ZTE, Facebook, Ralph Lauren, Politico, SoulCycle, Hollywood, Flipkart

Marc Ross Daily June.png

ZTE, Facebook, Ralph Lauren, Politico, SoulCycle, Hollywood, Flipkart

Marc Ross Daily
May 23, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Global Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
: https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ EU setting global privacy standards

✔️ Britons dash to become German before Brexit

✔️ Why the US-China trade truce may not last

✔️ 'I’m sorry,' Zuckerberg tells EU Parliament

✔️ Why do Americans stay when their town has no future? 

ROSS RANT

ZTE saga highlights new influence of small US regulatory agency housed in the Commerce Department

The Trump administration has charged the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) with determining which new technology should face export restrictions, in what would be the biggest expansion of the agency’s purview since the Cold War. The agency’s broadening role has alarmed some people in the tech industry, who have had few dealings with the obscure agency.

The little-known division of the US Commerce Department is expected to gain new authority to regulate technology exports.

Technology executives are only beginning to assess how they could be affected by new export limits. Historically, the roughly 450-person BIS, with an annual budget of a little more than $100 million, has operated in relative obscurity, overseeing the export of sensitive technologies that have both commercial and military applications—so-called “dual-use” items. The agency, which has offices in Silicon Valley, also enforces sanctions that prohibit exports to countries the US deems as threats, including Syria, Iran and North Korea.

American tech companies have been on edge since the Trump administration in December unveiled his “America First” security plan that calls for protecting emerging US technology from being copied by overseas competitors. The responsibility for carrying out those goals falls largely to BIS. 

The Information has an excellent write-up on the agency and its oversight of ZTE. You can read it here: http://bit.ly/2LjXWjm

GEOECONOMICS

EU setting global privacy standards: Most big internet companies are planning to offer global users most of the protections required by the law, known as GDPR.

AFP: Macron shuns ‘new’ plan, wants more jobs to tackle deprived suburbs

NYT: Macron vowed to make France a ‘start-up nation.’ Is it getting there?


"When President Emmanuel Macron took office, he took pains to include two iPhones in his official portrait, a symbol of his penchant for technology."

Could Britain have an election in 2018? It’s not impossible: Bloomberg reports, could Britain, which had referendums in 2014 and 2016 and elections in 2015 and 2017, have another vote in 2018? Politicians laugh nervously at the idea, but know that deadlock over Brexit makes it possible. The pound fell to its lowest level this year on Monday amid speculation another snap vote could be called after the Sunday Times said some Conservative lawmakers are privately preparing for one.

The Times: Take UK out of customs union as fast as possible, Boris Johnson tells Theresa May

Britons dash to become German before Brexit
: Reuters reports, driven by the prospect of Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union next year, the number of British passport holders who became German citizens jumped by 162 percent last year, Germany’s Federal Statistics Office said on Wednesday.

Germany in the age of Trump: Handelsblatt Global reports, as the foreign ministers of Germany and the US meet in Washington for damage control, a foreign-policy expert ponders what Germany should do now that Donald Trump has canceled the "partnership in leadership."

@dwnews: In Germany, a woman leads the country, but there isn't a single female CEO in any of its top businesses

North Korea: Trump said yesterday that he would cancel a planned summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un unless Kim first consented to a list of unspecified conditions.

Why the US-China trade truce may not last: Bloomberg reports, the US and China declared a truce in their trade dispute over the weekend, but that will prove temporary if the world’s two largest economies fail to deliver on their vague commitments to re-balance trade. The truce is “little more than a brief de-escalation of tensions,” said Eswar Prasad, a trade policy professor at Cornell University and former head of the IMF’s China unit. “The fundamental differences on trade and other economic issues remain unresolved.”

$53,987 = Per capita GDP in Shanghai

China said its Foreign Minister Wang Yi would visit Washington today.


US seeks greater scrutiny of China tech investment: FT reports, bipartisan support for bill to enable review of minority stakes in start-ups. A key Senate committee on Tuesday is beginning the process of negotiating the final details of a bill that its authors said would give the Committee on Foreign Investment in the US more powers and increase scrutiny of Chinese investments, particularly in tech companies.

Senators urge Trump to take hard line in dealings with China: Reuters reports, at least 27 of the 100 US senators, both Democrats and President Donald Trump’s fellow Republicans, urged his administration on Tuesday not to soften restrictions on the transfer of US technology to China. “There can be no question that China seeks to surpass the US both economically and militarily and become the world’s foremost superpower, and neither the federal government nor private US companies should aid and abet that effort,” the senators said in a letter, whose signatories included Chuck Schumer, the top Senate Democrat, and John Cornyn, the No. 2 Republican.

You can see the letter here: http://bit.ly/2s0GBUw

US and China cannot escape technology war: Beijing won't relent in a state-led drive that Washington is bound to challenge.
Nikkei - James Crabtree

AMERICAN POLITICS

WSJ: Rare bipartisan deal rolls back postcrisis banking regulation

Steely
: Employment in each of America’s top 10 steel cities has grown slower than the US average—or actually declined—since Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

GA-GOV: Stacey Abrams became the first black woman to be a major party’s nominee for governor after she won Georgia’s Democratic primary.

Can Paul Ryan make it through to January as House Speaker? NYT reports, Mr. Ryan pledged to finish out his term when he announced his retirement. But with Republicans in revolt on both his right and his left, he is stuck in the middle, with no clear path forward.

WP: Ryan losing grip on House GOP conference as midterms approach

LAT: California has moved to the left, and Dianne Feinstein is following in her bid for a fifth term

NYT - Andrew Ross Sorkin: An artless negotiation from the president who penned ‘The Art of the Deal’
https://nyti.ms/2x7Hdwy

NYT - Paul Krugman: Why a trade war with China isn’t ‘easy to win’ (slightly wonkish) https://nyti.ms/2LnmBU7

The Times: Trump fundraiser Elliott Broidy ‘lobbied for $1bn in contracts’

"A top fundraiser for President Trump allegedly led a secret effort to diplomatically isolate Qatar as part of a plan to win $1 billion in business contracts from its regional rivals."

A big shoe drops in the Mueller probe, as the Taxi King flips: WP reports, a former business partner of Trump attorney Michael Cohen appears to have gotten a very sweet deal from prosecutors. That should frighten Cohen and Trump.

Evgeny A. Friedman, the business partner of Trump’s personal lawyer Michael Cohen, has agreed to cooperate with prosecutors. 

ENTERPRISE

Hollywood is hoping for a box-office rebound with a slew of summer blockbusters, including “Solo: A Star Wars Story,” “Incredibles 2” and “Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom.” 

China surpassed North America to become the world's largest movie market during the first quarter of 2018.

@CNBCnow: BREAKING: Comcast says it is in the advanced stages of preparing all-cash bid for Fox assets

Politico is launching a content-sharing partnership with the South China Morning Post.

This is a really, really, big deal.

The Alibaba + Jack Ma + China + Politico partnership is super interesting on many levels - easily could be the biggest cultural and commercial US-China tie-up of significance this year. 

I am keen to see how this plays out and both sides of the Pacific. 


How the ‘world’s most comfortable shoe’ is challenging Nike and Adidas: WSJ reports, driven by word-of-mouth sales and an eco-focus, San Francisco's Allbirds has sold over a million shoes in two years. But can this Silicon Valley success story last?

@marcbain_: Americans aren't buying all-American brand Ralph Lauren so much these days. North America sales dropped 15% for the year

Barclays explores mergers with rival banks: FT reports, private talks with StanChart form part of contingency plans after investor pressure.

Nikkei: Honda to tie up with world's largest battery maker in China

Foxconn to cut back
initial investment in $10 billion Wisconsin plant: Nikkei reports, Foxconn's shift to making diversifying displays for cars, personal computers, tablets, mobile devices, televisions and niche products is a change from its previous plan to churn out large panels, mainly for TVs, at the new plant.

AFP: 'I’m sorry,' Zuckerberg tells EU Parliament

Walmart
's takeover of Indian e-commerce giant Flipkart is moving forward, after SoftBank agreed to sell the U.S. firm its entire 21% stake in Flipkart. 

Starbucks app: More than 23.4 million people will open the Starbucks app to pay for their coffee or tea at least once every six months in 2018, according to eMarketer.

When it comes to marketing, often it is best to make it obvious: The Big Ass Fans brand was originally called the HVLS Fan Company.

Yelp seeks to revive EU antitrust complaint against Google.

TRENDS

How Americans watch television:

- 67% of TV viewers switch to another channel when a commercial advertisement comes on, per Nielsen.

- Sports and news are the two genres users still overwhelmingly watch live.

- There are roughly 500 scripted TV series today, compared to roughly 200 in 2010, according to FX's annual Networks Research report.

- 70.3% of the American population — will regularly use another digital device while watching TV this year.


AI: In a survey of Fortune 500 CEOs this year, a majority of respondents—54%—said AI was “very important” to the future of their companies. That’s up from just 39% last year,

CULTURE

Here's Bill Gates summer reading list: http://bit.ly/2LlL0Jz

RIP: Philip Roth, a pre-eminent figure of 20th-century literature, died Tuesday night in Manhattan at the age of 85.

Why do Americans stay when their town has no future? Family and community are the only things left in Adams County, Ohio, as the coal-fired power plants abandon ship and the government shrugs. https://bloom.bg/2IKHvuQ

PODCAST

The BOF Podcast Episode 43: How SoulCycle scales community: Chief executive Melanie Whelan discusses how to successfully build a community around an experience and why people are key to maintaining SoulCycle's special culture.  http://bit.ly/2J0OF1m

SPORT

NBA Playoffs:

BOS v CLE - Series tied 2-2 | Game 5 tonight @ 8:30 pm

GSW v HOU - Series tied 2-2 | Game 5 tomorrow @ 9:00 pm

NHL Playoffs:

Capitals v Lightning - Series tied 3-3 | Game 7 tonight @ 8:00 pm

Vegas Golden Knights are prepping for the Stanly Cup finals by enjoying all you can eat buffets on The Strip. 

Ebola, May, Merkel, ZTE, Vegas Knights, Netflix, Interview, Drones

Marc Ross Daily.png

Ebola, May, Merkel, ZTE, Vegas Knights, Netflix, Interview, Drones

Marc Ross Daily
May 22, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Global Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
: https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Ebola vaccine arrives in Democratic Republic of Congo

✔️ UK Election this September?

✔️ Merkel to seek China as free-trade ally

✔️ Multinationals bow to China’s political sensitivities

✔️ US, China agree on outline to settle ZTE controversy

GEOECONOMICS

Ebola vaccine arrives in Democratic Republic of Congo: WSJ reports, health officials in the Democratic Republic of Congo began administering an experimental Ebola vaccine in the northwestern city of Mbandaka on, as the country battles to contain its ninth outbreak of the hemorrhagic fever.

Paraguay opened its embassy to Israel in Jerusalem Monday, becoming the third country to do so following the United States and Guatemala.

Santiago Times: Chile doesn’t recognize Maduro’s victory in Venezuela, says Piñera

UK Election? Buzz around Westminster is growing that PM May will call for a general election in September to secure more support for her Brexit plans. Such a move would require Parliment approving the decision.

Italy: Italy’s about to be ruled by a populist coalition that features “the high-spending ambitions of the left with the low-tax ambitions of the right,” writes Bloomberg's Clive Crook.

Trump trade threat looms large as Merkel heads to China: Reuters reports, Germany's Angela Merkel faces a delicate diplomatic balancing act when she travels to China this week on a visit clouded by U.S. President Donald Trump's trade threats and his decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal.

Bloomberg: Merkel to seek China as free-trade ally on Beijing trip

Reuters: China relieved US trade war is 'on hold'; U.S. business ambivalent

Multinationals bow to China’s political sensitivities
: FT reports, US calls Beijing’s demands ‘Orwellian nonsense’, but global groups are apologizing. The climbdowns by multinationals are part of a string of incidents that demonstrate that global groups are finding themselves in an awkward position as they try to balance the demands of a more assertive China and potential damage to their image in their home markets if they are seen to be conceding to Beijing.

Opinion: Trump is the gift that keeps on giving — to China
Caixin - Kent Harrington

"All bad management, a business guru once remarked, is taught by example. Donald Trump is teaching a master class on how not to serve as America’s chief executive. By abandoning the thoughtful policymaking of his predecessors in favor of a presidency modeled on reality TV, Trump has failed to articulate anything resembling a credible national strategy."

China plans to end all its limits on the number of children families can have as soon as this year.

China’s economic supremo has upper hand in US trade tussle: FT reports, Liu He passes his first big test in negotiations with US by putting trade war on hold.

US, China agree on outline to settle ZTE controversy: WSJ reports, the US and China have agreed on the broad outline of a deal that would save imperiled Chinese telecom giant ZTE, as the two sides move closer to resolving their trade dispute. The details are still being hammered out, the people said. If completed, the Trump administration would remove the ban on US companies selling components and software to ZTE, a penalty that has threatened to put the company out of business. Instead, ZTE would be forced to make big changes in management, board seats and possibly pay significant fines, the people said.

AFP: Donald Trump at center stage in Mexican presidential debate

Today
: The National Press Club will host former Mexican President Vicente Fox.

The Over | Under on Vicente Fox mentioning The Wall is 17. 

AMERICAN POLITICS

Steve Bannon is mad with The Globalists: He is among those displeased by the US-China trade truce. Trump "changed the dynamic regarding China but in one weekend Secretary Mnuchin has given it away," the former presidential adviser told Bloomberg. He suggested Mnuchin's views on trade were out of sync with Trump's populist base.

Chances of China trade win undercut by Trump team infighting: NYT reports, by the time American negotiators wrapped up high-level talks with a visiting Chinese delegation last week, President Trump’s ambitions for a multibillion-dollar trade agreement had, for the time being, shriveled into a blandly worded communiqué without any dollar figures. It was not clear that the talks set a path to success. Ceaseless infighting and jockeying for influence on the White House’s trade team helped deprive Mr. Trump of a quick victory on his most cherished policy agenda, several people involved in the talks said. The deep internal divisions carried over into how officials characterized the agreement and muddied the outlook for the next phase of the negotiations between Washington and Beijing.

Trump’s charm and threats may not be working on China. Here’s why. NYT reports, China has called President Trump’s bluff. Chinese negotiators left Washington this weekend with a significant win: a willingness by the Trump administration to hold off for now on imposing tariffs on up to $150 billion in Chinese imports. China gave up little in return, spurning the administration’s nudges for a concrete commitment to buy more goods from the United States, and avoiding limits on its efforts to build new high-tech Chinese industries. https://nyti.ms/2rXosHi

WP - Catherine Rampell: It’s been amateur hour on China negotiations: The Trump administration is supposed to be negotiating with China. But right now it more often seems to be negotiating with itself. China knows what it wants out of these bilateral negotiations; the White House plainly does not. Trump officials have offered shifting and at times contradictory demands and objectives, further complicated by administration infighting, public turf wars, reversals, retractions and clumsy errors. In short: Over here on Team USA, it’s been amateur hour. https://wapo.st/2rXfiKW

How China acquires ‘the crown jewels’ of US technology: Politico reports, the US fails to adequately police foreign deals for next-generation software that powers the military and American economic strength. A six-month Politico investigation found that the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, the main vehicle for protecting American technology from foreign governments, rarely polices the various new avenues Chinese nationals use to secure access to American technology, such as bankruptcy courts or the foreign venture capital firms that bankroll US tech startups. https://politi.co/2IGIOLb

Legal fees: WP reports, the Republican National Committee paid nearly half a million dollars to a law firm that represents former White House communications director Hope Hicks and others in the Russia investigations, according to a new federal filing.

Trump’s tweets include grammatical errors. And some are on purpose: BG reports, The hallmark of President Trump’s Twitter feed is that it sounds like him — grammatical miscues and all. But it’s not always Trump tapping out a Tweet, even when it sounds like his voice. West Wing employees who draft proposed tweets intentionally employ suspect grammar and staccato syntax in order to mimic the president’s style, according to two people familiar with the process.

Twitter bots most likely played a large role in both the 2016 presidential election and the Brexit vote, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Barack and Michelle Obama sign production deal with Netflix: TechCrunch reports, Former U.S. President Barack Obama and Michelle Obama have reached an agreement to produce films and series for the streaming service. Netflix’s official announcement makes it sound like that continues to be what the Obamas have in mind, with Chief Content Officer Ted Sarandos describing them as “uniquely positioned to discover and highlight stories of people who make a difference in their communities and strive to change the world for the better.”

ENTERPRISE

Small brands nibble at Campbell’s business: WSJ reports, as Americans become more adventurous with the grocery cart, food aisles are undergoing a transformation that is forcing big food companies to keep up with $10 bottles of juice and sophisticated-tasting cookies. 

Lyft plans to seek permits to run an electric scooter service in San Francisco.

Facebook breakup? Progressive and pro-consumer groups are calling on the Federal Trade Commission to force the separation of Instagram, Facebook Messenger and WhatsApp from the Facebook mothership.

Thanks, UBER: Investors poured more than $21 billion into the company, which has yet to turn a profit. Uber posted $4.5 billion in losses last year alone, subsidizing rides in an all-out effort to establish a monopoly. 

I for one am happy to have fancy VCs subsidize my transportation needs.

Sony is to spend $1.8 billion on buying EMI Music Publishing.

Adobe is shelling out $1.68 billion on Magento Commerce, maker of tools for operating online stores.

Netflix has 125 million subscribers worldwide.

Larry Culpepper, the badly dressed football fanatic in Dr Pepper commercials, is reportedly not returning this season.  

TRENDS

Boston wants Amazon, but is there room? WSJ reports, the possible arrival of Amazon’s second headquarters in East Boston is triggering both hopes and apprehension in a neighborhood already dealing with fallout from surging costs in a growing city.

Drones are "potentially as disruptive as the internet": From a loyal reader in Cincinnati, Dezeen released a short documentary setting out how drones could revolutionize the way people travel, transform how buildings are designed and built, and radically alter the form cities take. Watch the 18-minute doc here: http://bit.ly/2ICPRZv

For me droids > drones

Financial crisis may have hit ’80s generation the hardest: WSJ reports, Fed research finds wealth levels 34% below what they would be if the last recession hadn't occurred for those born in the '80s.

CULTURE

Guardian: Interview magazine closes, ending a 50-year survey of Manhattan cool

PODCAST

Exchanges at Goldman Sachs: Beyond VR & AR: Get to know Extended Reality (XR):  It’s not a matter of if Extended Reality (XR) will touch all aspects of our lives—it’s a matter of when, says Heather Bellini of Goldman Sachs Research. By 2025, XR is projected to generate over $100 billion in sales, with the consumer and e-commerce sectors being its biggest beneficiaries. The technology carries broad implications for healthcare, education and real estate as well. “Ultimately, this AR/VR/mixed reality movement will change the way we interact with technology forever,” Bellini says. You can listen to the podcast here: http://bit.ly/2rZA23L

SPORT

LAT: It wasn't supposed to happen this way, but the Golden Knights are bound for the Stanley Cup Final

The Knights are better than your hockey team
: 538 reports, the Vegas Golden Knights became just the second-ever expansion team in the post-1960 histories of the NHL, NBA, NFL or MLB to reach the championship in their very first season of existence. The Knights dispatched the Winnipeg Jets after winning four games of their series to the Jets’ one. The 1967-68 St. Louis Blues are the only previous team to pull it off.

Space Needle hockey: The NHL is asking $650 million of an ownership group from Seattle to expand to that city and add a 32nd franchise to the league.

A closer look at the technology inside the 2018 World Cup soccer ball: The Telstar 18 is a high-tech, look-alike cousin of the ball that forever changed soccer. But the biggest innovation of the new model is one you can’t see: Each ball is embedded with an NFC — near-field communication — chip that allows interaction with the ball via a smartphone. https://lat.ms/2IYHjv2

Spain’s La Liga opposes the SoftBank consortium’s proposed expansion of FIFA’s tournaments.

Independent: Next Arsenal manager: Unai Emery set to for job after Mikel Arteta talks stall