Marc Ross Daily: Facebook, LeBron James, Terrorist Attacks, Gap, Cocaine, Lime, Emmy Awards

Facebook, LeBron James, Terrorist Attacks, Gap, Cocaine, Lime, Emmy Awards

Marc Ross Daily
September 21, 2018
Curation and commentary from 
Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Annapolis, Maryland

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Globalization, Disruption, and Politics

What's a Caracal?
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TOP FIVE

✔️ Worldwide terrorist attacks decreased by 23% in 2017

✔️ Inside Facebook’s election ‘war room’

✔️ Trump to emphasize ‘sovereignty’ in UN visit

✔️ Self-driving motorcycles

✔️ LeBron James is already winning Hollywood

GEOECONOMICS

The plot to subvert an election: Unraveling the Russia story so far: For two years, Americans have tried to absorb the details of the 2016 attack: hacked emails, social media fraud, suspected spies — and President Trump’s claims that it’s all a hoax. The New York Times explores what we know and what it means. https://nyti.ms/2Nv1eVP

‘Fort Trump’ would be the second US site in Poland: Military Times reports, in March 2016, the U.S. broke ground on its first permanent military facility in Poland: Naval Support Facility Redzikowo, which will ultimately house a U.S. Aegis Ashore system to aid European missile defense. 

State Dept: Worldwide terrorist attacks decreased by 23% in 2017

The 2018 cyber strategy is here: War On The Rocks reports, great-power strategic competition, defend forward, and prepare for war: These are the three central tenets of the newly released summary of the 2018 Department of Defense Cyber Strategy. The new strategy document is decidedly more focused, risk-acceptant, and active than its predecessor in 2015. 

Where's my bitcoins?!? Japan's Zaif is the latest crypto exchange to be hacked, with losses of Bitcoin and two other digital currencies estimated at about $60 million.

China’s sea control is a done deal, ‘short of war with the U.S.’: NYT reports, rare visit onboard a U.S. military flight over the South China Sea showed how profoundly China had reshaped the security landscape across the region.

Objections to Google’s possible re-entry into the Chinese search market: Uniting Republicans, Democrats and some of Google's own employees in a rare alignment against the company, Axios' David McCabe writes.

Caracal Global Memo: Memo: Google in China: Values, missions, and business development http://bit.ly/2OkxSFX

Response to China's belt and road initiative? The EU has launched a new "connectivity strategy" linking Europe and Asia that focuses on "sustainable, comprehensive and rules-based" networks.

Bloomberg: China plans broad import tax cut as soon as October

Andrew Browne: Trump and Xi are destined to divorce: The 2008 crisis set the U.S. and China on an inexorable path to confrontation.

Fake news and voting: Facebook said it would partner the International Republican Institute and the National Democratic Institute, to help combat the global spread of misinformation and fake news that could potentially impact upcoming elections in the United States and elsewhere.

Inside Facebook’s election ‘war room’: NYT reports, more ore than 300 people across the company are working on the initiative, but the War Room will house a team of about 20 focused on rooting out disinformation, monitoring false news and deleting fake accounts that may be trying to influence voters before elections in the United States, Brazil, and other countries.

Argentina's GDP contracted 4.2% in Q2 of 2018.

May's Brexit plan goes pop after 'humiliation' by EU, British media says: Reuters reports, Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit proposals were declared dead by the British media on Friday after what they cast as a humiliation at the hands of European Union leaders at an informal summit in Salzburg.

AMERICAN POLITICS

Trump to emphasize ‘sovereignty’ in U.N. visit next week, Haley says: WSJ reports, Trump will address world leaders next Tuesday at the United Nations General Assembly with a speech focused on “protecting U.S. sovereignty” and expanding relations with countries that share similar values, according to U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley.

GOP midterm strategy: Forget Trump and paint the Democrat as 'too far left': LAT reports, in one Orange County race, Republican incumbent Mimi Walters faces UC Irvine law professor Katie Porter, whom one ad portrays this way: "Liberal Katie Porter. Higher taxes. Open borders."

Weekly Standard - Editorial: Run, Mike, run: Michael Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, is again considering a run for the presidency. In other words, 2020 is just two years away. He has openly toyed with presidential runs in each of the last three cycles. But these quadrennial flirtations can’t go on forever. He is 76.

"An unpredictable liberal could find a middle path between aged-out establishmentarians and ambitious hucksters in 2020. Run, Mike, run."

ENTERPRISE

Scoot-scoot: Lime and Bird have each already crossed the 10 million ride mark, with Lime recently reaching 11.5 million.

By the numbers, for Bird and Lime:

Total rides disclosed to date: Bird, 10 million; Lime, 11.5 million.

Total cities: Bird, 100; Lime, 100.

Total funding: Bird, $418 million; Lime, $467 million.

Valuation: Bird, $2 billion; Lime, $1.1 billion


Fatal e-scooter accident emerges as Calif. legalizes riding without helmet: WP reports, Texas authorities say a 24-year-old Dallas man died from blunt-force injuries to his head after falling off his Lime electric scooter, likely making him the first person to die while riding the e-scooters that have swept across the nation this year.

Self-driving motorcycles: BMW's bike division has built an autonomous prototype - one that can start, accelerate, steer and brake, all without a rider.

Anheuser-Busch InBev just signed new deals with the players unions of Major League Baseball and the National Basketball Association, and "the pacts are a significant development because pro sports leagues have historically been reluctant to allow active players to promote alcohol."

BuzzFeed News is cutting its in-house podcasting production team to focus on video.

Gap introduces Hill City - a men’s brand that will make high-performance, technical clothing that is designed to get a man from his workout to the office to hanging out with his kids over the weekend.

Sounds dreadful, if you ask me.

WSJ: Adobe buys marketing-automation firm Marketo for $4.75 billion

TRENDS + BUZZ

Cocaine production industry is having a banner year: Coca shrubland is up 17 percent in Colombia to 171,000 hectares, up from 48,000 hectares in 2013.

High school wake up time: 87 percent of American public high schools start before 8:30 am.

Commutes: The average American's commute now stands at 26.9 minutes.

Annoying calls: The FCC estimates that Americans get 2.4 billion unwanted, automated calls every month. 

CULTURE

Pentagon declares war on scooters: DefenseOne reports, after seven rental scooters were abandoned at the Pentagon following this year’s September 11 remembrances, police say they will begin impounding the unauthorized rides. Bikes, too. 

LAT: Emmy Awards' TV audience hits new low with 10.2 million viewers

LeBron James is already winning Hollywood: THR reports, as he prepares to debut with the L.A. Lakers, the NBA’s biggest star has emerged as one of the town’s hottest producers, setting up a dozen film and TV projects and starring in a new ‘Space Jam’ as he sounds off on Serena Williams (“I feel that struggle”) and becoming a Trump Twitter target: "What bothers me is that he has time to even do that."

HBD: Jerry Bruckheimer, producer, CSI: Crime Scene Investigation (2000-15), the Pirates of the Caribbean film series, 75

Marc Ross Daily: Trade War, Las Vegas, Apertivo, Lyft, Milk Bar, Detroit, AmazonGo, Pot

Trade War, Las Vegas, Apertivo, Lyft, Milk Bar, Detroit, AmazonGo, Pot

Marc Ross Daily
September 20, 2018
Curation and commentary from 
Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia 

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Globalization, Disruption, and Politics

What's a Caracal?
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TOP FIVE

✔️ Trump’s trade war still doesn’t scare China

✔️ China is at risk of becoming a colonialist power

✔️ Today: Trump campaigns in Las Vegas

✔️ Starbucks in Chicago is launching the "Apertivo hour" deal

✔️ Lyft has hit 1 billion rides
 

GEOECONOMICS

Trump’s trade war still doesn’t scare China: WP reports, Premier Li Keqiang to a crowd in the port city of Tianjin seemed directed at President Trump — without invoking his name — as fresh tariff announcements bring the United States and China closer to an all-out trade war. “China’s development over the past decades has always been achieved by overcoming all sorts of different obstacles and challenges,” he said. “Each time, we managed to pull through.”

China won't devalue the yuan to make its exports more competitive, Premier Li Keqiang said, even as the trade war with the US escalates.

Nikkei: Over 70% of US companies in China feel pain of trade war

Axios: Alibaba bails on pledge to create one million US jobs

China’s Haier cancels plan to sell US-made GE goods
: FT reports, trade dispute scuppers proposal to import household appliances for domestic sale.

NYT: Trump’s tariffs have put the US and China on the cusp of a new Cold War

The world’s two largest economies are in the opening stages of a new economic Cold War, one that could persist long after President Trump is out of office.

The diplomatic stalemate has many in the business and policy communities wondering what, if anything, America will gain.


Trump’s trade war spurs a boom for knockoff designer bags from China: WP reports, the authentic high-end handbags, also made in China, face President Trump’s proposed new duties of 10 percent beginning Monday. That’s good news for those who peddle the fake versions that reach the US market through clandestine channels.

Jamil Anderlini: China is at risk of becoming a colonialist power: Heavy lending to Pakistan as part of the Belt and Road Initiative could backfire.

@marcorubio: #China has now basically run out of new tariffs to impose in retaliation for U.S. actions. The price of these actions on Americans will be real & significant. But the price of allowing China to continue to gut our economy is infinitely greater.

ZTE and the US Senate: A bipartisan group of senators, led by Sens. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.), introduced legislation that would reimpose sanctions on ZTE Corp. if it fails to fully comply with a deal reached with the Trump administration in July to end U.S. restrictions on the Chinese telecoms company. 

China’s leaders are softening their stance on AI: A year after announcing an aggressive plan to dominate artificial intelligence, the country’s leaders are calling for international collaboration. 

I have no idea what this means for you, your investments, and the planet.

Matthew A. Winkler: Commodity prices trump politics for investors in Brazil: Lots of people are excited about the presidential election next month. Money managers aren’t among them.

44: If current trends hold, Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo will account for 44 percent of all people living in extreme poverty by 2050, according to a new Gates Foundation report.

Since 2000, more than a billion people have lifted themselves out of the extreme poverty.

Africa is young: ~60% of Africans are under the age of 25. Europeans? Just 27%.


European Union antitrust regulators are starting to ask questions about Amazon market power.

MR Prediction: Amazon selects HQ2 to be in Virginia to add two more Senators and buys Carrefour to expand Europeans operations.

Ferdinando Giugliano: Three more reasons to worry about Italy: It’s not all about Tria’s budget. There are still concerns about the coalition’s stability, the business environment and the independence of institutions. 

The Times: Bubble bursts on prosecco sales in UK

An Italian farmers group put the blame on the weakened pound but also pointed to reports last year in the UK linking prosecco to tooth decay. “Nationalistic fake news designed to discredit the Italian drink seems to have had an impact on sales,” said Coldiretti. 

AMERICAN POLITICS

GOP to push ahead on Kavanaugh pick: WSJ reports, Senate Republicans said they would push forward with their efforts to confirm Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh—who has been accused of sexual assault—and a White House spokesman said the administration was going “full steam ahead” to support him. 

Today: Trump campaigns in Las Vegas.

Trump feels angry, unprotected amid mounting crises: WP reports, publicly, President Trump is going through the ordinary motions of being president, but behind the scenes, he is confronting broadsides from every direction — legal, political and personal.

Simon & Schuster announced that "Fear" sold more than 1.1 million copies through Week 1.

TX-SEN: Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz has a 54 - 45 percent likely voter lead over U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke, his Democratic challenger, in the Texas Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll.

Election 2018: The current 538 model gives the Republicans a 7 in 10 chance of keeping control of the Senate and gives Democrats a 4 in 5 chance of flipping the House.

There are 21 House seats which were carried by Barack Obama in 2012 and districts carried by Donald Trump in 2016.

Trump's tariffs won't bite Apple, illustrating Tim Cook's political sway: WP reports, Apple chief executive Tim Cook has been one of President Trump's staunchest critics in Silicon Valley, opposing the White House on immigration, climate change and more. But the 57-year-old tech leader has also become one of the technology industry's savviest political operators - a behind-the-scenes Trump whisperer, able to shape some of the administration's economic policies in ways that benefit Apple and some of its tech peers.

Reuters: US Chamber chief says Trump can still avoid a damaging trade war

WBJ: DC Council to consider legal sports betting, ahead of Virginia and Maryland


ENTERPRISE

Amazon's HQ2 announcement likely to come after midterm elections: The 20 finalists for Amazon’s second headquarters should expect an announcement from the company after the midterm elections, a top global site selector said Monday. John Boyd, principal of The Boyd Co. Inc. location consultants, said it’s increasingly looking like the company’s announcement for the 50,000-job, $5 billion investment will come after the midterm elections if the news doesn’t break elsewhere before it’s officially announced. per the Atlanta Business Chronicle.

Amazon is considering a plan to open thousands of AmazonGo cashierless stores in the next few years.

Marc Ross Commentary: Cincinnati, we have a problem http://bit.ly/2NmlfgW

Amazon is on track to pass Microsoft to become the third largest digital ad platform this year. 

Google Home Mini has vaulted to the top spot in the global market for connected speakers, edging out a rival device from Amazon, a survey showed Wednesday. The Strategy Analytics report for the second quarter of 2018 showed the smallest device from Google captured 20 percent of the market with sales of 2.3 million.

LAT: Jeff Bezos says he will invest $1 billion next year in Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket program

Danske Bank’s CEO quit over a massive money-laundering scanda
l: Thomas Borgen resigned over “major deficiencies” in the controls at Denmark’s largest bank, which allowed some €200 billion ($234 billion) to pass through its Estonian branch between 2007 and 2015. It said the majority of the 6,200 transactions appeared suspicious.

Lyft has hit 1 billion rides.

I haven't experienced Lyft yet - do they still do the pink mustache?

The end of grammar? Papa John's may soon go by the name of Papa Johns.

Instagram is launching a campaign to help encourage users to register to vote.

Starbucks in Chicago is launching the "Apertivo hour" deal - buy an alcoholic drink and get a complimentary pizza tasting plate.

No way am I having a Negroni in a Starbucks - not going to happen.

Alibaba announced it plans to set up a new chip subsidiary to make customized artificial intelligence chips and embedded processors for the cloud and Internet of Things businesses. 

Bloomberg: Fortunes made and lost on weed in wildest single day of trading

Tilray ends whipsaw session higher after wiping out 94% gain - Pot stock trading halted five times for volatility triggers
 
The hype around pot stocks is catching up to the crypto craze.


Boeing is developing plans to raise its 737 production rate to a record 63 per month.

Telsa won't make it: Former General Motors vice chairman Bob Lutz reckons Tesla is "headed for the graveyard," and says Elon Musk doesn't know how to run a car company. 

Formula One inked a $100 million deal with Interregional Sports Group to enable live in-race betting.

CBC: 'A public relations nightmare': Ticketmaster recruits pros for secret scalper program

CBC goes undercover at industry convention in Las Vegas to expose ticket giant’s new scheme.

HBD: Lloyd Blankfein, chairman and chief executive, Goldman Sachs, 64

TRENDS + BUZZ

54: By 2022, 54 percent of all workers will have a “significant” need to boost their skills to deal with advancing technology, according to a new World Economic Forum survey, with over a third requiring additional training of up to six months.

Video game sales in the US increased year over year for the fifth straight month in August.

CULTURE

LAT: Christina Tosi is opening her LA Milk Bar dessert shop this Saturday, with crack pies — and an ice cream truck

AFP: LeBron teams with 'Black Panther' director for 'Space Jam 2'

Moon people: Only 24 people have ever flown to the moon and only eleven men have walked on the moon, Eugene Cernan is the last person to do so.

Chevy Chase is 74, sober and ready to work. The problem? Nobody wants to work with him. WP reports, the man who revolutionized television in the 1970s with SNL, who made some of the best comedies of the 1980s and who as recently as 2012 earned rave reviews for his turn on “Community” wonders why he can’t get a break. He has a few theories.

From ‘why I hate Detroit’ to ‘why I stayed’: Eric Thomas’s 2016 blog went viral. What does he think about his changing city now? https://on.ft.com/2DcvMH1

"Detroiters’ honesty means we have real conversations about the future without sidestepping unpleasant details"

Brigadoon Detroit | Salon Dinner = October 11, 2018

Dinner will be held at The Apparatus Room @ Detroit Foundation Hotel with a discussion on the creation of new urban mobility solutions as well as mobility trends seen globally.

More info here: 
http://bit.ly/2MEXICM

SPORT

Mavericks and Mark Cuban sanctioned by NBA over the handling of sexual harassment: NYT reports, an investigation determined Cuban could have done more to address misconduct among team officials. The owner agreed to donate $10 million to charities in lieu of a fine.

Marc Ross Daily: Two Koreas, China, Ireland, Postmates, Juventus, WeWork, AI

Two Koreas, China, Ireland, Postmates, Juventus, WeWork, AI

Marc Ross Daily
September 19, 2018
Curation and commentary from 
Marc A. Ross

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia 

Marc Ross Daily  = Business News at the Intersection of Globalization, Disruption, and Politics

What's a Caracal?
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Subscribe herehttps://goo.gl/bSQKwA

TOP FIVE

✔️ Two Koreas plan to make joint bid for 2032 Summer Olympics

✔️ China retaliates against new US tariffs in trade war

✔️ Apple pays Ireland €14bn in disputed back taxes

✔️ Postmates hits $1bn valuation

✔️ Real Madrid v Roma @ 3:00 pm ET
 

GEOECONOMICS

The two Koreas sign agreement on how to denuclearize peninsula: Bloomberg reports, the agreement signed by Moon and Kim is called the "September Pyongyang Declaration."

Two Koreas plan to make a joint bid for the 2032 Summer Olympics.

China retaliates with tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. goods: WSJ reports, the Chinese government said Tuesday it plans to impose new tariffs on $60 billion in U.S. exports, prompting President Trump to reiterate a threat to punch back by hitting Chinese goods worth more than four times that much.

China retaliates against new US tariffs in trade war: FT reports, Beijing slaps duties of up to 10 percent on $60bn of American imports.

New U.S.-China tariffs raise fears of an economic Cold War: WP reports, some analysts anticipate an economic partition reminiscent of the globe-splitting divide between the United States and the Soviet Union following World War II.

Nikkei: China strikes back at US as trade war creeps closer to consumers

Bloomberg: Jack Ma warns Alibaba, China to prepare for20-year trade war


China's Premier Li Keqiang says China won't devalue their currency to stimulate exports, at the World Economic Forum in Tianjin, China. 

U.S. orders Chinese media firms to register as foreign agents: WSJ reports, the Justice Department ordered two leading Chinese state-run media organizations to register as foreign agents amid U.S. efforts to combat foreign influence operations.

AFP: US considers 'Fort Trump' military base in Poland

Russia blames Israel for loss of plane shot down by Syria air defenses
: WSJ reports, Russia blamed Israel for the loss of a reconnaissance plane downed accidentally by Syrian forces during a raid by Israeli fighter jets, but leaders of the two countries quickly worked to defuse further tensions, underscoring the desire of regional powers to prevent escalation.

Today: Theresa May arrives in Salzburg for Brexit talks with the EU’s negotiators.

Reuters: Canada's Trudeau under growing pressure to get NAFTA deal done

AFP: Venezuela to bump China oil exports to one million barrels a day


Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro doubles down on Chinese money to rescue a crashing economy. 

AMERICAN POLITICS

Day 608 of the Trump administration.

Kavanaugh accuser wants ‘full investigation’ before hearing: WSJ reports, the woman who alleged Supreme Court Justice nominee Brett Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her has requested an FBI investigation of the incident before she testifies.

LAT: California professor wants FBI inquiry before testifying about sexual assault allegation against Kavanaugh

FT: White House hawks ratchet up trade hostilities with China


New tariffs aimed at Beijing leave little room for any settlement.

Trump trade officials play down China tariff fears: FT reports, Republicans worry damage to consumer sentiment could affect forthcoming elections.

LAT: Environmentalists worry that Florence will leave behind a toxic mess in North Carolina 

ENTERPRISE

FT: US justice department opens investigation into Tesla

Prosecutors submit ‘voluntary request for documents’ over Musk’s take-private plan.

FT: Visa and Mastercard offer $6.2bn ‘swipe fees’ settlement

The potential agreement leaves conflict over rules imposed on merchants unresolved.

Nikkei: Alibaba's incoming chairman puts data at heart of business

FT: Apple pays Ireland €14bn in disputed back taxes

Viacom strikes Nickelodeon deal with Netflix - produce exclusive series for streaming service.

Postmates hits $1bn valuation.

WeWork said it surpassed JP Morgan, the biggest U.S. bank, as the largest tenant of Manhattan office space, a milestone highlighting growing demand for flexible leases.

TRENDS + BUZZ

Social media blamed for rise in unhappiness among girls: The Times reports, far fewer girls say they are happy than a decade ago, with many blaming social media and exams for making them feel anxious. 

Keep it private: Growth in sales of private-label products have outpaced the sales of branded products by 3x.

Less choice and less thinking consumers: Amazon has beat out most of its competition with a simple philosophy: endless choice at super-low prices. But now, two new trends could be a warning sign for that model. Food, clothes and makeup firms are among sellers that are becoming either highly customized or, at the other extreme, one-size-fits-all, says CB Insights' Zoe Leavitt. The common goal — the elimination of choice, and the confusion that can accompany it, thus challenging the very calling card of massive retailers like Amazon and Walmart.

CB Insights: AI healthcare startups have raised $4.3 billion since 2013

CULTURE

HBD: Jimmy Fallon, comedian, 44

SPORT

Why the Clippers landed Lee Jenkins as executive director of research and identity: LAT reports, the team announced the hiring of Jenkins, 41, as the executive director of research and identity Monday. In media and NBA circles, the title sparked confusion. To Frank, it is almost beside the point. Jenkins, whose in-depth NBA profiles at Sports Illustrated earned him a reputation as one of the nation’s top sports journalists, clicked so easily with Clippers brass that they believed his skills could benefit the organization in ways that transcend title.

Today = Champions League = Group Stage Matches

Real Madrid v Roma @ 3:00 pm ET
Valencia v Juventus @ 3:00 pm ET
Benfica v Bayern @ 3:00 pm ET