OpEd: In Age of Trump’s Twitter Diplomacy, Nations Need to Go Beyond Beltway | By Richard Levick

“Marc A. Ross, the founder of Caracal Global, points to China as a nation that ought to be concerned about its increasingly unfavorable standing with the American public.

“In the United States, negative views of China have increased by 26 percentage points between 2006 and 2016,” he writes at InsideSources.com. “If negative views of a company increased by 26 percentage points over a decade, the chief executive officer of said company would have a major problem.”

“It is time,” Ross maintains, “for those that care about a productive and engaged U.S.-China commercial relationship to take these polls seriously and engage Americans in Main Street coffee shops and at picnic tables for backyard summer BBQs.”

If half-numb from jet lag you’ve ever stared at the international commercials in an airport lounge TV, you’ve probably “learned a thing or two,” as they say in the Farmers Insurance ads.

India is “incredible.” Meanwhile, South Africa is “inspiring new ways.” And presumably once you’ve figured out how to get there, there’s “so much to discover” in Kyrgyzstan. 

The advertisements are part of a wave of nation-branding campaigns that apply corporate branding techniques to enhance the reputations of countries in a bid to boost tourism, attract investment or simply garner political influence.

For years now, countries have distilled “the fundamental common purpose” of their identities into (sometimes too) flashy ads spotlighted on BBC World News, CNN International and other all-news networks. Certain countries, especially the new states of Eastern Europe, have achieved success in using nation-branding campaigns to revitalize tourism after decades of war and conflict. Other countries have used it to attract capital and stimulate investment in markets that have just begun to develop.

More nascent countries, meanwhile, are trying to put themselves on the map and stir name recognition. 

“In a global marketplace, one of the most important assets of any state is encouraging inward investment, adding value to exports, and attracting tourists and skilled migrants,” says David Haigh, CEO of Brand Finance, which publishes an annual ranking of national brands.

To date, nation-branding campaigns, at least those that achieve airport lounge status, have primarily focused on U.S. business executives. Policymakers, opinion elites and the American people writ large have been only peripheral targets.

That’s quickly changing. The person who reinvented presidential politics is forcing global leaders to rethink how they engage in deliberations with the U.S. 

Despite his Twitter-fueled rhetoric and a proclivity for picking undiplomatic fights, Donald Trump’s foreign policy has largely been conventional, if you can look past his disquieting ties to Russia, his controversial declaration that Jerusalem is Israel’s capital, his withdrawal from the Paris climate accords and Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal and his decision to undercut the Iranian nuclear agreement. The president’s lengthy mid-autumn trip to Asia certainly came out of a traditional year-one playbook. As Politico recently observed, Trump has, “for all his fire and fury,” yet to change the conduct or trajectory of foreign policy. Yet, every country — whether friend or foe — is just 140 characters removed from presidential pique and the inevitable media scrum to follow.

Diplomats of all political stripes worry that Trump’s Twitter belligerence presents an unflattering image to the world and undermines the State Department’s capacity to negotiate, whether through official or back-channel diplomacy. Following one of Trump's Twitter barrages on Russia and Vladimir Putin, White House Chief of Staff John Kelly advised people not to take the president's tweets too seriously.

“The only thing maybe predictable about [Trump’s] foreign policy is that he says to the world, ‘I’m going to be unpredictable,’” Michael Anton, director of strategic communications at the National Security Council, told Susan Glasser for The Global Politico podcast. “[Trump] said he thinks that America has been too predictable, and I think he relishes that, to keep adversaries, competitors alike, sort of off balance.”

The denizens of Foggy Bottom have certainly gotten the message. “There's a lot of unexpected things that happen to us in the world of diplomacy,” Secretary of State Rex Tillerson has said. “We know how to adapt to that, we know how to work with it.”

There’s also no mistaking that Trump’s Twitter diplomacy allows him to bypass the media and make a direct appeal to his base. If countries want to effectively navigate Trump’s impetuous nature, they need to mitigate the prospects of drawing his ire and insulate themselves by building a rapport directly with the American public. That makes their nation branding more important than ever, especially as the Robert Mueller investigation into the Trump team’s possible collusion with Russia intensifies.

What’s the best way beyond commercials and public affairs outreach to communicate with a larger American audience, especially for countries whose brand isn’t necessarily well known? To date, a handful of nations have experimented with nation-branding entertainment, such as movies and television shows, to appeal to a larger audience. The outcomes have been mixed, and occasionally, as in the case of a Cambodian attempt at nation branding through censorship, they’ve backfired.

Earlier this year, the Cambodian government banned the action film “Kingsman: The Golden Circle” because it portrayed the country as a base for a criminal drug ring. It’s not the first time Cambodia, and other Southeast Asian nations, have censored films or TV shows that depict them in an unflattering light, although such censorship itself often casts these nations in an even more unflattering light.

So how can countries convey their values and importance to American audiences? Marketing concept strategist and pollster Justin Wallin says that by cultivating decision-maker and grassroots support in the U.S., countries will be better-equipped to handle communication in a Trump era. “Trump’s Twitter diplomacy forces diplomats to go beyond the Beltway,” Wallin says. “Just as they consider a nation’s brand for tourism and investment, countries need to think of their brand in domestic political terms.”

“Nations will be better able to weather a diplomatic conflict or scandal if they’ve established an authentic, resilient reputation with the American people,” Wallin adds. “This may not be of interest to the likes of North Korea, but it certainly should be to most countries seeking improved diplomatic and economic relations.”

As veterans of corporate marketing campaigns appreciate, the process of enhancing public approval begins with researching public opinion – not only to measure levels of awareness, but also to gauge assessments about a country’s action or inaction. In turn, this can help guide key stakeholders, including business leaders and legislative decision-makers, as they work to build a broader diplomatic campaign.

Research conducted by Wallin’s company illustrates the need for countries to engage in nation branding. A survey of American voters fielded in late October 2017 revealed that 54 percent believe that China is more of an economic threat than a partner to the United States, a number that skyrockets to 75 percent when voters are asked about Russia, and that was before the Paul Manafort, et al., indictments were announced.

Yet Wallin’s research also indicates that 84 percent of those surveyed believe it is appropriate for a foreign country to communicate to the American people the benefits of a good relationship between that country and the United States, reinforcing the utility of strategic branding efforts. Just like with effective corporate branding, Wallin stresses the importance of an ongoing investment in nation branding, rather than reacting to a crisis.

“The mistake many countries make is waiting until a crisis or international incident to start investing in a national brand,” Wallin warns. “If you’re responding to a crisis, you’re already too late to build an effective brand.”

Marc A. Ross, the founder of Caracal Global, points to China as a nation that ought to be concerned about its increasingly unfavorable standing with the American public.

“In the United States, negative views of China have increased by 26 percentage points between 2006 and 2016,” he writes at InsideSources.com. “If negative views of a company increased by 26 percentage points over a decade, the chief executive officer of said company would have a major problem.”

“It is time,” Ross maintains, “for those that care about a productive and engaged U.S.-China commercial relationship to take these polls seriously and engage Americans in Main Street coffee shops and at picnic tables for backyard summer BBQs.”
China isn’t alone. Beyond the inevitable fulminations against North Korea’s “little rocket man,” no one can predict Trump’s next international target on Twitter – which is even more reason for foreign leaders to redouble their commitment to nation branding. 

About the author: Richard Levick (@richardlevick) is chairman and CEO of LEVICK, a global communications and public affairs agency specializing in risk, crisis and reputation management. He is a frequent television, radio, online and print commentator.

Caracal Business Insider | December 22, 2017

Catalonia.jpg

Catalonia, 'Cold War mentality', Dick Enberg, Russia-UK, Boeing

Caracal Business Insider | Daily
December 22, 2017
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia

Happy Holidays and Happy New Year - See you next on January 8, 2018


What Caracal Global is watching today:

✔️ Catalonia election + separatists keep majority

✔️ China condemns US 'Cold War mentality'

✔️ Russia-UK relations at 'a very low point'

✔️ Boeing is seeking to buy the Brazilian aircraft maker Embraer

GEOECONOMICS

CNBC: Spain's political crisis is 'back to square one' after Catalonia election

In a blow to Spanish unity, Catalan separatists keep the majority in regional vote: NYT reports, separatist parties won a narrow majority in Catalonia after the Spanish government called the election in an attempt to resolve the constitutional crisis.

Catalonia results: Parties seeking to secede from Spain narrowly won a snap election. The separatists won about 47 percent of the votes but secured 70 of the 135 seats in the regional Parliament, a narrow majority.

Guardian: A slap in the face’ for Madrid: Puigdemont hails Catalonia election win

Catalans really, and still, want to be free, while at the same time, Catalan's independence is less than clear and easy.

How I almost became a Chinese spy – reflections on China's age of anxiety
Financial Review - Angus Grigg

"The idea that China Correspondents Lisa Murray and Angus Grigg were merely journalists, chasing stories and looking to generate clicks seemed implausible to their Chinese minders."

An excellent read to grasp how the Chinese Communist Party seeks to control and gather information.

BBC: China condemns US 'Cold War mentality' on national security

CNBC: China to
USA: 'Stop deliberately distorting' our global strategy

#EvergreenTalkingPoint

Boris Johnson faces cold reception on Russia trip: FT reports, relations at ‘zero-level’ for first visit by foreign secretary in five years.

CNN: Russia-UK relations at 'a very low point' - Lavrov

Theresa May says she wants to see a female James Bond.

Cuba: Raúl Castro will step down as president in April.

QOTD: “I didn’t want this job. I didn’t seek this job… My wife told me I’m supposed to do this.” – US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson

NEXT CHINA

Make plans to attend the NEXT CHINA conference hosted by SupChina.  

The event will be held on Wednesday, January 17, 2018, at The Times Center in New York City. 

The conference will have five sessions covering Technology, Economy, Healthcare, Politics, and Philanthropy, followed by a live Sinica Podcast recording on “Cracking the China Conundrum."

RSVP for the NEXT China conference here:
https://goo.gl/5UZUhr

Use code HOLIDAY for a $300 ticket.

AMERICAN POLITICS

Dispute over political strategy erupts inside the White House: NYT reports, an Oval Office meeting involving President Trump and his top advisers on Wednesday devolved into a heated exchange between his former campaign manager and the White House political director, people briefed on the discussion said.

FNC: Trump deputy chief of staff Rick Dearborn to step down

Republicans warn Trump of 2018 bloodbath: Politico reports, the White House knows the midterm election will probably be bad. Behind the scenes, top aides are scrambling to avoid the worst.

Republicans plan mega marketing push to sell unpopular tax plan: Politico reports, 'When [voters] start to see what happens to their paychecks,' said one conservative, 'they will change their minds.'

US government funding has been extended until January 19. 

Bots will sway an election near you: Bloomberg reports, the key to political victory may lie in code. Automated software, known as bots, can fire out non-stop social media messages backing a particular candidate or campaign. The phenomenon goes beyond Russian-linked Facebook accounts aiming to influence foreign elections. Researchers in the and US found Twitter bots weighing in on Brexit and the US vote. 

“I have power”: Is Steve Bannon running for President?Vanity Fair reports, on a whirlwind tour around the globe, Trump’s former aide and alter ego reveals what really went down in the White House, his unfettered thoughts on Javanka, his complicated relationship with his erstwhile boss—and his own political ambitions. https://goo.gl/fkvonf

ENTERPRISE

Boeing is seeking to buy the Brazilian aircraft maker Embraer to try to gain a bigger foothold in the regional jet market.

Eric Schmidt steps down as executive chairman of Google's parent, Alphabet.

269 billion = The number emails sent and received daily

NYT: Apple is the most valuable public company
ever
 https://goo.gl/PX5VWt

Bloomberg's the year in money: Market highs, a venture capital boom, and record-low unemployment were just some of the defining moments for investors in 2017. https://goo.gl/nWhCMC

Bloomberg: Long Island Iced Tea soars after changing its name to Long Blockchain

$19,511 = Bitcoin Sunday

$13,577 = Bitcoin Friday


Facebook signed a deal with Universal Music Group that lets its platforms carry songs from the music label’s artists.

Qualcomm has gotten a permit to test self-driving cars on public roads in California.

Daimler buys France’s alternative to Uber: FT reports, the deal for Chauffeur Privé shows German group seeking to attract vehicle-less consumers.

Volvo, Cadillac, and Porsche drive subscription model growth: FT reports, carmakers are launching rental services even as peer-to-peer car lending platforms gain traction.

CULTURE

RIP: Dick Enberg, award-winning US sports broadcaster, dies at 82

#OhMy!

AP Poll: Sexual misconduct allegations voted top news story

Guardian's best albums of 2017 https://goo.gl/QQz5Pe

Guadian's top 50 films of 2017 https://goo.gl/wdLH7i

SPORT

In an unforgiving sport, they minister to hearts and souls: NYT reports, a chaplain is part of the team for about three-quarters of England’s professional teams, offering spiritual or secular counseling to the players. https://goo.gl/tJoXeZ

Figure skating in Detroit is aiming to change the color of the sport: The Undefeated reports, this girls-only program uses figure skating to build self-esteem and academic achievement. https://goo.gl/BNybhm

5 things to know about the 2018 Winter Olympicshttps://goo.gl/sHfhbQ

WP: Florida State may not be eligible but is still expected to play in Independence Bowl

FOX College Football: Way (WAY) Too Early Top 10 for 2018

1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Michigan
4. Miami
5. Ohio State
6. Georgia
7. Oklahoma
8. USC
9. Stanford
10. MSU

Caracal Business Insider | December 21, 2017

CBI 091517.png

Canada-style Brexit, Catalan Votes, Generic 2018 Ballot, Didi Chuxing, Lady Gaga

Caracal Business Insider | Daily
December 21, 2017
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider = Global Business News at the Intersection of Politics + Policy + Profits

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia


What Caracal Global is watching today:

✔️ Catalan votes today

✔️ EU prepares Canada-style Brexit deal

✔️ Ds have massive lead over GOP on generic 2018 ballot

✔️ Didi Chuxing raises $4 billion in new funding

✔️ Nashville awarded MLS expansion club

GEOECONOMICS

Catalan votes today: Catalans are casting their ballots in a regional vote that could determine whether the threat of secession by the wealthy region continues to loom over Spain or if separatists’ push for unilateral independence has peaked.

EU prepares a Canada-style Brexit deal for UK: FT reports, bloc to make the limited-access trade offer if Britain fails to clarify demands before summer.

23 percent = The percentage of the total supply Bitcoins which is believed to be lost, locked behind forgotten passwords or hidden in misplaced drives. 

SELL, SEEL, SEEL: You know a peak mania has been reached when you overhear, as I did yesterday, a Capitol Hill police officer talking about buying Bitcoins.....

@CNBCTopStories: NYSE files to list bitcoin ETFs, bringing cryptocurrency a step closer to mainstream http://cnb.cx/2BIKhhv 

US creating 'sensational hype' over China's military modernization: Reuters reports, the United States has created "sensational hype" over China's military modernization, the defense ministry has said in reaction to a White House report branding China a competitor seeking to challenge U.S. power.

The island where Chinese mothers deliver American babies: WSJ reports, women looking to give birth to U.S. citizens have found a loophole in the Pacific: Saipan

Wait until Trump hears about this - oh boy.

China Mission ’92 – The US-China economic relationship has increased dramatically! Barbara Hackman Franklin, the 29th U.S. Secretary of Commerce, is currently President and CEO of Barbara Franklin Enterprises, writes, today, decades later, the US-China economic relationship is huge, enormously complex, multi-faceted, and interdependent — and there are disagreements, differences of approach, and tensions. The current administration is looking to “rebalance” the economic relationship. I believe a rebalance is in order, and sooner rather than later. My hope is that the Chinese side will make many of the structural changes for which the US side, especially the business community, has been advocating for years. Read the full post here: https://goo.gl/8z9wFc

Canadian TV providers receive payments to carry Russian ‘propaganda machine’: Globe and Mail reports, Kremlin’s state-run news channel, criticized by some for circulating conspiracy theories, is being included in many domestic television packages, raising concerns about the access foreign agents have when allegedly trying to ‘destabilize Western countries’

NEXT CHINA 

Make plans to attend the NEXT CHINA conference hosted by SupChina.  

The event will be held on Wednesday, January 17, 2018, at The Times Center in New York City. 

The conference will have five sessions covering Technology, Economy, Healthcare, Politics, and Philanthropy, followed by a live Sinica Podcast recording on “Cracking the China Conundrum."

RSVP for the NEXT China conference here:
https://goo.gl/5UZUhr

Use code HOLIDAY for a $300 ticket.

AMERICAN POLITICS

GOP tax vote seals victory for Trump: WSJ reports, Congress gave final approval Wednesday to a $1.5 trillion tax cut, delivering a major victory for President Donald Trump and GOP leaders after nearly a year in political control of the capital.

Bloomberg: Ryan pushes Trump to follow tax win with US welfare revamp

@Nate_Cohn: Live interview generic ballot polls in December CNN D+18 ... Quinnipiac D+15 ... Monmouth D+15 ... Marist D+13 ... POS (R) D+12 ... NBC/WSJ D+11

@thehill: NEW POLL: Dems have largest lead to date over GOP on generic 2018 ballot http://hill.cm/vjvl2QX

Wall Street Journal killed editorial on Trump’s mob ties https://goo.gl/mFgdxN

Should he decide to run for re-election, Trump will have a less than pleasant experience and won't find the campaign trail of 2016 in 2020.

I place Trump not running for re-election at 38%

Senator Franken to leave the US Senate on January 2.

Virginia house race is tied after court ruling: WSJ reports, It’s not over yet in the Virginia House of Delegates race that threatened to strip Republicans of their majority. A Wednesday decision by a three-judge panel to count a disputed ballot made the race for a House seat representing Newport News a tie. The ruling came a day after an elections panel had ruled for the Democratic challenger in a recount of the November vote. 

"House District 94 seat could be determined by drawing lots"

A reminder that every vote counts, but so does a solid election law team and the judicial system.

Election Betting Odds

Senate control in 2018: GOP - 54.8%

US President Election 2020: Trump - 27.8%, Harris - 11%, Pence - 6.8%, Warren - 6.1%

Trump out: Has full term - 50.5%, leaves in 2018 - 27.2%, leaves in 2019 - 18.4%

Odds Checker

US Presidential Election 2020 winner: Trump 5/2, Pence 11/1, Warren 14/1, Harris 14/1, Sanders 25/1

Paddy Power

DEM 2020 Nominee: Harris 4/1, Warren 6/1, Newsom 7/1, Biden 7/1, M. Obama 9/1, Steyer 10/1, Booker 10/1, Sanders 10/1

GOP 2020 Nominee: Trump 1/1, Pence 3/1, Ryan 7/2, Rubio 18/1, Cruz 33/1, Sasse 33/1, Haley 33/1, Romney 33/1, Cotton 33/1

ENTERPRISE

The slow death of the American mall: WSJ reports, the rise of online retail and changing consumer preferences have hammered US shopping malls since their heyday in the 1990s. Many of these former engines of commerce and centers of community life are now mere skeletons as they fight for their lives.

Didi Chuxing raises $4 billion in new funding placing the ride-sharing platform with a valuation of more than $50 billion.

@ZDNet: Blockchain shows promise for energy companies http://zd.net/2BJgPaS

Penske Media has acquired a controlling stake in Wenner Media, whose prime asset is Rolling Stone magazine.

TRENDS

The rise of the all-day menu: Look for more restaurants where mealtimes are mutable and noshing is the new dining with fewer power lunches and formal meals.

@wef: These are the 25 most high-tech cities in the world http://wef.ch/2AKubWq 

Fireside Conference: Canada’s best minds predict what technology and marketing trends will rule 2018 https://goo.gl/FQzhrB

CULTURE

Lady Gaga will reportedly set up a residency at the MGM Park Theater in Las Vegas.

The NYT year in pictures 2017 http://nyti.ms/2p05cKf

@TheScotsman: The best travel books of 2017 https://trib.al/O3BvXQx 

Mortality in the United States declines: CDC reports, In 2016, life expectancy at birth was 78.6 years for the total US population—a decrease of 0.1 year from 78.7 in 2015. For males, life expectancy changed from 76.3 in 2015 to 76.1 in 2016—a decrease of 0.2 year. For females, life expectancy remained the same at 81.1.

SPORT

Nashville awarded MLS expansion club.

And the nominees for president of US Soccer Federation are ...

Paul Caligiuri
Kathy Carter
Carlos Cordeiro
Steve Gans
Kyle Martino
Hope Solo
Michael Winograd
Eric Wynalda


One of the eight candidates will be chosen at the organization's annual meeting in February, in Orlando.

LAT: McKayla Maroney accuses USOC and USA Gymnastics of covering up sexual abuse with secret settlement