"My advantage is that I care less."

On a recent episode of Invest Like the Best podcast, host Patrick O'Shaughnessy spoke with David Einhorn, president of Greenlight Capital.

The conversation covers the highs and the lows of managing money, Einhorn's views on the current banking issues, and how he has evolved as an investor.

A pod segment explored how poker and other games can teach us about investing and relationships.

One question hit me like a bull at Pamplona.

O'Shaughnessy asked Einhorn: "What do you think separates great from very good in poker? What are the attributes that allow someone to get great?"

Einhorn responded: "There are a lot of players who are a lot better than I am. Now you've got computer training. There's all this game theory and studying hand combinations and stuff like that. Many of the top pros are technically way better players than I am. So you have to recognize where your strength is and what you're doing at the table, and how they are going to perceive you.

"And when I play against top pros, they generally perceive me probably to be pretty weak. My advantage is that I care less. This, for me, is a hobby. For them, it's their livelihood. So I can be relaxed, and I'm going to make my best decision. And if it doesn't work, it doesn't work, and then I'll be done with my vacation, and I'll go back to my day job, so that's fine."

Boom.

"My advantage is that I care less."

That line is a bull hitting you at Pamplona.

Einhorn went on: "If you can feel the pressure that the other person is under because then they're going to make inferior decisions. That's what my edge is."

When thinking about communications, be mindful if the speaker seeks your validation, needs it, or if their career depends on you believing what they say.

Consider political communications.

If the person delivering the political communications services a campaign committee, works for a candidate, or advocates for a political cause, they care a lot.

They care so much about their communications that they need you to believe everything they say.

Whereas an independent analyst or political professional with no allegiance or check dependence can speak freely and without bias.

This liberated speaker "cares less."

The independent analyst or political professional does not depend on you believing what they say. They give you their expert perspective; you can take it or leave it.

All political communications has three traits: it is context-dependent, heavily influenced by who is paying for the speaking, and has a predetermined end goal.

Be mindful of how much the speaker "cares" when taking in political communications.

And when you deliver political communication, be aware of how much you "care."

Knowing the difference gives you an edge.

A communications edge that is the Pamplonian difference between running with bulls or getting hooked by the bulls.

If you need help with political communications, Caracal is here to help.

Caracal believes successful political communications requires intelligence, strategy, and engagement.

Caracal is here to help you succeed in today's interconnected business environment with one-on-one services for senior executives.

Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly.

-Marc


ITK Daily is geopolitical business intelligence for senior executives with global ambition.

ITK Daily curates news @ the intersection of globalization, disruption, politics, culture, + sport and provides actionable insights and sharp commentary.


Sound More Interesting at Cocktails Memo | March 24, 2023

25 talking points for better conversation at cocktails from news of the past week.

1. EU seals deal to send Ukraine 1 million ammo rounds.

2. The World Bank says Ukraine needs $411 billion to rebuild.

3. Prince William made a surprise visit to British troops near the Ukrainian border.

4. Emmanuel Macron faces 200 protests across France over pension changes.

5. Canada's population grew by a record 1 million in 2022, spurred by international migration - Canada remains the fastest-growing G7 country.

6. Nigeria is among the eight economies with the lowest human capital in the world, ranked 167th out of 174 countries on the World Bank’s Human Capital Index.

7. Philippines eyes $1.5 billion from the sale of state-owned casinos.

8. 150 million people are reported to use TikTok.

9. Utah Governor Spencer Cox signed a bill to curb the use of social media by children and teens - it will also require companies to block minors’ access to accounts from 10:30 pm to 6:30 am.

10. TSMC makes a third of all the world’s silicon chips.

11. Volvo Cars to export all-new compact EVs from China by sharing a platform with parent GEELY to help bring down costs.

12. Ford Motor Company will be an all-electric carmaker in Europe by 2025.

13. There are roughly 7,200 working satellites occupying orbit.

14. Virgin Orbit, Richard Branson’s satellite-launching start-up, is said to be near a deal for a $200 million investment led by the venture capitalist Matthew Brown.

15. 140 distilleries in Scotland have pledged to make their operations “net-zero” in carbon emissions by 2040.

16. In a new report from American Express, 70% of Gen-Z and Millennials travelers say they have been inspired to travel to a destination after seeing it on screen. 

 

17. Standford University now has more than 10,000 administrators who oversee the 7,761 undergraduate and 9,565 graduate students ... There are about 2,290 faculty members.

18. Amazon to lay off 9,000 more workers.

19. We ♥ NYC: Milton Glaser’s iconic logo gets a modern makeover.

20. In New York City, a $100,000 salary feels like $36,000 - after taxes and adjusting for the sky-high cost of living.

21. Depeche Mode has released the group’s 15th album.

22. Guinness is set to open a £73m ‘culture hub’ at Old Brewers’ Yard in central London that promises a “grain-to-glass immersive visitor experience” in the mold of the Dublin original. 

23. The current Formula 1 season will see twenty-three races being staged, of which only nine will take place in Europe.

24. Apple is said to be weighing a bid for streaming rights for The Premier League soccer matches.

25. Central Park’s Wollman Rink will soon be home to 14 pickleball courts.

Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly.

-Marc


ITK Daily is geopolitical business intelligence for senior executives with global ambition.

ITK Daily curates news @ the intersection of globalization, disruption, politics, culture, + sport and provides actionable insights and sharp commentary.

Insight | My hot take on the TikTok hearing

Geopolitics is disrupting every business.

Just ask TikTok and Shou Zi Chew.

Even so, my first impression is that TikTok will keep operating in America for some time mainly because there is no one reason to ban, limit, or halt its operation - Congress has 20 reasons.

In the hearing, Congress came across as seeing all problems in American society as problems TikTok can solve, reduce, or protect.

It won't be easy, and there will be loads of friction and regulation, but I am long TikTok operating amongst the US civilian population for the foreseeable future.

A complete lack of focus on Capitol Hill to prioritize at max three policy issues on China helps TikTok survive.

Congressman Tim Walberg's (R-MI-05) questioning gave up the game.

TikTok is a proxy to show how much Capitol Hill is overwhelmingly frustrated with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and concerned with the CCP's global intentions was the foundation of this hearing.

TikTok CEO Shou Chew did well, all things considered - calm, confident, cooperative, and concise. His preparation was world-class, and his manner is a template others in a hearing hot seat should emulate.

Equally, the committee members asked legitimate questions with limited grandstanding, which is amazing, frankly. Plus, the staff did a bang-up job researching and prepping their members.

This was a "welcome to the bigs" hearing for all participants.

The main geopolitical business communications takeaway, from now on, commerce without geopolitics is nearly impossible.

If you need help sorting out how your business will operate in this hothouse, interconnected geopolitical business environment, Caracal is here to help.

Problem-solving communications for business here

Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly.

-Marc


ITK Daily is geopolitical business intelligence for senior executives with global ambition.

ITK Daily curates news @ the intersection of globalization, disruption, politics, culture, + sport and provides actionable insights and sharp commentary.