$1,000,000,000,000

MRD July.png

$1,000,000,000,000

Marc Ross Daily
August 3, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Global Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Russian spy found working at US embassy in Moscow

✔️ China seeks new insights on US trade strategy

✔️ Wilbur Ross brushes off harm of Trump tariffs

✔️ Apple's market cap passes $1 trillion

✔️ Woods v Mickelson match set

ROSS RANT

My podcast diary for July 2018:

09 Akimbo: Juggling

09 Recode: Adam Grant

10 Recode: Nat Geo + Insta

12 Moment: Penn Jillette

13 Akimbo: Origin Stories

13 TWIST: 833 - Whitney Sales

17 TWIST: 836 - News Roundup

17 Intercom: Elad Gil

18 Akimbo: This Stinks

19 Altucher: Robert Greene

19 VC20: Elad Gil

23 Giant Thinkers: Blair Enns

25 Moment: Seth Godin

25 Akimbo: The Mesh

26 Altucher: Seth Godin

28 Agency Advantage: Blair Enns

28
RevThinking : Blair Enns

31 Schmidt List: Blair Enns

GEOECONOMICS

LAT: As political crisis deepens in Zimbabwe, Mnangagwa named winner in presidential election

245 arrests: A Colombian drug cartel has put out a bounty of 200 million pesos (about $70K USD) on drug-sniffing police dog Sombra. The 6-year-old German shepherd has helped police detect over 2,000 kilos of cocaine hidden in suitcases, boats, and shipments of food, and officers credit her with more than 245 drug-related arrests at Colombian airports.

‘I’m totally freaked out’: Brazilians bid farewell to paradise amid strife: WSJ reports, with gun violence surging, along with pessimism about the country’s political and economic future, the number of Brazilians who are emigrating is soaring.

US, Mexico pursue NAFTA auto deal as Canada sits on sidelines: WSJ reports, senior US and Mexican officials sought to hammer out new rules for the auto trade at the center of negotiations to overhaul Nafta, while Canadian officials sat out the latest talks amid tension between Ottawa and Washington.

Guardian: Suspected Russian spy found working at US embassy in Moscow

"The Russian national had been hired by the US Secret Service and is understood to have had access to the agency’s intranet and email systems, which gave her a potential window into highly confidential material including the schedules of the president and vice-president."

Estonia has become the first country in the world to offer free public transport to all residents.

Theresa May to tell Emmanuel Macron that Chequers plan is 'mutually beneficial': Telegraph reports, PM May will try to convince Emmanuel Macron on Friday that her Chequers plan for Brexit will be “mutually beneficial” to Britain and France as she received official notice that their meeting is “not a negotiation”. The Prime Minister has cut short her Italian holiday to visit Mr Macron at his island retreat, the Fort de Brégançon, as she steps up attempts to engage directly with EU leaders, sidestepping Brussels’ chief negotiator Michel Barnier.

Theresa May consigned to Fort Brégançon fortress hated by French leaders: The Times reports, when the British came in sight of Fort Brégançon in 1793, they were attacked by French revolutionary forces. Theresa May will be hoping for a warmer welcome today when she arrives to see President Macron in the imposing but somewhat cramped residence where he plans to spend the next two weeks. Etiquette will probably require Mrs May to compliment the French president on his Mediterranean retreat. In practice, however, the state-owned fort has never been much loved by those who stay there.

China’s indebted conglomerates pile into anti-poverty push: FT reports, villagers say parts of Xi’s project are flawed, as companies seek favour with Beijing.

WSJ: Xi’s right-hand man is message-bearer in China-US trade dispute

Wang Qishan serves behind the scenes as a troubleshooter and a loyal lieutenant who has ties to influential Americans.

China seeks new insights on US trade strategy as it plans next moves: SCMP reports, advisers say Beijing is redoubling efforts to understand the Trump administration’s thinking as it explores potential to restart trade negotiations.

China has no idea how to play Trump: In the past, Beijing has reacted to economic challenges by opening its credit spigot and letting the money flow, and that’s what it has started doing this time too even though the mess from the last crisis is yet to be cleared. SCMP - Fraser Howie

China's top diplomat: He encouraged the Trump administration to "calm down" amid escalating tariff threats, saying increased rhetoric will not lead to results. Wang Yi said at a forum in Singapore that a US campaign to ratchet up pressure on Beijing will not "have any effect," Reuters reported. 

China ready: The Middle Kingdom said it was ready to retaliate against the latest threat by the US to raise tariffs on its goods. The Trump administration said this week that it’s considering increasing the proposed tariff on $200 billion in Chinese imports to 25 percent from 10 percent.

Trump zeroes in on China after EU trade truce: FT reports, US president moves to resolve other disputes but ups ante in battle with Beijing.

ZTE loaded up with powerful Washington lobbyists to convince lawmakers to abandon penalties that would have decimated the Chinese telecom company, according to The New York Times.

#Duh

FT: US tech faces big risks from Trump’s China trade war

AMERICAN POLITICS

Bloomberg: A record number of Democratic challengers are outraising GOP opponents

CAFE standards change
: The Trump administration said this morning it wants to freeze fuel efficiency standards for vehicles made from 2022 to 2025 at current levels and revoke a Clean Air Act waiver that allows California to set its own GHG specifications.

USA Today: Chinese tariffs muck up market for US pig parts and hog farmers

Wilbur Ross brushes off harm of Trump tariffs
: Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Thursday defended the Trump administration's latest threat to ramp up tariffs on China, saying it would not lead to disaster for the U.S. economy. "It's not something that's going to be cataclysmic," he said in an interview with Fox Business Network.

Poll: Fewer than 1 in 3 Americans think NAFTA is beneficial

Poll: 71% of business owners want more China tariffs

Trump donor agreed to pay Cohen $10 million for nuclear project push: WSJ reports, a major donor to President Trump agreed to pay $10 million to the president’s then-personal attorney if he successfully helped obtain funding for a nuclear-power project, including a $5 billion loan from the US government, according to people familiar with the matter. 

US intelligence officials warn of ‘pervasive’ Russian efforts to disrupt 2018 elections: WSJ reports, senior intelligence officials described Russian efforts to interfere in the 2018 midterm elections as deep, real and ongoing, showcasing their efforts to combat a threat President Trump has repeatedly dismissed. 

NYT: Russian threat to elections ‘is real,’ Trump officials say

FT: US spy chiefs warn of ‘pervasive’ Russian meddling


Russia is "a keyboard click away" from mounting a more serious attack on the upcoming US midterm elections than it did during the 2016 campaign, according to Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats.

@nytpolitics: Blackburn and Bredesen advance in Tennessee Senate race

ENTERPRISE

Hyatt Hotels, which has a global portfolio of more than 700 hotels, announced a new loyalty alliance with London-based Small Luxury Hotels of the World (SLH) — a collection of more than 500 independent luxury hotels from around the world.

Apple's market cap passes $1 trillion with a new all-time high share price of $208.38 - first public American company to reach the milestone.

$1,000,000,000,000

Sonos debuts on the Nasdaq at $16 per share after pricing at $15.

CBS stays mum on Moonves investigation during earnings call.

Netflix is a product and technology company: Netflix's product expertise is at the heart of everything it does, including why and how it makes its original content. This culture is easily overlooked, but doing so can be fatal. Netflix is as much a tech and product company as Facebook, Google or Amazon. http://bit.ly/2Ko8uMv

Facebook searching for its next CMO.

Kara Swisher: The expensive education of Mark Zuckerberg and Silicon Valley https://nyti.ms/2KlQyCe

"They have weaponized social media. They have weaponized the First Amendment. They have weaponized civic discourse. And they have weaponized, most of all, politics."

Staffers around the country working for State AGs are circulating this commentary plotting their legal arguments.

The producers at 60 Minutes have this tapped to the planning board.

This easily could be a multi-100 billion dollar changing commentary piece that will radically change social media and Facebook's fortune.


Google is working on a search app tailored, and censored, for China. The project has sparked a furious internal staff debate.

Molson Coors is the latest big brewer to officially enter Canada’s budding legal cannabis industry. Molson Coors has partnered with Canadian-based The Hydropothecary Corporation to make booze-free, cannabis-infused beverages as soon as recreational weed is legalized in Canada this October.

Baby food on the blockchain: Nestlé is joining the effort to track food with the technology.

Snapchat is introducing speech recognition filters: Users will be able to trigger lenses and music with their voice.

Voice will be huge - plan accordingly.

Fiat Chrysler has to turn Jeep around to compete in China: WSJ reports, new Fiat Chrysler CEO Mike Manley once promised that China would be its global engine of growth. But the company’s first-half performance there was one of the weakest for any international automaker.

Burberry is changing its logo for first time in two decades

TRENDS

Why Starbucks’s plastic straw ban might not help the environment: Getting rid of straws is a step toward ending plastic waste–but if it just involves replacing them with hard-to-recycle plastic lids, it may not do much good at all.

Poll: 67% of US adults support companies' phaseout of plastic straws

Check yourself: Around 73% of millennial US bank customers say they're open to trying financial products from a tech company they already use.

Media consumption: The latest numbers from Nielsen show that on average American adults spend 11.1 hours every day consuming media, up 19 minutes over the previous quarter. 

-- 92 percent of adults listen to radio in an average week

-- 88 percent watch television

-- 79 percent mess around on a smartphone

-- 60 percent on a computer

-- 15 percent on a game console


What is psychographics? Understanding the 'dark arts’ of marketing that brought down Cambridge Analytica: Although it came to light with the Cambridge Analytica scandal and 2016 US presidential election, psychographic marketing may be even more effective in commercial rather than political advertising. And it's already more prevalent than you might think. http://bit.ly/2MiCSJS

Bloomberg: Internal combustion engines may have 40 more years in the tank

I saw longer - two generations

CULTURE

"Ozark" season 2 drops August 31.

The stakes are high for 'Crazy Rich Asians' -- and that's the point: Hollywood Reporter writes, the new film's creators turned down a "gigantic payday" at Netflix to ensure the first Asian-American-focused studio movie in 25 years would be seen in theaters and, if all goes well, reshape the Hollywood landscape: "The biggest stage with the biggest stakes -- that's what we asked for."

Fields Medal: Like the Nobel Prize for math but awarded only once every four years, and only to mathematicians age 40 and younger — new winner announced: Peter Scholze, Caucher Birkar, Alessio Figalli and Akshay Venkatesh.

What does ‘off the record’ really mean?https://nyti.ms/2Kmxfcb

A primer on the kinds of conversations journalists have with sources.

How chyrons took on a life of their own: In the age of Trump, cable news banners have become a medium for presidential fact-checking. 

HBD: Tony Bennett, singer, I Left My Heart in San Francisco (1962), 92

Deadline: Fox, Ben Affleck and Matt Damon win hot package on multi-million dollar theft of McDonald’s Monopoly Game

PODCAST

The invention of online travel and how it changed the future of travel forever: Skift Executive Editor Dennis Schaal — accompanied by recorded interviews with some of the earliest players in online travel — discusses his Definitive Oral History of Online Travel. The conversation includes back-room drama, untold tales, victory laps, and clips from players including Expedia founder Rich Barton, Priceline founder Jay Walker, former Expedia, Inc. CEO Dara Khosrowshahi, and TripAdvisor CEO and co-founder Stephen Kaufer. http://bit.ly/2MdDu3I

SOTD

Afghan Whigs - Brother Woodrow, Closing Prayerhttps://goo.gl/saHB8t  

SPORT

OTD: In 1936 the American athlete Jesse Owens won the first of his four gold medals at the Berlin Olympics.

$20 an hour: Parents are hiring Fortnite coaches to help their kids get better at the popular video game — with some shelling out up to $20 an hour for a coach.
 
HBD: Tom Brady, American football quarterback, 41

Golf: Woods v Mickelson match set for Thanksgiving in Las Vegas

Preseason Amway Coaches Poll:

1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Ohio State
4. Georgia
5. Oklahoma
6. Washington
7. Wisconsin
8. Miami (Fla.)
9. Penn State
10. Auburn
14. Michigan

"Collusion is not a crime, but that doesn’t matter because there was No Collusion."

Marc Ross Daily June.png

"Collusion is not a crime, but that doesn’t matter because there was No Collusion." 

Marc Ross Daily
August 2, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Trump looks to more than double tariffs on China imports

✔️ Defense bill aims to counter China

✔️ Corporate Japan's capital spending plans reach 38-year high

✔️ “This election is very simple. It’s an up-or-down vote on impeachment.”

✔️ Kroger is launching a grocery delivery service dubbed Kroger Ship
 

GEOECONOMICS

OTD: In 1990 Iraqi forces invaded Kuwait

Troops open fire on protesters as election divides Zimbabwe: The Times reports, deadly violence erupted on the streets of Zimbabwe’s capital yesterday as troops used automatic weapons, tear gas and water cannons in a brutal crackdown on crowds protesting against the overwhelming victory of the ruling party in parliamentary elections.

France: Dominic Raab, the Brexit secretary, meets Nathalie Loiseau, the French minister for European affairs.

Politico: Trump tariffs sting farmers, businesses from sea to shining sea

The Times: US ‘blackmail’ on tariffs will not work, says China

Trump threatens to double tariffs on Chinese imports, but stops short of actually doing it: LAT reports, a week after moving to ease trade tensions with the European Union, the administration said it would consider imposing a 25% tariff on certain Chinese imports, up from the 10% Trump proposed last month. Senior administration officials on Wednesday expressed frustration that China has responded to US tariffs with retaliation rather than capitulation.

“We have been very clear about the specific changes China should undertake,” said US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer. “Regrettably, instead of changing its harmful behavior, China has illegally retaliated against U.S. workers, farmers, ranchers andbusinesses.”

US mulls boosting China tariffs to 25%: WSJ reports, the White House, seeking to ratchet up pressure on Beijing and prod China into further negotiations, said it would consider more than doubling its proposed tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods to 25%.

Chinese goods may face higher tariffs as US anger grows: NYT reports, the administration said it would consider raising tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese products to 25 percent from 10 percent as China’s currency declines.

Trump looks to more than double tariffs on China imports: FT reports, US president calls on trade rep to consider increase to 25%.

Trump officials consider more than doubling tariffs on Chinese goods: LAT reports, the deliberations could be a sign that Trump is looking to intensify pressure in the trade standoff with Beijing.

Defense bill aims to counter China: WSJ reports, Congress passed a defense-policy bill that some lawmakers say is tougher on China than any in history, as a bipartisan movement to confront Beijing gathers steam.

Chinese investor gives up purchase of German toolmaker: Nikkei reports, Merkel government was set to veto deal on national security concerns.

West begins to close door on Chinese investment: FT reports, Beijing perceives it is harder to do US deals — and that Europe is also tightening up.

Massive US defense policy bill passes without strict China measures: Reuters reports, the US Senate passed a $716 billion defense policy bill on Wednesday, backing President Donald Trump's call for a bigger, stronger military and sidestepping a potential battle with the White House over technology from major Chinese firms.

Nikkei: Corporate Japan's capital spending plans reach 38-year high

Outlays estimated at $176 billion, driven by electric vehicles and construction

Nikkei: Aussie beef prices rise as China loses appetite for US meat

Australia
's population is growing at the fastest pace of any major developed country. Head count will hit 25 million this month—an incredible three decades sooner than the government had predicted in 2005.

Mike Pompeo's plan to deny China exclusive rights to the Indo-Pacific region: The National Interest reports, Mike Pompeo says he wants a "free and open" Indo-Pacific region. Australia is the security key to making that a reality. 

Madrid begins talks with Catalan separatist leaders: AFP reports, Spain's new Socialist government held talks with Catalonia's separatist executive on Wednesday in the first such meeting in seven years as tensions eased but sharp divergences remained over the region's self-determination drive.

AMERICAN POLITICS

"Collusion is not a crime, but that doesn’t matter because there was No Collusion." -- DJT

End it now: Trump urged AG Sessions to end the Russia investigation “right now,” renewing public pressure on the nation’s top law-enforcement official to halt the probe.

Trump calls on Sessions to stop Mueller's Russia probe, raising specter of attempted obstruction: LAT reports, the tweet was the president's most explicit post or statement to date seemingly aimed at getting his attorney general to end the probe.

Is a POTUS tweet an opinion or an order?!?

WP: Mueller offers to limit investigators’ questions for Trump in special counsel’s latest effort to secure presidentialinterview

Today: Trump will attend a campaign rally in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania

Bob Woodward’s "FEAR: Inside the Trump White House," launching on September 11 is No. 1 on Amazon.

He's back: Barack Obama dipped into November's midterm election fight for the first time on Wednesday, endorsing 81 Democrats in 14 states with a focus on young, diverse candidates and lower-level races.

Not featured: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Comstock, running for reelection, won’t vote for a shutdown no matter how much Trump wants one: WP reports, Rep. Barbara Comstock said she supports President Trump’s border wall and almost always votes with her party, but the vulnerable Republican’s Northern Virginia district is home to tens of thousands of federal workers.

As the bizarre QAnon group emerges, Trump rallies go from nasty to dangerous: WP reports, hostility toward the media is nothing new. But the latest rally was attended by deranged devotees of a supposed government agent who supporters believe is waging war against the “deep state” that threatens the Trump presidency.

SBUX, Schultz, Schmidt: More buzz that Steve Schmidt will advise a presidential bid by his longtime client, former Starbucks chief Howard Schultz, or another Democratic candidate in 2020.

Steve Schmidt will for sure work on a 2020 presidential campaign - book it.

Election 2020: Biden leads Trump in early 2020 match-up

A plurality of registered voters, 44 percent, said they’d choose Biden in the 2020 presidential election, while 37 percent of voters said they would vote for Trump.

Election 2020: "The best way to win in 2020 is to win in 2018. The goal is to make those people who are presidential-year voters into midterm-election voters." -- White House Political Director Bill Stepien

Election 2020 + Mueller: “We look at the front pages of daily key in-state newspapers every day. Compare and contrast that with what The Washington Post or New York Times is saying. It’s not on the 6 o’clock or 10 o’clock news every night. That’s what matters.” -- White House Political Director Bill Stepien

Inside the Trump 2020 campaign’s wild attempt to “Keep America Great”: Vanity Fair reports, the president is running his re-election campaign precisely the way he governs—playing three opposing power centers off each other, and listening mainly to his own instincts. It’s going to get ugly, and soon. “We’re going to call them out,” says Steve Bannon. “Kirsten Gillibrand, show us what you got. Elizabeth Warren? Kamala Harris? Howard Schultz? He’s going to cut through these guys like a scythe through grass.” http://bit.ly/2va8qLw

“This election is very simple. It’s an up-or-down vote on impeachment.” -- Steve Bannon

“Republicans will come home. Dude, you got Gorsuch and Kavanaugh back to back." At a minimum, Kavanaugh’s nomination "will ensure they don’t vote for Democrats.” -- Steve Bannon


Trump is doing what he loves most: running for president. His re-election effort is typically Trumpian: sprawling, disjointed, and bursting with confidence.

Average approval among the other political party:

Eisenhower 49%
Kennedy 49%
Johnson 40%
Nixon 34%
Ford 36%
Carter 30%
Reagan 31%

GWH Bush 44%
Clinton 27%
GW Bush 23%
Obama 14%
Trump 7%


HT Pew

US Treasury embraces fintech: The US Treasury Department has issued a 222-page report that urges flexible regulation of financial-technology companies. The report's recommendations include support for regulatory sandboxes to let startups experiment.

ENTERPRISE

Facebook has announced new tools that tallies time spent and nudges you when it’s time for a break.

Car sales: US auto sales slowed in July as rising interest rates, higher gasoline prices and falling demand for passenger cars

LAT: Tesla losses mount to $1.5 billion so far in 2018

Tesla
 will look to China for partial funding of its first factory there.

FT: Molson Coors sales go flat on North America declines

Hotel points
: Starwood Preferred Guests, Ritz-Carlton Rewards, and Marriott Rewards are finally combined into a single program on August 18.

Google is working on a censored search engine for China.

WhatsApp outlined plans to begin selling advertisements and charging companies a service fee for interacting with customers on the platform.

Kroger is launching a grocery delivery service dubbed Kroger Ship in Cincinnati, Houston, Louisville, and Nashville.

Bloomberg: Huawei passes Apple in smartphone share for the first time

House of Fraser is teetering on the brink of collapse after a Chinese investor pulled out of a deal to buy a stake in the ailing department store and inject £70 million of funding.

TRENDS

Ocean plastic: More than 80% of marine plastic pollution comes from Asia

Degrading plastics emit greenhouse gases: study: AFP reports, a study in the journal PLOS ONE on Wednesday found that degrading plastics emit powerful greenhouse gases like methane and ethylene, and are a previously unaccounted-for source of these heat-trapping pollutants. Plastic water bottles, shopping bags, industrial plastics and food containers were all tested as part of the study.

QOTD: “It got to a point where it would be far easier to build a technology company that does marketing than to try to change a big legacy business into that.” -- Havas CEO David Jones on rethinking the traditional agency model.

What the team at a16z is reading this summerhttp://bit.ly/2MeyRGJ

Does packaging matter? In a world of e-commerce, brands no longer need packaging to catch shoppers' eyes. Instead, online platforms lets brands use photos, videos, user-generated content, and more to promote their goods. 

Apps mean mobile phones are for texting, not talking: The amount of time people spend talking on their mobile phones has fallen for the first time as users switch to messaging apps.

CULTURE

CNN will say goodbye to Anthony Bourdain with a final season this fall: LAT reports, only one episode — a trip to Kenya with W. Kamau Bell, the host of CNN’s “United Shades of America” — was completed before Bourdain’s death. It will be the last to have Bourdain’s written narration. Four others set in Manhattan’s Lower East Side — in addition to the Big Bend area of Texas along the border of Mexico, the Asturias region of Spain and Indonesia — will be completed by the directors who filmed them for the show’s production company Zero Point Zero.

The world's most beautiful libraries – in pictures: In a new Taschen book, the Italian photographer Massimo Listri travels around the world to some of the oldest libraries, revealing a treasure trove of unique and imaginative architecture. http://bit.ly/2KjGWYS

SPORT

LAT: NBA's hunt for revenue leads to gambling partnership with MGM Resorts in Las Vegas

OSU Football
: BREAKING: Ohio State has placed Urban Meyer on paid administrative leave. Ryan Day will be the team’s acting head coach during the investigation.

OTD: In 1875 Britain’s first roller-skating rink opened in Belgravia, London

FA wants Southgate to be manager for 2022 World Cup: The Times reports, the FA is set to make Gareth Southgate an offer to extend his contract as England manager until the 2022 World Cup but admits that it will not be able to compete with a top Premier League club in terms of salary.