Caracal Business Insider | November 8, 2017

CBI 091517.png

North Korea | Northam | Trump in China | Cheddar | Louvre Abu Dhabi

Caracal Business Insider | Daily
November 8, 2017
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider: Politics + Policy + Profits

"You've got to win the politics to set the policy to ensure the profits." - Marc A. Ross, founder of Caracal Global.

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia


ROSS RANT

Vote.png

Protest votes come in all shape, sizes, and educational levels: We have seen it all. In recent elections, voters across the world have been telling the do-gooder, globalist, elite no - it's their time now.

The protest vote of middle England telling the cosmopolitan elites of London they have had enough, and they want out of the European Union.

The protest vote from the Catalonians that want more say and leave the support of Madrid to go their own independent way.

The protest vote from salt of the earth Americans living in the Great Lakes region who believe wearing a football jersey is a proper air travel outfit telling those who crafted multilateral trade deals and forged a more multicultural nation they do not get to pick the winner of the White House this time.

But last night was different.

Finally the do-gooder, globalist, elite had a chance to cast a protest vote.

The suburban citizens of NoVa who have more in common with those living in New Jersey and commuting into Manhattan than their fellow Old Dominion citizens voted in a protest wave to send a message to the bloviator in chief and the do nothing congressional members - you ain't getting it done.

The protest vote that sent a Democrat to the governor's house in Richmond will be embraced and applauded by Team Obama and those who wished HRC be their president - and they should feel good and elated. It has been a horrible 365 days for them. Last night was their first real feel-good moment to halt the Trumpster since their disastrous performance the previous election day.

But, as is frequently done, believing they have found the secret sauce of winning in the age of Trump will be a loser. They haven't found anything. Ralph Northam is no way the future of the DNC. His only unique skill-set was that he was on the ballot last night.

Just like the Brexit referendum, the Catalonia vote for independence, and Trump's candidacy, all were only vehicles to send a protest, a message, a reminder, to those in power that the ways things are operating aren't working.

When voter data goes into a deep drive, analysists will find scores of suburban NoVa Republicans with dual incomes, hefty tax bills, jumbo mortgages, outstanding student loan debt, passports, multiple college degrees, Economist subscriptions, Class Pass memberships, Whole Foods shopping trips powered by InstaCart, and Patagonia jackets in their closets voted Dem for the first time in their lives. Finally, they had a vehicle to send a protest vote to Trump's Republican-controlled Federal government.

The protest was against the shameful and petulant behavior emanating from the Oval Office. The protest was against a Ryan and McConnell led Congress whose only success is sending Neil Gorsuch to SCOTUS. The protest was against the complete failure to pass infrastructure spending, to reform healthcare, to legislate a tax system that is entrepreneurial, global, and fair.

Waking up this morning, you have to believe the Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives next fall. Not only will we see more GOP members say adios to walking the hall of RHOB, but funding will become a challenge, and there will be more talk of Trump getting legitimate primary challengers.

If you are a Republican Member of Congress with a Whole Foods in your district you probably barely slept last night. As you wake-up to Playbook and Morning Joe, you know you have a decision to make this morning - be silent on Trump's behavior and leadership or do what is right and vote for legislation that is best for the long-term success of the nation.

Either way - it might not be enough.

A protest vote is coming.

GEOECONOMICS

WSJ: Trump warns North Korea: Do not underestimate US

NYT: Trump seeks help in China over a nuclear North Korea

While you were sleeping:  1:40 AM ET THE PRESIDENT and THE FIRST LADY arrive at Beijing Airport - Beijing, People’s Republic of China

Trump is first US president to get seat at Beijing’s banquet
new
: The Times reports, Trump, known as a lover of hamburgers and diet coke, will be treated to a banquet at the former imperial palace of the Forbidden City this evening, an honour never before bestowed on a visiting US leader to post-revolution China.

AP: Tweeter-in-chief ready to confront China’s ‘great firewall’

Xi Jinping just fired 75% of party veterans: Nikkei reports, Chinese president personally interviewed candidates, eliminating dissenters.

CNBC: Here are the corporate dealmakers joining Trump in China https://goo.gl/6jGMJF 

More business deals than trade pacts as Trump visits China: NYT reports, Trump will take a team of business leaders who may sign sales agreements, but chances of a big breakthrough on trade frictions seem slim.

China’s technology ambitions could upset the global trade order: NYT reports, when Trump arrives in Beijing on Wednesday, he will most likely complain about traditional areas of dispute like steel and cars. But Washington officials and major global companies increasingly worry about a new generation of deals that could give China a firmer grip on the technology of tomorrow. Under an ambitious plan unveiled two years ago called Made in China 2025, Beijing has designs to dominate cutting-edge technologies like advanced microchips, artificial intelligence, and electric cars, among many others, in a decade. And China is enlisting some of the world’s biggest technology players in its push.

Three UCLA basketball players detained in China: WSJ reports, three UCLA basketball players, including high-profile freshman LiAngelo Ball, were detained in China for alleged shoplifting, according to a person familiar with the matter. The Bruins, ranked No. 21, are in China to begin their college basketball season Saturday in Shanghai against Georgia Tech.

“We are aware of a situation involving UCLA student-athletes in Hangzhou, China,” UCLA said in a statement. “The university is cooperating fully with local authorities on this matter, and we have no further comment at this time.”

AFP: Chinese icebreaker steams for Antarctica in polar power play

Trump visit puts Tokyo at the center of geopolitics
Nikkei - Ian Bremmer

WSJ: Philippines’ Duterte Says He Will Raise South China Sea Dispute With Beijing

Globe and Mail: Canada won't be rushed into signing TPP, Trudeau insists in Vietnam


EU unveils proposal to cut vehicles’ CO2 emissions: WSJ reports, the European Union proposed a 30% cut in carbon-dioxide emissions from cars and vans in the decade through 2030, seeking to prod automakers toward cleaner technologies led by electric vehicles and curb climate change.

LAT: Gov. Jerry Brown and European Union leaders agree to work to combat climate change

The Paris climate agreement now has the support of Syria, leaving the US as the only country opposed.

Saudi crackdown targets up to $800 billion in assets: WSJ reports, the Saudi government is aiming to confiscate cash and other assets worth as much as $800 billion in its crackdown on alleged corruption among the kingdom’s elite.

US urged to impose full embargo on Venezuelan oil: FT reports, the Argentine president is the first Latin American leader to openly advocate such tough action.

AMERICAN POLITICS

Democrats win big races in Virginia, New Jersey: WSJ reports, Democrat Ralph Northam captured the Virginia governorship on Tuesday, beating Republican Ed Gillespie in the first major test of how the Donald Trump presidency has affected swing-state politics

NYT: Voters give Democrats first big victories of the Trump era

Northam’s dominating performance offered a momentary catharsis for Democrats who have been hungry to find political success this year.

“We now know what a lot of us in the party already knew: The Trump message is a big loser in swing states,” one Republican strategist said.


LAT: Democrats seize Virginia and New Jersey governorships in elections seen as precursors of 2018 fights

WP: Northam victory in VA gives Democrats first key win in Trump era

WP: Gillespie loss is a grim omen for GOP as voters reject ‘Trumpism without Trump’ strategy


GOP tax plan would slam California housing market: WSJ reports, California’s biggest housing markets figure to be among the losers if a Republican-sponsored tax overhaul becomes law, according to two analyses of local market data.

LAT: East Coast Republicans pushed back against Trump's tax plan. Why didn't California's GOP?

Reuters: Dollar slips on fears over US tax reform troubles


NEED A SPEAKER?

Marc A. Ross works with clients to develop executive education lectures, speeches, presentations, workshops, and conferences to help demystify Globalization, Disruption, and American politics. Learn more here.

ENTERPRISE

Cheddar, the live-streaming financial news network aimed at millennials, will begin to build remote studios in WeWork offices across the country in a partnership designed to improve the production value of the network's weekday live programming. 

Amazon has quietly launched its own line of activewear clothing: L2 reports, three new activewear brands — Goodsport, Rebel Canyon, and Peak Performance — are being promoted in Amazon’s holiday gift guide this week.

FT: China’s Tencent builds $2 billion stake in Snapchat owner

Twitter goes 280 - @marcaross will keep it 140.

WP: Starbucks’ next move: Italian restaurants

Chinese auto-glass magnate faces union challenge in Ohio: NYT reports, workers at the plant — owned by Mr. Cao’s company, Fuyao Glass — will vote on Wednesday and Thursday on whether to unionize. Officials at the United Automobile Workers union say that frustration with highhanded and arbitrary treatment by supervisors has generated support for a union.

Reuters: Germany's FlixBus to take on Greyhound in the United States

Google owner tests first driverless car on city streets: FT reports, Waymo’s self-driving project lets vehicles roam roads with no human in front seat.

Reuters: Ford, China's Zotye Auto invest $756 million in electric vehicle JV

Caixin: Xiaomi calls on Western Europe with launch in Spain


Reuters: Qualcomm buy may pit Broadcom against Intel in 'connected car' fight

ConocoPhillips aims capex at $5.5 billion/year for rest of decade: Reuters reports, ConocoPhillips, the largest U.S. independent oil and natural gas producer, said on Wednesday it will spend an average of $5.5 billion annually for the rest of the decade on capital projects as long as oil prices stay above $50 per barrel.

Hermes reports that it booked further sales growth in the third quarter, driven by higher demand in all divisions and across all regions.

CULTURE

AFP: 10 years in the making, the Louvre Abu Dhabi set to open

LAT: LA considers making Playboy Mansion a historic monument

AFP: 'Put down those smartphones!' pope tells bishops


SOTD

Portugal. The Man - Feel It Still (ZHU Remix) https://goo.gl/aJvk1T

SPORT

Nikkei: Spain's soccer league on track to double Asian audience by 2020

College Football Playoff Rankings:

1. Georgia (9-0)
2. Alabama (9-0)
3. Notre Dame (8-1)
4. Clemson (8-1)
5. Oklahoma (8-1)
6. TCU (8-1)
7. Miami (8-0)
8. Wisconsin (9-0)
9. Washington (8-1)
10. Auburn (7-2)

Protest votes come in all shape, sizes, and educational levels

Vote.png

 

We have seen it all. In recent elections, voters across the world have been telling the do-gooder, globalist, elite no - it's their time now.

The protest vote of middle England telling the cosmopolitan elites of London they have had enough, and they want out of the European Union.

The protest vote from the Catalonians that want more say and leave the support of Madrid to go their own independent way.

The protest vote from salt of the earth Americans living in the Great Lakes region who believe wearing a football jersey is a proper air travel outfit telling those who crafted multilateral trade deals and forged a more multicultural nation they do not get to pick the winner of the White House this time.

But last night was different.

Finally the do-gooder, globalist, elite had a chance to cast a protest vote.

The suburban citizens of NoVa who have more in common with those living in New Jersey and commuting into Manhattan than their fellow Old Dominion citizens voted in a protest wave to send a message to the bloviator in chief and the do nothing congressional members - you ain't getting it done.

The protest vote that sent a Democrat to the governor's house in Richmond will be embraced and applauded by Team Obama and those who wished HRC be their president - and they should feel good and elated. It has been a horrible 365 days for them. Last night was their first real feel-good moment to halt the Trumpster since their disastrous performance the previous election day.

But, as is frequently done, believing they have found the secret sauce of winning in the age of Trump will be a loser. They haven't found anything. Ralph Northam is no way the future of the DNC. His only unique skill-set was that he was on the ballot last night.

Just like the Brexit referendum, the Catalonia vote for independence, and Trump's candidacy, all were only vehicles to send a protest, a message, a reminder, to those in power that the ways things are operating aren't working.

When voter data goes into a deep drive, analysists will find scores of suburban NoVa Republicans with dual incomes, hefty tax bills, jumbo mortgages, outstanding student loan debt, passports, multiple college degrees, Economist subscriptions, Class Pass memberships, Whole Foods shopping trips powered by InstaCart, and Patagonia jackets in their closets voted Dem for the first time in their lives. Finally, they had a vehicle to send a protest vote to Trump's Republican-controlled Federal government.

The protest was against the shameful and petulant behavior emanating from the Oval Office. The protest was against a Ryan and McConnell led Congress whose only success is sending Neil Gorsuch to SCOTUS. The protest was against the complete failure to pass infrastructure spending, to reform healthcare, to legislate a tax system that is entrepreneurial, global, and fair.

Waking up this morning, you have to believe the Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives next fall. Not only will we see more GOP members say adios to walking the hall of RHOB, but funding will become a challenge, and there will be more talk of Trump getting legitimate primary challengers.

If you are a Republican Member of Congress with a Whole Foods in your district you probably barely slept last night. As you wake-up to Playbook and Morning Joe, you know you have a decision to make this morning - be silent on Trump's behavior and leadership or do what is right and vote for legislation that is best for the long-term success of the nation.

Either way - it might not be enough.

A protest vote is coming.

About the author: Marc A. Ross is the founder of Caracal Global, a strategy firm specializing in global business communications working with boardrooms and the C-Suite at the intersection of politics, policy, and profits. Ross holds an MBA from UNC Kenan-Flagler Business School.

Caracal Business Insider | November 7, 2017

CBI 091517.png

North Korea, UK Conservative Party, Bolshevik Revolution, Virginia Governor’s Race, Cowboys and Concussions

Caracal Business Insider | Daily
November 7, 2017
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider: Politics + Policy + Profits

"You've got to win the politics to set the policy to ensure the profits." - Marc A. Ross, founder of Caracal Global.

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia | Election Day 2017


GEOECONOMICS

Trump calls on North Korea to ‘make a deal’: FT reports, US president hails progress on Pyongyang threat but warns military force still an option.

LAT: In a sharp shift, Trump calls for North Korea to 'make a deal'

US allies fear Trump will pull a Nixon in China: The question for Asian governments anxious about an impulsive U.S. president looking for a foreign-policy success: Will he be tempted to strike a bargain?
WSJ - Andrew Browne

Wooing Trump, Xi seeks great power status for China: NYT reports, Xi Jinping, the most powerful Chinese leader in decades, wants the United States to share global leadership with China as equals.

G2? I don't think so.

The Times: Puigdemont accuses Europe of turning its back on the Catalan people

UK Tories prepare for by-elections in sex misconduct scandals: FT reports, Home Secretary says ‘clearing out’ would be welcome; government whip resigns.

The Conservative party failed to win a majority at the general election on June 8 and has a slim 12-seat advantage only because of a deal it struck with Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionists, leaving it in a precarious position.

LAT: Britain's prime minister seeks to curb sexual misconduct in the nation's politics

Sex scandals are speeding May to an early exit: With crises mounting and a PM who has used up all of her political lives, Tory thoughts are turning to Amber Rudd.
The Times - Rachel Sylvester

Dublin calls for 5-year Brexit transition: FT reports, Coveney rails against ‘game of chicken’ as Irish concerns of collateral damage mount.

Saudis call missile from Yemen an ‘act of war’ by Iran: NYT reports, Saudi Arabia charged that Iran had committed “a blatant act of military aggression” by providing its Yemeni allies with a missile fired at the Saudi capital over the weekend.

Comrades unite: One hundred years ago today, one of the century’s most momentous uprisings hit St. Petersburg. The Russian Revolution’s eventual outcome, the Soviet Union, offered hope for some but delivered suffering for many.

A century after the Bolshevik Revolution, Russia has its tsar
WP - Ishaan Tharoor

In Soviet times, Nov. 7 was an annual national holiday. But Russian President Vladimir Putin, the longest-serving Russian leader since Stalin, is not publicly commemorating the centennial.

AP: 100 years after Russian revolution, Lenin statues abound

"The Socialist Revolutionary Party - Only in battle will you obtain your rights!"

"The Socialist Revolutionary Party - Only in battle will you obtain your rights!"

AMERICAN POLITICS

Virginia governor’s race seen as key test of Trump ahead of 2018 midterms: WP reports, the contest pits Ed Gillespie, a longtime establishment Republican who has embraced the culturally divisive aspects of Trump’s agenda, against Democrat Ralph Northam, a pediatric neurologist and the state’s sitting lieutenant governor.

Hard-fought Virginia governor's race to test Trump's clout: Reuters reports, a bitterly fought governor's race in Virginia leads a slate of state and local elections on Tuesday that offer an early test of President Donald Trump's political influence and possible strategies for both parties in next year's midterm elections.

AFP: Virginia election likely a crucial test vote for Trump

#IVoted

@csmonitor: “He’s had to run as Donald Trump … – but he’s also tried to run as Mitt Romney and George H.W. Bush.”


Trump adviser sent email describing ‘private conversation’ with Russian official: WP reports, the email by adviser Carter Page contradicts earlier statements about his July 2016 trip to Moscow. In the email, he wrote that he had been provided “incredible insights and outreach” by Russian lawmakers and “senior members” of President Vladi­mir Putin’s administration.

Tax stuffing: House Republicans are acting quickly in the hopes of bringing tax reform to the House floor by Thanksgiving.

What does Tulsi Gabbard believe? The making of a charismatic, unorthodox Democrat. An Iraq veteran and the first Hindu in Congress, Gabbard is a compelling figure. When she was elected, Rachel Maddow said, “She is on the fast track to being very famous.”
New Yorker

@PoliticsReid: Lobbyists spent a quarter of a BILLION dollars influencing the California legislature thru first 9 months of 2017

A fight over gardening? NYT reports, the altercation that left Senator Rand Paul nursing bruised lungs and broken ribs was said to have begun over a landscaping dispute with a neighbor.

@thehill: Trump Commerce chief overstated wealth by $2 billion to get on Forbes list of richest Americans: report http://hill.cm/dfcOZZu  

NEED A SPEAKER?

Marc A. Ross works with clients to develop executive education lectures, speeches, presentations, workshops, and conferences to help demystify Globalization, Disruption, and American politics. Learn more here.

ENTERPRISE

Reuters: HSBC pledges $100 billion of finance by 2025 to combat climate change

Ford is gearing up to launch a Chariot bus network in London.

Uber, rival apps join forces in Brazil to stem tide of regulation: Reuters reports, Uber has formed an unprecedented alliance in Brazil with other ride-hailing services, including its main local rival 99, to win public support to block regulation threatening the way they do business in a booming market.

Reuters: Irish PM says future of $1 billion Apple data center uncertain

Fast fashion was inspired by Europe’s inability to mimic Indian garb https://goo.gl/QQW6Qa

WSJ: Disney approached 21st Century Fox to buy entertainment assets

FT: Energy sector rallies as oil holds around $64


@CNBCTopStories: We can expect the bull market to run 8 to 10 more years, strategist Jeff Saut says http://cnb.cx/2zm0eeq 

TRENDS

These hot restaurants aren’t on maps, only in apps: A virtual restaurant model, with low overhead, is a shift away from the capital-intensive model that kills 60% of new restaurants in their first five years. https://goo.gl/WFuxuD

American retail has a coffee problem: WSJ reports, coffee shops struggle for survival as others including grocery stores, gas stations and fast-food chains sell specialty beverages.

There are now nearly 33,000 coffee shops in the US.

Surf's up for startups at Web Summit 2017: AFP reports, the next generation of Internet giants gather this week in Portugal for four days of tech-fuelled networking, nights out and -- for the first time this year -- surfing of the offline variety. Web Summit, which likes to promote itself as "the Davos for geeks" and provides a platform for startups to hook up with venture capitalists and hear about new trends from industry leaders such as Facebook, will see around 60,000 tech experts convene in Lisbon, where participants will look to catch a break either in or out of the water. "Lisbon is kind of the surf capital of Europe, so not going surfing would be a very significant missed opportunity," said Web Summit CEO Paddy Cosgrave.

CULTURE

"What do leaders ... DO? First and foremost they assemble and then develop a topflight team of people.” - Tom Peters

SPORT

Why soccer, 'working-class ballet,' continues to thrive: Author Simon Critchley's new book, 'What We Think About When We Think About Soccer,' examines the power and myth of the world's most popular sport. https://goo.gl/8SFWBC

Kyle Martino enters race for US soccer president: NYT reports, Kyle Martino, a former United States national team midfielder now more familiar to fans for his role on NBC Sports’ Premier League broadcasts, has decided to leave his “dream job” and mount a bid to replace the longtime incumbent Sunil Gulati as president of US Soccer.

Cowboys, concussions and unholy risks: Inside the world of professional bull riding: Globe and Mail reports, when Canadian bull rider Ty Pozzobon killed himself in January 2017, he turned a spotlight on the world’s most dangerous sport. He became bull riding’s first confirmed case of CTE. The Globe spent the summer with Pozzobon’s closest colleagues on the professional bull-riding tour to explore how a way of life threatens the health and safety of the men who love to ride.