Insights from the Biden-Xi meeting: Balancing cooperation + competition in US-China relations

In a high-stakes meeting between US President Joe Biden and China's Xi Jinping, the leaders sought to ease tensions between their nations during a diplomatic encounter on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit.

The meeting came a year after their last face-to-face interaction and aimed to address growing concerns about the potential for military conflict in the Indo-Pacific region.

Despite announcing agreements on confidence-building measures, such as resuming high-level military-to-military (mil-to-mil) communications to avoid miscalculations, Biden openly referred to Xi as a dictator during a press conference.

This candid assessment underscored the increasingly strained relationship between the two global powers and emphasized a recurring theme of Biden's presidency: the global competition between democracy and autocracy.

The Biden administration intentionally set low expectations for the meeting, aiming to restore the bilateral relationship to a point before tensions escalated.

In addition to mil-to-mil communications, the leaders agreed to restart climate talks and address the flow of precursor chemicals from China used in the production of illicit fentanyl.

The leaders also discussed various areas of cooperation, including artificial intelligence, increased flights between the two countries, and expanded people-to-people exchanges in education, business, and culture.

The goal was to demonstrate that the US and China, despite their differences, could work together on shared challenges while managing their competitive relationship.

While expressing the need for collaboration, both leaders acknowledged their differences on matters such as Taiwan, which Xi emphasized as the "most important and sensitive" issue in US-China relations.

The Biden administration has consistently identified China's rise as the most significant geopolitical test of the 21st century. However, critics argue that the administration's focus on conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine has left them needing more preparation to counter China's dominance in Asia.

The meeting reflected the delicate balance between cooperation and competition.

However, the off-the-cuff remark by Biden at the end of a presser, referring to Xi as a dictator, highlighted the fragility of the relationship.

The carefully choreographed meeting aimed to project stability, but this unscripted comment underscored Biden's tensions and genuine feelings toward the Chinese Communist Party's objectives and operations.

As global corporate affairs executives and multinational businesses adapt their supply chains while geopolitical tensions persist, the governments of the US and China face the complex task of balancing cooperation and rivalry in a relationship that has far-reaching implications for the world economy and geopolitical order.

The Biden-Xi meeting marked a significant effort to navigate this delicate balance, with both leaders acknowledging the need for collaboration amid their strategic competition, even with an ad-hoc remark capturing the most attention.

CAP (Communications Action Point) = Biden's impromptu comment after his solo press conference jeopardized the carefully orchestrated diplomatic efforts, highlighting the fragility of US-China relations despite attempts to project stability in the face of upcoming elections in Taiwan and the United States.

Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly

-Marc

Caracal on the road | Singapore

Next week, I am off to the Fixed Income + FX Leaders' Summit in Singapore.

I am giving a keynote presentation: Navigating Regulatory Requirements in FX + Fixed Income Business.

I'll address the impact of federal hikes on business operations and share best practices and innovative approaches to achieve regulatory compliance cost-effectively.

Plus, I'll be moderating a panel: Implementing ESG Strategies Without Greenwashing.

The panelists will explore the ins and outs of implementing ESG strategies, maximizing returns from ESG bonds, and discuss what due diligence processes are essential to ensure the authenticity of ESG investments.

📅 Event Details:

📍 Fixed Income & FX Leaders' Summit, Singapore

🗓️ November 22 - 23, 2023

📍 Raffles City Convention Centre, Singapore

🎟️ Reserve your seat: https://fixedincomeapac.wbresearch.com/fils-home

🌐 Connect with industry leaders, gain actionable insights, and elevate your global business strategies!

See you at the summit!

-Marc

Sweden confronts unprecedented security challenges

Sweden is currently facing its most significant security challenges since 1945, according to Henrik Landerholm, the national security adviser.

Landerholm warned that Sweden, once a symbol of peace, neutrality, and social cohesion, is now confronted by challenges on three fronts: Russia, Islamist terrorism, and internal violence related to drug cartels.

Landerholm explained that these threats are interrelated, with Moscow using disinformation and hybrid warfare techniques to exploit vulnerabilities within Swedish society and provoke tension among fundamentalist Muslims. Although each challenge may not be overwhelming, the cumulative impact stresses the system, both socially and politically.

One of Sweden's significant challenges is the existence of "vulnerable areas" – deprived suburbs in large cities with a concentration of residents with migrant backgrounds, low levels of employment and education, and high crime rates. These areas serve as breeding grounds for Islamist groups and armed criminal gangs, contributing to the overall security crisis.

Magnus Hjort, the director-general of the Swedish Psychological Defence Agency, expressed that trust and the social contract have effectively broken down in these vulnerable areas. This breakdown exacerbates Swedish authorities' challenges in addressing the multifaceted security threats.

In response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February of the previous year, Sweden has undergone a radical shift in its "basic security posture," marking the first significant change in over 200 years since adopting neutrality after the Napoleonic wars.

Sweden applied to join NATO three months after the invasion alongside Finland. It has substantially increased its defense budget since 2018, aiming to meet the alliance's target of spending 2 percent of GDP on the military next year.

The Baltic Sea, a significant target for Russian aggression, is a focal point in Sweden's strategic considerations. The government is grappling with its new role on NATO's eastern flank, and the strategic importance of the Swedish island of Gotland, which overlooks key maritime routes through the Baltic, adds complexity to the nation's security challenges. The island could play a pivotal role in any considerable conflict, underscoring the need for comprehensive measures to safeguard Sweden's security in this heightened threat environment.

The government is set to evaluate proposals from the chief of defense staff on reshaping the armed forces to counter the evolving security threats of the 2020s, particularly those posed by Russia.

CAP (Communications Action Point) = Sweden faces a security challenge not seen since 1945 and is a multifaceted threat. Combining hybrid warfare techniques exploits vulnerabilities within Swedish society and forces leaders to think high-low to ensure peace and prosperity.

Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly

-Marc