Caracal Insider Daily | February 5, 2018

Caracal Insider Daily Jan2018 (1).png

YouTube, Amazon Alexa, Bitcoin, Sorghum, Brutal Cold

Caracal Insider Daily
February 5, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Dow futures shed 300 points

✔️ YouTube to label state-funded broadcasters

✔️ China launches probe over US sorghum imports

✔️ Bitcoin falls to fresh 2-1/2 month low

✔️ Brutal cold raises concerns over Olympics opening ceremony
 

GEOECONOMICS

CNBC BREAKING: Dow futures shed 300 points as stocks resume Friday's ugly sell-off

YouTube to label state-funded broadcasters in drive against misinformation: WSJ reports, Google unit to provide more context around propaganda, conspiracy theories.

A new kind of nuclear arms race grips the US and Russia: NYT reports, after years of reduction-based treaties, the Pentagon envisions bringing nuclear weapons back in play to counter a push by Russia to modernize its forces.

China in talks over military base in remote Afghanistan: AFP reports, worried about militants sneaking into a restive Chinese region from war-torn Afghanistan, Beijing is in talks with Kabul over the construction of a military base, Afghan officials say, as it seeks to shore up its fragile neighbor. 

LAT: Tillerson embraces US alliances with Latin America before he visits the region

China launches probe over US sorghum imports: WSJ reports, China’s Commerce Ministry said it initiated an anti-dumping and anti-subsidy investigation after preliminarily finding that heavy volumes and low prices of American exports sorghum, bolstered by U.S. subsidies, hurt Chinese growers.

Nikkei - Ian Bremmer: US-China trade duel heading for trouble: Both governments will keep squeezing, each believing the other is more vulnerable. https://goo.gl/7yTekf

Bloomberg: What happens when China eclipses the US in Asia: A Q&A with Hugh White, a former top Australian official who feels Beijing has already filled the US leadership void. https://goo.gl/2jwmjo

US-China Business Council tells China its IT policies constrain US companies: IUST reports, China’s information technology policies are making it increasingly difficult for U.S. companies to fully and efficiently operate there, the US-China Business Council claims in new recommendations sent to China. China’s recent policies, following its Cybersecurity Law that went into effect last June, impact investment, data flows and security and create barriers and obstacles for U.S. companies operating there, the USCBC says.

China puts the final nail in the cryptocurrency coffin: SCMP reports, China is to block all websites related to cryptocurrency trading and initial coin offerings (ICOs) – including foreign platforms – in a bid to finally quash the market completely. https://goo.gl/SttC3m

Bitcoin falls to fresh 2-1/2 month low: Reuters reports, Bitcoin, the world's best-known cryptocurrency, fell 7 percent on Monday to a fresh 2-1/2-month low of $7,599 on back of growing worries about a regulatory clampdown and bans on the purchase of the digital coins.

Nikkei: 'India is the new China,' say construction equipment makers

AFP: Indonesia economy picks up with 5.1% growth in 2017


AP: UK's May under pressure as Conservatives at war over Brexit

"Since becoming prime minister in 2016, May has walked a fine line between two feuding factions in her party: those who want a clean break, even if it means trade barriers with Europe, and those who want to keep Britain's economy closely aligned to the 28-nation EU."

Secret plan to end Tory turmoil on trade talks: The Times reports, ministers are preparing a Brexit compromise aimed at ending the increasingly acrimonious row in the Conservative Party over whether Britain stays in the EU’s customs union. The 11-strong Brexit “war cabinet” will meet on Wednesday and Thursday to try to break the 19-month deadlock.

Canada moves to the forefront of NAFTA talks: Automotive News reports, coming out of the Montreal round of talks — which observers and participants interpreted as a positive step toward an agreement — it's Canada that has emerged as the central focus of Washington's negotiating efforts, and frustrations. Indeed, in his closing statement in Montreal, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer barely even mentioned Mexico. Instead, he sharply rebuked the northern neighbor on several matters and drew attention to an $87 billion goods deficit with Canada in 2016, including energy.

AMERICAN POLITICS

Budget: Congress is expected this week to pass another stopgap spending bill to avoid a government shutdown.

12 depressing previews of America’s next war: Foreign Policy reports, the excellent new book by Lawrence Freedman, The Future of War: A History, demonstrates that military futurists, like political pundits, have a terrible track record of predicting the future in their field of expertise. Freedman notably warns to avoid those who proclaim, “the ease and speed with which victory can be achieved while underestimating the resourcefulness of adversaries.”  https://goo.gl/kQXYPD

California Democrats unveil their battle strategy for election season: ‘Go left’: WP reports, in the self-labeled “state of resistance,” the political debate is being pushed further left without any sign of a Republican renaissance to serve as a check on spending and social policy ambitions. That means Democratic candidates will be staking out the most liberal stance on issues such as single-payer health care.

LAT: California bakes as winter temperatures set new records across the state

ENTERPRISE

Amazon will "double down" on voice assistant Alexa.

AFP: Amazon strikes French deal to end tax dispute

Amazon edges NFL in Ad Meter even closer than Super Bowl LII: USA Today AdMeter reports, in an extraordinarily tight contest, Amazon’s commercial for Alexa edged the NFL’s Dirty Dancing-themed spot to win this year’s USA TODAY Ad Meter. “Alexa Loses Her Voice” topped the annual competition with an average rating of 7.1836 and “Touchdown Celebrations to Come” finished at 7.1777.

Watch the top 5 highest-rated Super Bowl LII adshttps://goo.gl/L92WWN

Nissan to spend $9.5 billion in push to be top-3 China brand: FT reports, an investment strategy to focus on electrified vehicles and local models.

Handelsblatt: China’s Geely buys shares in Mercedes-maker Daimler: The world’s largest luxury carmaker is getting a new, potentially strategic shareholder: Chinese peer Geely is building up a stake. It could be part of a bigger plan to turn the Asian firm into a global car giant.

Bloomberg: Alibaba buys stake in Wanda Film in $1.2 billion share sale

WSJ: Broadcom to raise offer for Qualcomm to about $120 billion


Apple Music is on the verge of overtaking Spotify in U.S. paid subscribers.

Body Shop owner Natura targets global growth: FT reports, South American cosmetics group will unveil a new corporate entity called Natura &Co that will control businesses.

Reuters: Singtel to spend up to $413 million to nudge up stake in India's Bharti Telecom

TRENDS

Visual Capitalist: 35 Chinese cities with economies as big as countries: There are literally dozens of Chinese cities that most people in Western countries have never heard of – yet they each hold millions of people and have an economic output comparable to nations. Here’s a list of 35 of them, the size of their local economy, and a comparably sized national economy. https://goo.gl/qAUgPk

Book review: Dismal statistics: Is gross domestic product—the preferred measure of growth for most economists—still useful for gauging the health of economies? Diane Coyle reviews ‘The Growth Delusion’ by David Pilling.

CULTURE

Stewart Resnick is the biggest farmer in the United States:A fact he has tried to keep hidden while he has shaped what we eat, transformed California’s landscape, and ruled entire towns. California Sunday Magazine

"400,000 acre-feet. That’s the annual amount of water Stewart Resnick, the biggest farmer in California, uses to water 15 million trees he has in the San Joaquin Valley. For comparison, the city of Los Angeles consumes 587,000 acre-feet annually."

Kathy Griffin: Can a comic in exile come back?https://goo.gl/LGkMsJ

SPORT

AFP: Brrr! Brutal cold raises concerns over Olympics opening ceremony

The Pyeongchang Games are shaping up to be one of the coldest Olympics ever. 

Wired To Lead™ Podcast With Brigadoon Founder Marc A. Ross

Brigadoon founder Marc A. Ross speaks with Perry Smith and Cameron Gott on the Avalon Institute's Wired to Lead podcast.

The discussion focused on developing Brigadoon to be a leading global network where curious and compelling entrepreneurs and thought leaders gather as well as cognitive preferences, executing ideas, and going to market.

Caracal Insider Daily | January 31, 2018

TrumpSOTU.jpg

Reciprocal, Russian, Republican, Retail

Caracal Insider Daily
January 31, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Caracal Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Trump says global trade will be fair and reciprocal

✔️ PM May is bringing 50 business leaders with her to China

✔️ Vatican accused of ‘selling out’ Catholic Church to China

✔️ VW in uproar over diesel fume tests on monkeys

✔️ Fox close to deal to air NFL’s ‘Thursday Night Football’

GEOECONOMICS

Trump says global trade will be fair and reciprocal: The Hill reports, Trump said Tuesday night that the days of unfair trade are over and the United States will improve global agreements and make way for new deals.

"America has also finally turned the page on decades of unfair trade deals that sacrificed our prosperity and shipped away our companies, our jobs and our nation's wealth,” he said during his State of the Union address on Capitol Hill. The era of economic surrender is over.”
 
EU ready to hit back if Trump imposes anti-EU trade measures: the European Union said that it stands ready to hit back “swiftly and appropriately” if Trump takes unfair trade measures against the 28-nation bloc. The EU’s warning comes less than 24 hours after Trump expressed his annoyance with EU trade policy, saying it “may morph into something very big.”

May accused of ‘baffling’ decision to neglect Beijing: The Times reports, PM May has been criticised for a “baffling” decision to overlook China as she prepares to leave for her first trade mission to the country, amid concern that David Cameron’s drive for closer ties with Beijing has slowed. In a sign of how priorities have changed since Mrs May entered Downing Street, the official UK prime minister account on the Chinese equivalent of Twitter, which was established with a fanfare in 2013 by her predecessor, has not posted for more than a year and still contains many of Mr Cameron’s details. Concerns over President Xi’s flagship investment project also threaten to overshadow the three-day visit.

PM May is bringing 50 business leaders with her to China as she seeks alternative sources of trade and investment after Britain leaves the European Union.

May warns China to play by global rules: FT reports, PM strikes a more skeptical note on bilateral relations than Cameron.

The Vatican accused of ‘selling out’ Catholic Church to China:FT reports, former HK cardinal says Holy See ordered two bishops to make way for Beijing’s choices.

Taiwan Strait turbulence: Bloomberg reports, two Chinese airlines canceled more than 170 extra flights to Taiwan next month as part of Lunar New Year holiday travel after failing to gain approval from Taipei officials.

Taiwan bristles as flag vanishes from US government websites: Nikkei reports, the erasure of Taiwan's flag from a number of U.S. government websites has made waves on the island, with authorities expressing deep disappointment to Washington, which claims its stance toward the Taiwanese government remains unchanged. 

German ambassador: Second World War image of Britain has fed Euroscepticism: Guardian reports, Peter Ammon says some Brexiters were motivated by a sense of national identity built around UK standing alone.

Berlusconi’s model army will ditch Eurosceptics: The Times reports, Silvio Berlusconi has taken a big step in his political comeback by promising leaders in Brussels that he will put together a coalition after next month’s election to include none of the anti-EU parties that he is campaigning with.

The Times: Rise of robots puts 230,000 Scottish jobs under threat

"According to the Centre for Cities report, the paper says that Dundee is most at risk from the rise of robot labor. As the smallest Scottish city in the survey, the predicted job losses represent 25 percent of its workforce."

WSJ: Macron’s France great again? Europe growth outpaces US

Russian jets fly within five feet of Navy plane over the Black Sea: Navy Times reports, Russian fighter jets got dangerously close to a Navy aircraft Monday over the Black Sea, the second such incident in as many months. 

All-time: I was inverted - Top Gun https://goo.gl/o15rM2

AMERICAN POLITICS

WSJ: Trump hails start of ‘new American moment’

"President promotes infrastructure plan, says he sees room for work on immigration"

NYT: ‘This is our new American moment’

The Hill: Trump makes case he’s stoking American dream

WP: Trump touts efforts to keep nation safe from terrorism, calls for more military spending

LAT: Trump calls for unity in hopes of altering a threatening tide

Bloomberg: Trump connects presidency with prosperity in ‘American moment’

FT: Trump lauds economic record in State of the Union


Never miss a chance to advocate: Airbnb launched a new ad timed to the SOTU entitled "Expletive-filled Interest." You can see the ad here: https://goo.gl/G8Wa86

The Hill: Dems boo, hiss at Trump immigration remarks

Today: Republican Congressional retreat begins in West Virginia

No. 51: Ellis Insight reports, the number of House open seats continues to grow.  Yesterday, veteran Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-NJ), one-term chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, announced that he will not seek a 13th term later this year. The Frelinghuysen retirement brings the total House number of incumbents who will not stand for re-election to a robust 51, keeping in mind that we have passed candidate filing deadlines in only two states.

MSU: Sources tell Crain's that former Michigan Gov. John Engler will likely be named Wednesday to aid his alma mater during the deepest crisis in its 163-year history.

ENTERPRISE

Big 3 healthcare challenge: CNBC reports, Amazon.com, Berkshire Hathaway, and JPMorgan Chase announced they plan to create an independent company aimed at cutting health care costs for their US employees that would be "free from profit-making incentives," according to a joint statement.

Jamie Dimon will stay on as JPMorgan's CEO for another five years.

CNBC: Starbucks to debut credit cards, boost afternoon offerings

Blackstone is in talks to buy a huge chunk of Thomson Reuters' financial and risk business for more than $17 billion. 

Bloomberg: Bitcoin heads for worst monthly slide since December 2013

Facebook bans ads that promote cryptocurrencies.

The Walmart-Amazon war’s China wildcard: L2 reports, in a a speech at Davos last week, JD.com CEO Richard Liu announced that the Chinese e-tailer was raising funds to set up logistics for its global expansion as it plans to take on Amazon in the United States. The company plans to start selling online in the second half of this year from a base in Los Angeles, focusing initially on the West Coast Chinese diaspora.

WSJ: Exxon to spend $50 billion in US over next five years

Volkswagen in an uproar over diesel fume tests on monkeys: Volkswagen's  supervisory board calls for an inquiry into who commissioned tests in which monkeys were exposed to toxic diesel fumes, amid criticism from Germany's government.

WTH is going on with the German auto industry?

To save retail, Bloomingdale's turns to Migos: GQ reports, stores are trying to keep up with customers’ changing demands: exclusively launching a collection of Migos merch is an admirable attempt at just that.

TRENDS

The future of soda might be coffee: WP reports, coffee drinkers tend to savor their brew in the morning and switch to soda or water as the day goes on. But the world's largest beverage companies want to turn that morning cup of joe into an all-day staple - and an heir to the sodas that consumers have soured on. On Monday coffee giant Keurig Green Mountain acquired Dr. Pepper Snapple, the maker of 7 Up, Hawaiian Punch and other popular drinks. The reason? They're trying to reach consumers "throughout the day," according to a company news release.

CULTURE

Today: 'Super blue blood moon' visible for first time in over 150 years

SPORT

The NFL can't blame Trump anymore: It is facing a 'structural decline in viewership': Recode reports, turns out pro football is just like regular TV, after all: Ratings were down 12 percent during the regular season, and even more during the playoffs.

Bloomberg: Fox close to deal to air NFL’s ‘Thursday Night Football’