Venezuela, Brexit, Trade, Oil, Jamie Dimon, US Soccer, Cannes Film Festival

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Venezuela, Brexit, Trade, Oil, Jamie Dimon, US Soccer, Cannes Film Festival

Marc Ross Daily
May 8, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
: https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ US asks Organization of American States to suspend Venezuela

✔️ Boris goes to war with May over her 'crazy' Brexit trade plan

✔️ China president’s top economic adviser to visit Washington

✔️ Oil prices hit $70 a barrel for first time since 2014

✔️ Dimon lays out 100-year China vision with trade spat on horizon

GEOECONOMICS

AP: US asks Organization of American States to suspend Venezuela

The U.S. has announced new sanctions on three Venezuelans and 20 companies with ties to President Maduro, whom it blames for a deep recession and hyperinflation that have caused food shortages across Venezuela. 

Cuba in drive to attract foreign investment: FT reports, negotiations on some projects are underway as country endures economic crisis.

Iran: Trump plans to announce his intentions on the Iran nuclear deal on Tuesday at 2:00 pm ET.

Italy in a mess: Bloomberg reports, Italy is heading for fresh elections. The anti-establishment group Five Star yesterday abandoned efforts to form a government and demanded a new ballot in July. That call was backed by the anti-immigrant League.

Germany’s Mittelstand gets to grips with digital challenge: FT reports, disruptive technologies trigger strategic rethink in companies at core of economy.

Daily Mail: Boris goes to war with May over her 'crazy' Brexit trade plan

Taiwan opposition ditches pro-China overtures ahead of
poll:FT reports, Kuomintang reverts to moderate approach to draw support from voters wary of Beijing.

China president’s top economic adviser to visit Washington: WSJ reports, Xi Jinping plans to dispatch his top economic aide next week to Washington to continue discussions over the ongoing trade dispute with the White House. Vice Premier Liu He’s visit is slated to come after a team of U.S. trade officials traveled to China last week at the direction of Trump. White House press secretary Sarah Sanders announced Mr. Liu’s visit on Monday. The U.S. team returned without a significant breakthrough in the standoff over tariffs. Trump received a briefing Monday morning on those talks and remains optimistic that a deal can be reached, Ms. Sanders said.

FT - Editorial: Donald Trump’s irrational trade demands on China: If one sat down and made a determined effort, it would be hard to come up with a more economically wrong-headed, diplomatically toxic and legally destructive negotiating position than that presented to China last week by a visiting US trade delegation. Mr Trump needs to be careful. China has already shown itself adept at targeted retaliation to hurt the US, stopping purchases of sorghum from politically sensitive agricultural states. With a wide range of tools at its disposal, Beijing can hit Mr Trump where it hurts, in his political heartland.

US-China tech wars threaten global sector disruption: FT reports, banned component sales. A blocked $142bn chip takeover. Fresh concessions demanded on a second chip deal. If this is just the warm-up, analysts say the US-China tech wars look likely to severely disrupt the global tech sector on both sides of the Pacific. 

Hillary Clinton says China's foreign power grab 'a new global battle': Guardian reports, China’s attempt to gain political power and influence in foreign countries is “a new global battle”, Hillary Clinton has warned. “In Australia and here in New Zealand experts are sounding the alarm about Chinese efforts to gain political power and influence policy decisions,” Clinton said.

WSJ - Niall Ferguson and  Xiang Xu: Trump and the ‘Chimerica’ crisis: The countries’ divergence began in 2015, as Beijing took defensive steps against financial risk. https://on.wsj.com/2wpsmxa

AMERICAN POLITICS

NY AG: Eric Schneiderman resigned after The New Yorker reported that four women had accused him of physically assaulting them.

The finance sector spent $719 million on politics in 2017.

Oliver North is poised to become the National Rifle Assn.’s nextpresident.

NYT: Oil prices hit $70 a barrel for first time since 2014

Election 2018: Indiana, North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia are holding primary elections today to nominate candidates for November. 

NYT: Meet the pro-trade, pro-immigration economist running for Congress. As a Republican. in Ohio. https://nyti.ms/2IloAtl

"Tim Kane, 50, has a résumé that sounds as if he answered a casting call for a Republican congressional candidate: An Ohio native, he served in the Air Force, then earned a Ph.D. in economics and worked at conservative think tanks such as the Heritage Foundation and the Hoover Institution. Along the way, he helped start two companies, wrote four books and became a familiar commentator on economic issues in newspapers and on television."

California now has the world’s fifth largest economy.

ENTERPRISE

Ticketmaster plans to use face-recognition tech to check people into events. 

Dimon lays out 100-year China vision with trade spat on horizon: Bloomberg reports, Jamie Dimon laid out his long-term vision for JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s expansion in China, while expressing hopes that mounting trade tensions won’t derail the plans. “We’re building here for a hundred years,” Dimon, chief executive officer of the largest U.S. bank, said Tuesday in a Bloomberg Television interview in Beijing. “One day you’ll probably have a tower here that looks like the tower we have in New York.”

Xiaomi is targeting a valuation of between $70 -$80 billion.

Snap is hiring Amazon veteran Tim Stone as its new chief financial officer.

Nestle is paying Starbucks $7.15 billion for the rights to sell its products around the world.

Mondelez bought the crispy cookie wizards at Tate's Bake Shop for $500 million.

Facebook is testing whether there is a market for an ad-free subscription service for its platform.

TRENDS

“Bots won’t be better at being human, just as humans aren’t “better at” being chimpanzees.” -- Damien Patrick Williams, PhD researcher at Virginia Tech, on how robots will experience the world in a way completely different from humans. 

CULTURE

The Cannes Film Festival opens tonight.

One goal of Amazon’s HQ2: Learn the lessons of Seattle. Amazon has surprised officials in cities vying for the company’s new headquarters by asking how to avoid soaring housing costs and paralyzing traffic. https://nyti.ms/2HXTZTe

SPORT

LAT: After U.S. team misses qualifying for World Cup, ex-coach Bruce Arena writes about state of U.S. soccer https://lat.ms/2I1klDO

"U.S. Soccer and MLS, run by people Arena says have limited technical knowledge of the sport."

NASCAR for sale? The France family - which has been the majority owner of the group since its founding in 1948 - reportedly shopping the company. NASCAR is privately held and therefore does not disclose earnings, but a sale could likely fall between $3 - $5 billion.

LAT: California's hottest surf spot is a Kelly Slater-designed artificial wave pool 100 miles inland  https://lat.ms/2JZWvVN

COTD: Spider-Man is America's favorite Avenger

With the 19th movie of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, "The Avengers: Infinity War" promptly breaking box office records internationally, it is time to answer a question budging the minds of comic nerds in the United States. As this graphic indicates, Peter Parker’s alter ego Spider-Man is America’s favorite member of the Avengers group. The Incredible Hulk, the green skinned colossus with an anger management problem, ranks second.

SpiderMan.jpg

Tariff Delay, Itlay, Scotland, Singapore, Apple, Spider-Man, AI, HNA

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Tariff Delay, Itlay, Scotland, Singapore, Apple, Spider-Man, AI, HNA

Marc Ross Daily
May 1, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
: https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Trump delays steel tariff decision for EU, other U.S. allies

✔️ Italy’s governing options diminish

✔️ Scotland leads world with start of minimum alcohol pricing

✔️ U.S. weighing Singapore, Korean DMZ for Trump-Kim summit

✔️ Apple is aiming to release an AR/VR headset in 2020

GEOECONOMICS

WSJ: Trump delays steel tariff decision for EU, other U.S. allies

Trump will give Canada, Mexico and the European Union another 30-day reprieve from steel and aluminum tariffs.

Reuters: Benefit of Trump tax cuts overshadowed by technology and misplaced policies: Milken conference speakers

The Milken Institute Global Conference — an annual confab for investors, researchers and policymakers — kicked off Monday in Beverly Hills.

NAFTA: Representatives from Canada, Mexico and the United States agreed to meet May 7 in Washington to resume negotiations for a revised North American Free Trade Agreement.

Italy’s governing options diminish: The two-month search for a new government was thrown into disarray as leaders of the anti-establishment Five Star and the center-left Democratic Party said dialogue was impossible, extending the gridlock in the euro area's third-biggest economy. 

President Trump will be our greatest ally after Brexit: Freed from ties to the EU, Britain can build a truly special relationship with this US president.
The Times - Jacob Rees-Mogg

Scotland leads world with start of minimum alcohol pricing: AFP reports, Scotland on Tuesday became the world's first country to introduce minimum pricing for alcohol, in what its government expects will be a trailblazing move following years of legal battles. "Scotland is the first country in the world being bold enough and brave enough to introduce minimum unit pricing," Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon told AFP.

AFP: Pacific and China on agenda as Macron arrives in Australia

China woos another Taiwan partner, diluting island’s support
: WSJ reports, China established formal relations with the Dominican Republic, peeling away another of Taiwan’s dwindling diplomatic partners as Beijing tries to pressure Taipei to accept Chinese terms for political engagement.

Reuters: Taiwan says China dangled $3 billion to grab ally Dominican Republic

2022
: The year when China is projected to surpass the U.S. as the largest air travel market, according to a International Air Transport Association forecast.

White House considers restricting Chinese researchers over espionage fears: NYT reports, he Trump administration, concerned about China’s growing technological prowess, is considering strict measures to block Chinese citizens from performing sensitive research at American universities and research institutes over fears they may be acquiring intellectual secrets, according to people familiar with the deliberations. The White House is discussing whether to limit the access of Chinese citizens to the United States, including restricting certain types of visas available to them and greatly expanding rules pertaining to Chinese researchers who work on projects with military or intelligence value at American companies and universities. https://nyti.ms/2FuqbI5

Reuters: U.S. Treasury chief: 'Cautiously optimistic' on China trade talks

Bloomberg - Michael Schuman OpEd: In trade talks, China is too clever by half
: As is often the case in China, how things appear on the surface is not actually how they are. That’s especially true with China’s recent market reforms. Beijing isn’t groveling before a tariff-rattling Washington, nor honestly addressing the frustrations of international CEOs. That’s just not how China works. https://bloom.bg/2rcIUCB

Cui's puzzlement: 'Is America still there?': CD reports, Chinese ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai is puzzled about a country where he has lived and worked for 11 years. "Is the America I used to know -- an open, confident, optimistic America -- still there?" he asked in a speech at Harvard University's Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies on April 17. What perplexes Cui, Beijing's longest-serving ambassador to the US, where he was once a student and UN employee, perhaps also is confounding many others, who are either coming to visit, seeking to study or doing business in the country.

In Beijing they ask, who lost America?!?

U.S. weighing Singapore, Korean DMZ for Trump-Kim summit: WSJ reports, Trump said he was considering Singapore and the demilitarized zone on the Korean Peninsula as the site for his summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un.

AMERICAN POLITICS

NBC News: Kelly thinks he's saving U.S. from disaster, calls Trump 'idiot,' say White House staffers

"Some current and former officials said they expect Kelly to leave by July, and that Trump and Kelly seem to have tired of each other."

LAT: Chief of Staff John Kelly calls ‘BS' on report he called Trump an idiot

Mueller outlined over 40 questions for Trump in
potentialinterview: WSJ reports, special counsel Robert Mueller earlier this year outlined for President Trump’s legal team more than 40 questions he planned to ask as part of his investigation into Trump associates’ ties to Russia.

The House and Senate are out this week.

NYT: Trump’s role in midterm elections roils Republicans

"Congressional and party leaders and even some Trump aides are concerned that the president’s boundless self-assurance about politics will cause him to ignore or undermine their midterm strategy. In battleground states like Arizona, Florida and Nevada, Trump’s proclivity to be a loose cannon could endanger the Republican incumbents and challengers who are already facing ferocious Democratic headwinds."

WP: Democrats were looking at suburban districts. Now they’re glancing toward rural ones too.

"Democrats suggesting that the 2018 field is dramatically larger than anyone could have guessed last year, including in some more rural spots that they once thought of ceding to Republicans."

The lobbying firm CGCN Group emails clients: “Republicans are headed for a tough midterm election … It’s normal that sitting presidents lose many seats in midterm elections … Democratic voters continue to express significantly more interest in the upcoming midterms … enthusiasm gap compounded by the retirements of 46 House Republicans.”

Pompeo dives into NATO diplomacy as allies confront Russia: AP reports, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo rebuked Russia on Friday for what he called aggression beyond its borders, and vowed to restore relevance to a badly demoralized State Department in his new role as the top American diplomat. 

Today: Trump presents the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy to the U.S. Military Academy Football Team.

Trump’s China tariffs risk costing U.S. jobs, new study shows: Bloomberg reports, the tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese imports that Trump has proposed, plus promised retaliatory duties by China, would reduce U.S. gross domestic product by $2.9 billion and cost almost 134,000 U.S. jobs, according to a study commissioned by the Consumer Technology Association and the National Retail Federation, which oppose the tariffs. That includes more than 67,000 jobs in agriculture.

ENTERPRISE

Reuters: Disney to create live sports, entertainment shows for Twitter

Apple
 is aiming to release an AR/VR headset in 2020.

Huawei probe risks bigger shock to smartphone industry: Nikei reports, a ban similar to ZTE's would choke off supplies to the world's third-ranked vendor

Tesla is burning through more than $6,500 a minute.

Tesla has over 300 Chinese startups hot on its tail.

Toyota pushes forward launch of electric vehicle in China.

Reuters: China's HNA drops bid to buy Scaramucci's SkyBridge due to regulatory hold-up

Royal Bank of Scotland
 is to cut around 792 jobs and shutter 162 branches following a review of its branch network in England and Wales.

TRENDS

How much are “free” digital products worth to you? According to surveys of what consumers would have to get to give up various online services by Erik Brynjolfsson, Felix Eggers and Avinash Gannamaneni. Consumers would have to be paid $17,530 per year to give up Internet search, $8,414 for email, $3,648 for maps, $322 for social media and $155 for messaging. The fact they pay nothing suggests they reap substantial “consumer surplus” from these services that does not show up in measured gross domestic product. Of course, consumers may get even more surplus from more mundane non-digital products. How much would you have to be paid to give up indoor plumbing?

The AI arms race: China and US compete to dominate big data: Algorithms trained on mountains of Chinese data may soon be making decisions that deeply affect the lives of people in the US. Beijing plans to be the world leader in the technology by 2030. The contest will come down to who can better manipulate the data. https://on.ft.com/2KtNbdW

Big Data > Big Oil

The world's wealthiest companies are powerhouse data collectors and data users.


The bullshit job phenomenon — are you in one? More than a million people have read David Graeber’s essay arguing that many jobs are pointless. Now he’s expanded his theory into a book. http://bit.ly/2I3Ofqp

"A poll revealed that 37 percent of British workers believe that their job makes no meaningful contribution to the world"

Here's the original essay: On the phenomenon of bullshit jobs: A work rant http://bit.ly/2w52nLg

CULTURE

The spy who came home: Why an expert in counterterrorism became a beat cop. http://bit.ly/2FsJWzL

RIP: Larry Harvey, the founder of the Burning Man festival, has died at the age of 70 after suffering a stroke earlier this month. Harvey kicked off the festival in 1986, when he and about a dozen others burned a wooden man on a San Francisco beach.

SOTD

Friendly Fires - Jump In The Pool http://bit.ly/2jmAo0z

SPORT

A week inside a soccer club when the money runs out: NYT reports, every year, through careless management or reckless ambition, a handful of soccer clubs drift uncomfortably close to collapse. In February, Denmark’s Lyngby B.K. came closer than most. https://nyti.ms/2JKO1lo

AFP: Rangers sack Murty as Gerrard speculation swirls

Champions League - Semi-Finals
:

Today: Real Madrid v Bayern (Aggregate 2-1) 

Wednesday: Roma v Liverpool (Aggregate 2-5)