alliance for Securing Democracy, found that #SchumerShutdown has become the top trending hashtag promoted by Russian bots on Twitter.

Trump to Davos? With the government shutdown, it is unlikely DJT will make the trip. Trump was scheduled to leave for Davos on Wednesday, speak on Thursday and return on Friday. 

“Trump is as loathed by the elites of Western Europe as he is by the elites of Manhattan.” --Niall Ferguson, a senior fellow of the Hoover Institution

The decline and fall of Wilbur Ross https://goo.gl/Qum8cw

Jared Kushner is China’s Trump card: How the President’s son-in-law, despite his inexperience in diplomacy, became Beijing’s primary point of interest.
New Yorker

ENTERPRISE

ADM has made a takeover approach to the agriculture trader Bunge.

Twitter said it is notifying 677,775 US users who followed, retweeted or liked tweets from accounts of the Internet Research Agency, a Russian government-linked troll farm.

Facebook announced that it plans to allow users to rank the media outlets that they believe are the most trustworthy in an effort to prioritize high-quality news on the social media platform. 

NYT: Facebook to let users rank credibility of news

This is dumb.

WSJ: Amazon's cashierless 'Go' convenience store set to open

This is smart.

"no lines, no checkouts, no registers"


Amazon is to launch Amazon Prime Music in India in the coming weeks.

Fortune: World's most admired companies:

1. Apple
2. Amazon
3. Alphabet
4. Berkshire Hathaway insurance
5. Starbucks
6. Walt Disney
7. Microsoft
8. Southwest Airlines
9. FedEx
10. JPMorgan Chase


Full report here: https://goo.gl/HJzwZY

How to win founder and influence everybody: Wired reports, an operating partner at Andreessen Horowitz, Margit Wennmachers is among the most skilled spin masters in Silicon Valley. https://goo.gl/yebiLa

The good, the bad and the ugly of NRF's Big Show 2018: While the conference showcased plenty of "cool tech," overall "felt stuck in a time warp" and needs to innovate faster.
RetailDrive - Christopher Walton

TRENDS

How Warren Buffett’s billionaire deputy became an “expert-generalist” https://goo.gl/NryiBb

“It’s more profound than, I don’t know, electricity or fire.” – Google CEO Sundar Pichai explains how important he thinks AI is. 

Beyond the Bitcoin bubble: Yes, it’s driven by greed — but the mania for cryptocurrency could wind up building something much more important than wealth. https://goo.gl/ir1EgV

CULTURE

A day in the life of a 12- (almost 13!) year-old Brooklynitehttps://goo.gl/iEoiXY  

Caracal Insider Daily | January 18, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

US Leadership. NAFTA, Bayeux Tapestry, 996, SurveyMonkey, Amazon, Apple, TB12

Caracal Insider Daily
January XX, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ World's approval of US leadership drops to new low

✔️ 5 ways GDP gets it totally wrong

✔️ France offers to loan Bayeux Tapestry to the UK

✔️ Amazon narrows list to 20 locations for second headquarters

✔️ What can science tell us about grunting in tennis?
 

GEOECONOMICS

World's approval of US leadership drops to new low: One year into Donald Trump's presidency, the image of U.S. leadership is weaker worldwide than it was under his two predecessors. Median approval of U.S. leadership across 134 countries and areas stands at a new low of 30%, according to a new Gallup report.

"Median approval of US leadership is 30%, down from 48% in 2016"

"Germany's leadership now tops that of US, China and Russia"


5 ways GDP gets it totally wrong as a measure of our success
WEF - David Pilling

"But GDP is well past its sell-by date, as people are starting to realize. However brilliant the concept, a measure that was invented in the manufacturing age as a means of fighting the Depression is becoming less and less capable of imparting sensible signals about complex modern economies."

Genius. I wish I would have written this.

Reuters: Trump says terminating NAFTA would yield the 'best deal' in renegotiations

Bloomberg: Trump has come to see NAFTA's benefits, agriculture secretary says

"Trump "probably left the campaign trail literally believing that NAFTA had not been good for any sector of the economy," Perdue said in an interview at his office on Wednesday in Washington."

Killing NAFTA would ruin American farmers
WSJ - Karl Rove

Surveillance state: Bloomberg reports, China is trialing a new tracking tool in one of its favorite testing grounds: Xinjiang. Already full of checkpoints and security cameras, the restive region that’s home to about 10 million Muslim Uighurs is piloting facial-recognition systems that alert authorities when targeted people venture more than 1,000 feet beyond designated areas.

@mstandaert: China is destroying imports that say ‘Made in Taiwan’ in a push for Taiwan to be seen as a region of China http://read.bi/2Dk0E82

First Chinese takeover of US group under Trump gets go-ahead: FT reports, regulatory green light for Beijing-controlled semiconductor group’s Akrion purchase.

Silicon Valley would be wise to follow China’s lead: The work ethic in Chinese tech companies far outpaces their US rivals.
FT - Michael Moritz

996 = 9am to 9pm 6 days a week = Chinese entrepreniual mantra

Bloomberg: China to overtake US economy by 2032 as Asian might builds

Wait, I thought this was supposed to happen in 2020?

"North Korean propaganda is in a category all its own. It is not surprising that North Korea is sending more cheerleaders and musicians than athletes." -- Michael Anton, a spokesman for the National Security Council.

Diplomatic tapestry: Theresa May meets Emmanuel Macron on today with the backdrop of Brexit talks – and the reputation the French are getting in Brussels for taking a hard line on the divorce. France is due to lend the Bayeux Tapestry to Britain for the first time. 

DW: France offers to loan Bayeux Tapestry to the UK

"The work depicts the bloody conquest of England by the Normans in 1066."

Macron and May weave joint initiatives to conceal Brexit fallout: FT reports, defense, economic and cultural collaboration to be announced as they meet near London

Hotel EU? European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said the UK can always re-apply for membership after leaving.

Bloomberg: May’s date to make up with Trump in Davos is on ice

"With Anglo-American relations coming under strain, the British prime minister’s team wanted to schedule a catch-up conversation between the two leaders during the annual World Economic Forum." 

AMERICAN POLITICS

Shutdown status: House Republicans are short of the votes they need to avoid a government shutdown.

Steve Bannon will be interviewed by Robert Mueller’s investigators instead of testifying before a grand jury signaling that he’s cooperating.

NYT: Trump was not ‘fully informed’ in campaign wows on wall, chief of staff says

Oh. Well. Ok.

With Trump's visit to Pennsylvania, GOP scrambles to save a House seat: NYT reports, Republicans are scrambling to save a heavily conservative House seat in western Pennsylvania, dispatching President Trump to the district on Thursday while preparing a multimillion-dollar advertising campaign to stave off another embarrassing special election defeat in a district that was gerrymandered to stay Republican.

PA road trip: Trump plans to visit Pittsburgh today to stump for a House candidate in a special election that Republicans view as a bellwether for their prospects of retaining their congressional majorities in the 2018 midterms.

Reuters: Trump vows to campaign intensively for Republicans, may avoid primaries

"I am going to spend probably four or five days a week helping people because we need more Republicans"

Open season in the House: Republicans retirements give Democrats some clear targets, but the path to House majority more about beating incumbents.
Sabato's Crystal Ball

"So far there are 46 House seats where an incumbent won’t be running for reelection in November. That is already above the postwar average, and more open seats are likely."

#OHGOV: Dennis Kucinich officially announces run for Ohio governor

Facebook, Twitter, YouTube detail fight against extremists at Senate hearing: The Hill reports, at a Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee hearing, the tech giants gave a rare glimpse into the inner workings of Silicon Valley companies as lawmakers probed their anti-terrorism efforts.

ENTERPRISE

Apple hearts tax reform: Apple reportedly told its employees that it's issuing a $2,500 bonus in the form of restricted stock units following the introduction of the new US tax laws. Apple also has pledged to invest more than $30 billion to expand its American operations in the wake of last month's US tax cut, even as it makes an estimated $38 billion one-off tax payment on the repatriation of its overseas profits.

Verizon announced that its fourth-quarter earnings will increase by almost $17 billion as a result of the new US tax law. 

Bloomberg: US Treasury sees virtual currencies as 'evolving threat'

Bitcoin speculative bubble is bursting and has a long way to fall, economists warn: Guardian reports, despite losing 40% in a matter of weeks the cryptocurrency still has further to drop according to experts at Capital Economics.

Bitcoin fell below $10,000 for the first time since November.

SurveyMonkey is expected to go public later this year.

Ars Technica: Report: GM and Waymo lead driverless car race; Tesla lags far behind

GoogFroce: Google and Salesforce unveil first elements of partnership.

Peugeot plans to use the 2017 acquisition of GM's European Opel and Vauxhall operations as the springboard to re-enter the American market.

I hope they bring the 304 convertible.

Bloomberg: Amazon narrows list to 20 locations for second headquarters

The finalist cities are:

Atlanta, GA
Austin, TX
Boston, MA
Chicago, IL
Columbus, OH
Dallas, TX
Denver, CO
Indianapolis, IN
Los Angeles, CA
Miami, FL
Montgomery County, MD
Nashville, TN
Newark, NJ
New York City, NY
Northern Virginia, VA
Philadelphia, PA
Pittsburgh, PA
Raleigh, NC
Toronto, ON
Washington DC


I am crushed for Detroit.

After reading this - it is clear the DMV is in the running. With three listed finalists, plus Bezos owing the Washington Post and maintaining a home in the District, Amazon looks to be coming to the Washington DC metroplex. 


TRENDS

The American sedan is dying. Long Live the SUV: Detroit executives are killing off their slow-selling cars in favor of SUVs.
Bloomberg

It’s time for Apple to build a less addictive iPhone: Apple gave us the modern smartphone. Now, it can create a new take on the device by encouraging us to use it more deliberately — and a lot less.
NYT - Farhad Manjoo

CULTURE

Bloomberg: Goldman's no. 2 allegedly swindled out of $1.2 million of wine by assistant

"De-Meyer’s regular duties included receiving wine shipped to Solomon’s Manhattan apartment and transporting it to his boss’s cellar in East Hampton, New York."

Among the stolen wines were seven bottles of Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, a Burgundy known as “liquid velvet,” that had cost him $133,650.

British gin is back baby: Guardian reports, official figures show there are now 315 gin distilleries in Britain, which is more than double the number five years ago. Data collected by HM Revenue & Customs reveal that 50 opened last year alone. Experts believe that locally made “artisan” gins championed by hipsters are behind the explosion in its new-found popularity rather than international brands.

US doctors plan to treat cancer patients using CRISPRhttps://goo.gl/AqkNmB

SPORT

NBA + Verizon: A new wide-ranging agreement with the National Basketball Association and Verizon will extend the telecommunications giant's relationship with the league beyond streaming games and into content creation as well as virtual and augmented-reality fan experiences.

@SCMP_News: Shenzhen has replaced Singapore as the host of the WTA Finals — and doubled the prize money

NFL playoff ratings are down 16%.

TB12: New England Patriots will make their 12th AFC Championship Game appearance under Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, and the legendary coach/QB combo will be gunning for a record eighth Super Bowl appearance together. 

@DeadlineDayLive: BREAKING: Arsenal forward Alexis Sánchez has agreed to a four-year contract with Manchester United, worth £14m-a-year.

Olympic spirit: North Korea and South Korea will field one unified Korean women’s hockey team at the upcoming Olympic Games in Pyeongchang, South Korea.

Guardian: What can science tell us about grunting in tennis?Grunting could be considered performance-enhancing for the grunter and performance-hindering for their opponent. https://goo.gl/h5BHu8

Caracal Insider Daily | January 17, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

Cryptocurrencies, Spy Network, Bannon, Olympics, Sammy Hagar, KFC Canada

Caracal Insider Daily
January 17, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Cryptocurrencies are crashing

✔️ Ex-CIA officer suspected of helping China is arrested

✔️ How China infiltrated US classrooms

✔️ Bannon is subpoenaed

✔️ How the Olympics turned China on to skiing
 

GEOECONOMICS

Bloomberg: Cryptocurrencies are crashing

North Korea behind the
cyberattack on cryptocurrency investors: WSJ reports, the hacking offensive’s malware is similar to that used in Pyongyang’s attack on Sony Pictures and its WannaCry ransomware assault, according to researchers.

Bloomberg: China escalates crackdown on cryptocurrency trading

Ex-CIA officer suspected of helping China is arrested: NYT reports, the former officer is suspected of compromising the spy agency’s informants in China, many of whom were killed in a systematic dismantling of the agency’s network there, officials said.

"The collapse of the spy network was one of the American government’s worst intelligence failures in recent years."

"Officials said the number of informants lost in China rivaled losses in the Soviet Union and Russia during the betrayals of both Aldrich Ames and Robert Hanssen"

SCMP: Chinese state enterprises post record level of profits in 2017

China is working on a new index to put a different spin on trade gap with US: SCMP reports, researchers from Beijing university developing ‘global value chain index’ claim skilled laborers in the US could actually benefit from Chinese exports.

Vanity metrics are just that.

Trump tells Xi US trade deficit with China 'not sustainable': AFP reports, in telephone talks, Trump "expressed disappointment that the United States' trade deficit with China has continued to grow," the White House said in a statement.

Big business is scrambling to conform with China’s worldview: Bloomberg reports, multinational businesses keen for a slice of the world’s fastest-growing consumer market are finding they have to increasingly conform to China’s worldview if they want to stay in Beijing’s good graces. Companies from Marriott International Inc. to Qantas Airways Ltd. are scrambling to fall in line with China’s stance on the treatment of territorial disputes, or risk missing the biggest market opportunity some of them have ever known. 

"Intolerance for slights shows China’s geopolitical clout"

Politico: How China infiltrated US classrooms: Even as they face criticism, Chinese government-run educational institutes have continued their forward march on college campuses across the United States. https://goo.gl/VFWkzg

TOI: At less than 1% of GDP, India's spend on R&D continues to be less than other emerging economies

India's oil imports rose by about 1.8 percent in 2017 to a record 4.37 million barrels per day

Australia takes Canada to WTO over 'wine discrimination': ST reports, Australia Trade Minister Steve Ciobo said the measures included extra taxes, fees and mark-ups on imported wine, separate distribution channels reserved for local wine and restricting the sale of imported wine in grocery stores to a "store within a store".

WSJ: Airbus boss takes aim at Trump’s trade stance

Italy election campaign descends into race row: AFP reports, Italy was gripped by a racism row Tuesday as parties from across the political spectrum weighed in on calls to defend the "white race", sparking anger but also drawing support. Politician Fortilio Fontana from the anti-immigrant Northern League said Italy had a stark choice to make over immigration, propelling the contentious topic to the front and center of the general election campaign.

The Wrong way to pressure China: Too many mergers are being upheld without a clear rationale.
Bloomberg - Michael Schuman

"But there's a right way and a wrong way to pressure China. And from the looks of it, Washington is choosing the wrong way."

AMERICAN POLITICS

Bannon is subpoenaed in Mueller’s Russia investigation: NYT reports, the move marked the first time Mr. Mueller is known to have used a grand jury subpoena to seek information from a member of Trump’s inner circle. 

Hicks to the Hill: White House Communications Director Hope Hicks is expected to meet with the House Intelligence Committee as soon as this week as part of the panel's Russia investigation.

WSJ: White House doctor calls Trump’s health ‘excellent’

AFP: Trump's doctor says president 'healthy,' has no cognitive issues


WP: How close will California get to an all-Democratic House delegation in 2018? https://goo.gl/hRXVJW

Dave Chappelle on bringing Chinese jobs back to Americahttps://goo.gl/EFhVdt

Chelsea Manning will run for the US Senate in Maryland. 

LAT: Cost of California bullet train jumps by $2.8 billion just in the Central Valley

The Hill: Wisconsin-Foxconn deal could cost public $4.5 billion


ENTERPRISE

GE may break itself up, chief executive says: WSJ reports, General Electric's chief executive said the company was considering breaking apart after disclosing more problems buried in one of its major units. John Flannery, who took over as CEO last summer, said the company was exploring separating its major division into individually traded units, a shift from decades of deals that once made GE the most valuable company in the U.S

Reuters: Uber to introduce mandatory rest breaks for UK drivers

Scott Galloway on Facebook’s allegiance https://goo.gl/pfssNk

Reuters: Health-conscious Nestle sells US candy to Ferrero for $2.8 billion

KFC Canada now accepts Bitcoin for buckets of chickenhttps://goo.gl/YCKAQS

TRENDS

Found on Instagram, sold on Alibaba: Even the smallest brands are now the victims of counterfeiting: LAT reports, Team Dream is a small business by most any measure. The quirky cycling apparel brand has just five employees. It produces only about 100 pieces of each garment and operates out of a converted gas station in San Marino, where a closet-sized nook doubles as both a fulfillment center and R&D lab.

Detroit’s startup scene is exploding and here are the numbers to prove it https://goo.gl/iBb7TT

"Detroit has 50% more venture-backed startups than it did three years ago."

Top 18 tech trends at CES 2018 https://goo.gl/cr7mkz

CULTURE

LAT: Hip-hop’s television takeover https://goo.gl/L6YcCU

Sammy Hagar: Content marketing /bundling / brands / pricing power: Tren Griffin writes, why am I writing about Sammy Hagar? The answer is simple: because he has been a very successful business founder in addition to being a rock and roll star. To become an effective learning machine you will benefit from acquiring knowledge from as many sources as possible, including unconventional sources. https://goo.gl/9v59Fk

Inside one of America’s last pencil factorieshttps://goo.gl/4J1oBr

SPORT

How the Olympics turned China on to skiing: Outside reports, behold the astonishing explosion of alpine sports in the People’s Republic as directed, promoted, and financed by the Communist Party in the run-up to the 2022 Beijing Olympics.

Face-down, head-first, 90 miles an hour on the ice: NPR reports, Olympic skeleton racers' chins rest an inch or two above the ice. "Obviously, you don't want your face scraping across the ice 'cause it does slow you down," says one. "But it also doesn't feel good."

Army challenges Vegas Golden Knights hockey team over its name: Army Times reports, the US Army is officially challenging the Vegas Golden Knights more than a year after the hockey team revealed its name.