Power. Innovation. Identity. Madonna @ 60

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Power. Innovation. Identity. Madonna @ 60

Marc Ross Daily
August 16, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Global Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Italian populists blame EU for Italian bridge disaster

✔️ China sending vice-ministerial delegation to US

✔️ She works for Trump. He can’t stand him.

✔️ 60 times Madonna changed our culture

✔️ La Liga to play matches in the US

ROSS RANT

Thought leadership valuation

Tesla market value:

August, 2013: $17.9 billion

August, 2018: $58.5 billion

Much of Tesla's value is in the currency of trusting Musk as a solid business executive and thought leader.

His recent actions challenge this belief.

GEOECONOMICS

Today: Brexit talks between the UK and the EU will resume in Brussels

Westminister: Theresa May has seen the most rebellious backbench MPs of any Tory government in the post-war era, new research has found.

Israel: The government announces a $24M three-year cybersecurity R&D program.

Bloomberg:  Italian populists blame EU after Italian bridge disaster kills at least 35

Italy’s populist government targeted business elites and Brussels last night as it sought to harness growing anger over the Genoa bridge collapse that has killed 39 people. 

“Someone may be held responsible, in about 30 years”

20: Since the First World War, economic sanctions have only achieved their stated objective about a fifth of the time, according to the Peterson Institute.

Greg Ip: On Turkey, another step in the weaponization of global finance https://on.wsj.com/2ODOx6Y

US tariffs intensify pressure on the Turkish lira, raising prospect of an open-ended cycle of protectionism and devaluation.

US, China plan trade talks as tariffs dispute takes toll: WSJ reports, Washington and Beijing reached a modest breakthrough in their standoff over trade, saying they will hold lower-level talks later this month on the spiraling dispute.

China to send vice-ministerial trade delegation to US: FT reports, first formal talks to be held since tariffs imposed on $50bn of goods.

Talk about talks to talk about how much Team Trump intends to make US-China commercial relations a campaign issue this fall - my guess.

@Bea_Cao: #China Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen will visit the #US late August to have discussions with US Under Secretary for International Affairs David Malpass about China-US trade issues. 

Bloomberg: Five sticking points keeping Xi and Trump from a trade deal https://bloom.bg/2BgUbu5

1. Technology transfer
2. Industrial overcapacity
3. SOE reform
4. Industrial policies
5. Cloud computing


Ben Harburg: Americans don’t know China—and that’s a huge problem https://for.tn/2OH36Xy

From 2015 to 2016, China sent over 328,000 students to America, while the U.S. sent roughly 11,000 to China.

Nikkei: Trade war fuels Taiwanese producers' withdrawal from China

Taiwan hotel axes Marriott contract over China naming row
: AFP reports, the owner of a Starwood-branded hotel in Taiwan said Thursday it will terminate its contract with Marriott International, in protest over the US group caving in to Beijing pressure to list the island as part of China. Marriott was strongly criticised by Chinese authorities in January for listing Taiwan -- along with Tibet and Hong Kong -- as separate countries, all regions which Beijing claims under its authority.

China ‘dissatisfied’ as US backs Taiwan and scrutiny of foreign firms: SCMP reports, Beijing has condemned U.S. President Donald Trump for signing an act committing to stronger military support for Taiwan and placing Chinese companies under closer scrutiny, saying the move will damage the countries’ ties. 

Smoke at China's annual conclave signals political trouble for Xi: Nikkei reports, Zhou Enlai's advice from 1974: Never fall, never leave, never choose death. https://s.nikkei.com/2BctfeO

13: China accounted for about 13 percent of total funds invested in US startups that took venture capital investment from 2015-2017.

$228 billion: China imported about $228 billion worth of integrated circuits in 2016 – more than it spent on imported oil.

Brigadoon Scotland 2018 = Nov. 11-13, 2018

AMERICAN POLITICS

Today: More than 100 newspapers will publish editorials decrying Trump's anti-press rhetoric. The Boston Global coordinated the effort, the report says. Each publication will write its own editorial, but on the same theme.

Trump revokes security clearance of former CIA director Brennan, a critic of the president: WP reports, Trump has revoked the security clearance of former CIA director John O. Brennan, White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders announced Wednesday, citing “the risk posed by his erratic conduct and behavior.” Brennan is a leading critic of Trump who as recently as Tuesday sharply denounced the president for calling his former aide Omarosa Manigault Newman “that dog.” Trump is also reviewing security clearances of other former officials including former FBI director James B. Comey, Sanders said during a regular White House news briefing.

John Brennan: President Trump’s claims of no collusion are hogwash https://nyti.ms/2Bgviyv

"Trump was not only encouraging a foreign nation to collect intelligence against a United States citizen, but also openly authorizing his followers to work with our primary global adversary against his political opponent."

Trump’s lawyers prepare to fight subpoena all the way to the Supreme Court: WP reports, Rudolph W. Giuliani said President Trump’s lawyers are “pretty much finished” drafting a response to a potential subpoena request from special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s office.

Cyber: Trump has reversed an Obama-era memorandum governing how and when the US government can deploy cyberweapons.

WP: Trump boasts about ‘great new trade deals.’ So far, he hasn’t finalized any.
 
@ChadBown: President Trump has only imposed tariffs. He has yet to get any other countries to remove their tariffs or to remove his own tariffs. There are not yet any trade deals. None.

What about the glass industry, or the brick industry, or the textile industry, or the cement industry, or the (insert) industry.........#CommandingHeights

Pelosi talks about ‘bridge’ to new leader for Democrats: NYT reports, Nancy Pelosi, the House Democratic leader, is confronting threats from different corners of her party, posing the most serious test of her 15-year grip on the caucus.

CA-GOP: Republicans are now basically just an interest group here, Politico Playbook reports. There are more independents than registered Republicans. 

She works for Trump. He can’t stand him. This is life with Kellyanne and George Conway. WP reports, the Conways, like the rest of the country, have been jolted by the President Trump. They love each other, exasperate each other and talk behind each other’s backs. Take a look inside the marriage of one of Trump’s most loyal advisers and her husband, an increasingly outspoken critic of the president.

“If the president were simply mediocre or even bad, I’d have nothing to say. This is much different.” 

ENTERPRISE

Apple is developing a dedicated biometric chip.

T-Mobile said it is partnering with Pandora and Live Nation Entertainment to offer its customers free music, special seating and other perks in an effort to attract and retain customers.

WSJ: SEC serves Tesla with subpoena over Musk buyout tweet

Atlantia warns investors after Genoa bridge collapse
: FT reports, shares tumble as Italian government begins process for revoking concession to subsidiary Autostrade.

LAT: Best Buy is acquiring San Diego's GreatCall for $800 million, boosting its technology lineup for seniors

Amazon is in the running to acquire Landmark Theatres, a move that would vault the e-commerce giant into the brick-and-mortar cinema industry.

Radio star: PRI and PRX are merging in a bid to create a podcasting juggernaut.

From masthead to Maître D’: Gabé Doppelt at Tower Bar https://nyti.ms/2MOPyIZ

“Believe it, darling!”: A longtime magazine editor enters the hospitality industry.

iBuyers: Companies purchase homes directly from sellers—cutting out estate agents—then spruce them up and relist them at a premium. They offer speed and certainty for the seller (transactions can be completed in a few days) in exchange for a slight discount relative to market value. iBuyers’ current market share is tiny but likely to grow. 
Tencent Tumble: China's Tencent has lost over $175 billion of its value this year.

Uber's losses increased in Q2, up to $659 million from $577 million in Q1. 

TRENDS

The notion of luxury has become meaninglesshttp://bit.ly/2BrQ66v

"Just as we have seen with ‘craft’ and ‘natural’, the word ‘luxury’ has been appropriated by lazy marketers." -- Sebastien van Laere, strategic research director, The Future Laboratory

The Defense Department has produced the first tools for catching deep fakes: Fake video clips made with artificial intelligence can also be spotted using AI—but this may be the beginning of an arms race.

@HarvardBiz: A recent study of 170 organizations with $1 billion or more in revenue found that over 82% are currently using a lean startup approach in some aspect of their business

"If someone insists on experiencing your experience before you give them the experience, it’s really unlikely you’re going to be able to delight them." -- Seth Godin

CULTURE

HBD: Madonna, singer-songwriter, Like a Virgin (1984), and actress, Desperately Seeking Susan (1985), 60

60 times Madonna changed our culture: Power. Innovation. Identity. Madonna has blended all of these and much more into a singular career. For her 60th birthday, we assessed her influence. https://nyti.ms/2BfJ703

"She dropped out of the University of Michigan School of Music, Theater & Dance, which she attended on scholarship, with a dream: to dance in New York."

El Chapo is making New York traffic even worse: Authorities must close the Brooklyn Bridge each time the drug lord’s motorcade brings him to court.

Powerful women told me getting a dog is the key to success. They were right. http://bit.ly/2PeMqYn

SPORT

The Tiger effect: Tiger Woods' run in the final round of the 100th PGA Championship was the most-watched, highest-rated PGA Championship broadcast since 2009.

Spain’s La Liga to play matches in the US: FT reports, Country’s top football league in push to challenge popularity of English competition.

Executives added that the focus was to play the first regular season La Liga match in the US “as soon as possible”, either this season or next.

AFP: Thomas and Froome to compete in Tour of Britain

Bookies
: New Jersey takes in $40.6 million in sports bets in July

Did Team Obama kill the State of the Union?

In 2015 the politics were simple.

Plays games with the GOP, check. 

Engage activists, check. 

Realize a joint session of Congress speech is hardly the best tool to get most Americans, and indeed, much of the hot-shot Washington political establishment, to care, check.

That’s why Team Obama decided to kill the State of the Union.

Of course, they didn't officially kill the State of the Union, but they most certainly changed it forever. 

For most State of the Union addresses in this political age, around 30 million Americans will tune in which for most leaders of the free world will be the biggest single American audience a president is likely to secure all year.

So Team Obama needed to disrupt the communications process and maximize the State of the Union.

The State of the Union has a deep tradition of unveiling inflection points announcements for a year-ahead policy agenda. 

Not anymore.

Team Obama believed they could redefine the State of the Union model, not just for this Obama's term, but for the next couple of presidents.

Most of what was in the 2015 speech, Team Obama already announced as part of two-week lead-up, communications, and political tour. 

Jennifer Palmieri, a former White House communications director who’s done 11 State of the Unions between Presidents Clinton and Obama, at the time, argued that the idea of building everything into one speech, in one hour plus event on one night didn’t really make sense, according to Politico.

Team Obama believed such inflection point speeches could be used as a vehicle to develop more attention and more engagement for your important policy objectives if you space out policy announcements and statements.

At the time Politico reported: “It still has to be interesting. But you don’t have to be making as many pre-announced announcements to drive the coverage,” a White House aide said. “The coverage is already there.”

One day coverage is nice.

14-day coverage is better.

Pele, Madonna, Beyonce, Omarosa

MRD July.png

Pele, Madonna, Beyonce, Omarosa

Marc Ross Daily
August 15, 2018
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Global Politics + Policy + Profits

Subscribe here
https://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Autostrade under fire after Italian bridge collapse

✔️ Turkey moves to ward off financial crisis

✔️ New Zealand bans foreigners from buying existing homes

✔️ Harvey Levin is casting the TMZ primary

✔️ Airbnb is 10

MR IN THE NEWS

China's external and internal economic challenges: Last night I spoke CGTN's Owen Fairclough about China's July economic data which showed economic activity slowing.

You can see the clip here: http://bit.ly/2OE5eiM

GEOECONOMICS

NYT: Highway bridge collapses in Italy, killing at least 37

Autostrade under fire after Italian bridge collapse
: FT reports, transport minister calls for managers to resign after Genoa disaster kills at least 36.

“The top management of Autostrade per l’Italia must step down first of all”

Engineer pins blame on ‘not very practical architect’: The Times reports, a leading Italian engineer has claimed that the Genoa viaduct that collapsed yesterday was an “engineering failure” that should have been knocked down. Antonio Brencich, a professor of engineering at the University of Genoa, said that Riccardo Morandi, the architect who designed the bridge in the 1960s, had “great intuition, but was not very practical at calculations”.

Turkey: The lira has lost 25 percent of its value since last week.

Take 100 one dollar bills, set 25 on fire, welcome to Turkey.

Ankara raises tariffs on US cars, alcohol and cigarettes as row escalates.


Bloomberg: Turkey moves to ward off financial crisis as US spat worsens

Modi offers healthcare sweetener ahead of India poll
: FT reports, PM also promises manned space flight by 2022 in wide-ranging Independence Day speech.

AFP: Modi says 'sleeping elephant' India has woken up

New Zealand bans foreigners from buying existing homes
: WSJ reports, New Zealand has lured Asian billionaires, Hollywood filmmakers, and tech entrepreneurs with a liberal immigration policy and light regulation of foreign property purchases. Now, as it tries to cool one of the world’s hottest housing markets, the country is banning foreigners from buying existing homes.

The Times: China lodges WTO complaint over renewable energy tariffs

Trump’s trade war is leaving China’s leaders rattled
: NYT reports, while President Xi Jinping remains firmly in charge, friction with the Trump administration and troubles at home have dented his political dominance.

As I see it, protectionism, lack of competition, and riding an economic business model that had reached its thirty-year peak is probably more detrimental than Trump's tariffs.

Chinese oil importers are shying away from buying US crude as they fear Beijing’s decision to exclude the commodity from its tariff list.

Henny Sender: China biotech looks to make leap from ‘fast followers’: Developing eco-system and access to health data should be a boon to development. https://on.ft.com/2OFVioZ

US fortifies wall against Chinese investment: Nikkei reports, new law empowers government committee to crush multibillion-dollar deals.

Brigadoon Cincinnati | Salon Dinner = Nov. 1, 2018

AMERICAN POLITICS

WSJ: Trump knew about Democratic emails stolen by Russia, ex-aide says

President was aware of messages taken by Russian hackers before they were made public during the presidential race, Omarosa Manigault Newman claims.

Omarosa: Name ID with one word = power

There's a debate raging among Trump supporters and some reporters about whether the media should cover Omarosa Manigault Newman. True, she's further amplifying the reality show melodrama Washington has become, but she's newsworthy.

America elected personality over policy - American gets the government it deserves, not always the government it needs.

Timothy O'Brien: Trump and Omarosa are kindred spirits: My conversations with him about her star power. https://bloom.bg/2Bfm5qg

‘He created Omarosa’: Protegee of Trump using his tactics against him: Bloomberg reports, Omarosa Manigault Newman’s controversial allegations in her new book, some of which are not verified, have rattled the president and thrust his aides into damage-control mode.

Election 2018: There are now at least 199 women who have won their primaries for US House in 2018.

KS-GOV: Trump-backed candidate, Kris Kobach, wins GOP nod in the Kansas governor's race.

MN-GOV: Former Gov. Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota lost a bid to reclaim the Republican nomination for governor.

Pawlenty had called Trump “unsound, uninformed, unhinged and unfit to be president” in the weeks before the 2016 election.

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index hit the highest level since 1983.

Harvey Levin is casting the TMZ primary: The man who reinvented gossip has set out to find the next celebrity president—and keep his brand relevant. https://bloom.bg/2BdDpM9

Manafort: Closing arguments are set to begin today in the trial of Paul Manafort. His lawyers declined to call any witnesses to the stand to defend him against charges of bank and tax fraud.

America debt: Non-housing debt continues to outpace mortgage balances, with student loans being the biggest driver.

Baltimore Sun: Trump tariffs mean uncertainty for booming Port of Baltimore

CEI: Traders of the lost ark: Rediscovering a moral and economic case for free trade http://bit.ly/2OG3uWh

Officials to lay out new plan to fight Mexican drug cartels: WSJ reports, DEA officials, alongside members of Mexico’s government and federal police, plan to reveal planned steps including putting more emphasis on attacking cartels’ financial infrastructure.

Gustavo Arellano: Don't split up California — make it even bigger: Three Californias had it all wrong. Our state is stronger united, weaker divided. Our size and diversity across social, ethnic and geographic lines is what makes us great. That’s why we need to reunite with our twin, Baja California. The 1848 Mexican-American War officially split us apart, but we’ve always held hands to spite our disapproving parents. Our border features cities and towns — San Diego and Tijuana, Calexico and Mexicali, Andrade and Los Algodones — cut off from each other by an arbitrary line that residents never let get in the way of creating business and family ties. The San Diego-Tijuana area hosts a $230-billion economy that entrepreneurs on both sides consider one whole; $44 billion in goods passed through the Otay Mesa commercial crossing last year alone.

ENTERPRISE

Ford’s new CEO has a cerebral style—and to many, it’s baffling: WSJ reports, Jim Hackett was hired to turn around an automaker struggling with falling profits and industry transformation. First, he has to explain his vision. So far, investors are confused and executives seek out the boss’s 28-year-old chief of staff to explain his comments. 

Late night emails with links to Ted Talks, Science Daily articles and phrases such as “clock speed.”

Can Hackett set up Ford so it can secure and employ the talent necessary to ensure the company's success in the next evolution of the auto industry?


Tencent’s bad year gets worse, leading selloff in Chinese tech stocks: WSJ reports, after hitting a record high in January, Tencent’s shares have lost 29%, wiping out $165 billion in market cap—more than roughly the entire value of Walt Disney.

FT: Tencent delivers rare decline in profit on gaming woes

NYT: Tesla is in damage control mode after Elon Musk’s tweets


Tesla’s board has brought in legal help and urged the chief executive, Elon Musk, to stop tweeting after its members were blindsided by his talk of taking the automaker private.

Tesla market value:

August, 2013: $17.9 billion
August, 2018: $58.5 billion

 
Much of Tesla's value is in the currency of trusting Elon Musk as a solid business executive and thought leader. His recent actions challenge this belief. Musk's action is a prime example of thought leadership valuation that can be challenged by erratic behavior and sub-par leadership.

LAT: Bird and Lime deactivate scooter services in Santa Monica for a day in protest

Corona maker invests $4 billion more in pot producer Canopy: Reuters reports, Constellation Brands Inc said on Wednesday it would invest $4 billion (C$5.24 billion) more in Canopy Growth Corp , raising its stake in the Canadian marijuana producer to 38 percent.

Buzzy news. 

Kroger is partnering with Alibaba on a pilot test of an online store.

Sprint says it will bring first 5G smartphone to US next year.

Airbnb is 10.

A former Microsoft and Yahoo exec will lead Y Combinator China: The US startup incubator that seeded companies like Airbnb and Dropbox is coming to China. Tech veteran Qi Lu will head up the accelerator’s first full-fledged international effort.

HBR: Why western digital firms have failed in Chinahttp://bit.ly/2Ozd6Sz

The unlikely activists who took on Silicon Valley — and won: Facebook and Google made billions mining personal data, and fought off anyone who threatened to stop them. Then came a challenge in their own backyard. https://nyti.ms/2BdBo2H

TRENDS

@jasonfried: In the same way that sound isn’t music, traffic isn’t audience.

People killed in 2015 by:

Mosquitoes: 830,000
Humans: 580,000
Snakes: 60,000
Sandflies: 24.200
Dogs: 17,400
Kissing Bugs: 8,000
Freshwater snails: 4,400
Scorpions: 3,500
Tsetse flies: 3,500
Roundworms: 2,700
Tapeworms: 1,600

HT GatesNotes


Think tanks per country, 2017:

US: 1872
China: 512
UK: 444
India: 293
Germany: 225
France: 197
Argentina: 146
Japan: 116
Russia: 103
Canada: 100

HT University of Pennsylvania


CULTURE

Today: The film “Crazy Rich Asians” opens

Kenan Thompson, reluctant star of ‘Saturday Night Live’: NYT reports, he has always been most comfortable as a supporting player. The longest tenure on the show and an Emmy nomination have helped change that state of mind.

HBD: Jennifer Lawrence, actress, Silver Linings Playbook (2012), 28

The US Civil War helped tattoos become mainstream: Soldiers got inked to help the army identify their bodies.

Bon Appétit: America's best new restaurants 2018:

1. Nonesuch - Oklahoma City
2. Maydan - Washington, DC
3. Ugly Baby - Brooklyn
4. Freedman's - Los Angeles
5. Nyum Bai - Oakland
6. Nimblefish - Portland, OR
7. Che Fico - San Francisco
8. Yume Ga Arukara - Cambridge, MA
9. Drifters Wife - Portland, ME
10. Call - Denver


Bon Appétit: Portland, Maine, is the 2018 restaurant city of the year http://bit.ly/2OyZlmX

SPORT

The most 2018 team in baseball: the A’s: WSJ reports, Oakland took all of the trends sweeping across baseball, distilled them into their purest forms and combined them to create a surprise playoff contender.

A football player died, and all of the University of Maryland is diminished: WP reports, the school’s handling of the tragedy, from the time 19-year-old Jordan McNair suffered heatstroke at a practice in May to Tuesday’s news conference by university leaders to apologize for his death, has harmed the entire institution in College Park.

After DC cyclists were killed in Tajikistan knife attack, some wonder if they were naive for traveling there: WP reports, the Islamic State asserted responsibility for the attack, although Tajik authorities are pointing the finger at a banned political party. Experts on the region said Central Asia generally is fairly safe.